La escuela de los momios

Philadelphia 76ers v Oklahoma City Thunder

Inicio: 2026-03-23 23:10 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Philadelphia 76ers (Local)

Predicción 11.15%8.97momio equitativo
EV +12.05%
Ventaja +1.20%
Kelly +1.33%
Crecimiento +0.160%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 10.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
9.50%11.26%11.20%13.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.758.388.5010.0514.81%11.93%11.76%9.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Oklahoma City Thunder (Visitante)

Predicción 88.85%1.13momio equitativo
EV -2.26%
Ventaja -2.06%
Kelly -22.64%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
86.42%88.74%88.80%90.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.041.081.081.1096.15%92.95%92.59%90.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Fliff10.05I 9.95%NM 9.54%EV +12.05%E +1.20%K +1.33%G +0.160%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.46%EV -5.82%E -5.49%K -96.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-23 23:00
Dabble (AU)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +11.49%E +1.15%K +1.28%G +0.147%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -6.71%E -6.39%K -134.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 23:05
1xBet9.60I 10.42%NM 10.20%EV +7.03%E +0.732%K +0.817%G +0.057%1.09I 91.74%NM 89.80%EV -3.15%E -2.89%K -35.03%G +0.000%2.2%2026-03-23 19:15
Pinnacle9.48I 10.55%NM 10.23%EV +5.69%E +0.600%K +0.671%G +0.038%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.77%EV -4.04%E -3.74%K -50.51%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-23 23:00
Bet Victor9.25I 10.81%NM 10.45%EV +3.13%E +0.338%K +0.379%G +0.012%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.55%EV -4.04%E -3.74%K -50.51%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-23 22:54
Marathon Bet9.10I 10.99%NM 10.52%EV +1.46%E +0.160%K +0.180%G +0.003%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.48%EV -4.93%E -4.61%K -70.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-23 23:00
Parions Sport (FR)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.80%EV +0.340%E +0.038%K +0.043%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 89.20%EV -3.15%E -2.89%K -35.03%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-23 22:05
Winamax (DE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +0.340%E +0.038%K +0.043%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -4.04%E -3.74%K -50.51%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-23 22:05
Fanatics9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +0.340%E +0.038%K +0.043%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -4.04%E -3.74%K -50.51%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-23 17:44
Caesars9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +0.340%E +0.038%K +0.043%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.93%E -4.61%K -70.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-23 22:14
theScore Bet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +0.340%E +0.038%K +0.043%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.82%E -5.49%K -96.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-23 23:04
Tipico (DE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +0.340%E +0.038%K +0.043%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.71%E -6.39%K -134.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-23 22:59
LowVig.ag8.81I 11.35%NM 11.01%EV -1.78%E -0.202%K -0.228%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.99%EV -3.15%E -2.89%K -35.03%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-23 14:44
SportsBet8.75I 11.43%NM 10.99%EV -2.45%E -0.280%K -0.316%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.01%EV -4.04%E -3.74%K -50.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-23 23:05
Coolbet8.75I 11.43%NM 10.99%EV -2.45%E -0.280%K -0.316%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.01%EV -4.04%E -3.74%K -50.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-23 18:49
BetMGM8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -2.45%E -0.280%K -0.316%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.93%E -4.61%K -70.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-23 22:59
ReBet8.60I 11.63%NM 11.16%EV -4.12%E -0.479%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.84%EV -4.04%E -3.74%K -50.51%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-23 22:05
GTbets8.55I 11.70%NM 11.31%EV -4.68%E -0.547%K -0.619%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.69%EV -3.15%E -2.89%K -35.03%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-23 16:49
BetOnline.ag8.54I 11.71%NM 11.23%EV -4.79%E -0.561%K -0.635%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.77%EV -4.04%E -3.74%K -50.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-23 14:44
FanDuel8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -5.23%E -0.616%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.04%E -3.74%K -50.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-23 23:05
Unibet (UK)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -5.23%E -0.616%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.04%E -3.74%K -50.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-23 20:39
DraftKings8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -5.23%E -0.616%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.04%E -3.74%K -50.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-23 14:44
Betr (AU)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -5.23%E -0.616%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.04%E -3.74%K -50.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-23 17:24
Unibet (SE)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -5.23%E -0.616%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.04%E -3.74%K -50.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-23 22:54
Unibet (NL)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -5.23%E -0.616%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.04%E -3.74%K -50.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-23 22:55
ATG (SE)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -5.23%E -0.616%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.04%E -3.74%K -50.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-23 22:54
Svenska Spel8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -5.23%E -0.616%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.04%E -3.74%K -50.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-23 22:54
BetUS8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -5.23%E -0.616%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.04%E -3.74%K -50.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-23 16:49
BetAnything8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -5.23%E -0.616%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.04%E -3.74%K -50.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-23 14:44
PointsBet (AU)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -5.23%E -0.616%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.93%E -4.61%K -70.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 22:35
Bovada8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -5.23%E -0.616%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.93%E -4.61%K -70.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 22:49
Coral8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -5.23%E -0.616%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.82%E -5.49%K -96.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-23 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -5.23%E -0.616%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.82%E -5.49%K -96.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-23 23:05
NetBet (FR)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -5.23%E -0.616%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -7.59%E -7.30%K -189.87%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-23 22:35
Neds8.25I 12.12%NM 11.58%EV -8.02%E -0.972%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.42%EV -4.04%E -3.74%K -50.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 22:49
Ladbrokes (AU)8.25I 12.12%NM 11.58%EV -8.02%E -0.972%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.42%EV -4.04%E -3.74%K -50.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 22:49
Everygame8.25I 12.12%NM 11.58%EV -8.02%E -0.972%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.42%EV -4.04%E -3.74%K -50.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 22:09
MyBookie.ag8.21I 12.18%NM 11.63%EV -8.47%E -1.03%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.37%EV -4.04%E -3.74%K -50.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 22:58
Codere (IT)8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV -8.58%E -1.05%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -4.04%E -3.74%K -50.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 22:05
TAB8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -10.81%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.15%E -2.89%K -35.03%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-23 14:45
Bet Right8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -10.81%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.04%E -3.74%K -50.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 22:10
TABtouch8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -10.81%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.04%E -3.74%K -50.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 22:55
Virgin Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -10.81%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.04%E -3.74%K -50.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 22:55
LiveScore Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -10.81%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.04%E -3.74%K -50.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 22:54
Unibet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -10.81%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.04%E -3.74%K -50.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 22:54
BetRivers8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -10.81%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.04%E -3.74%K -50.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 22:55
betPARX8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -10.81%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.04%E -3.74%K -50.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 22:54
Bally Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -10.81%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.04%E -3.74%K -50.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 22:54
Paddy Power8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -10.81%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.93%E -4.61%K -70.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 23:05
BoyleSports8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -10.81%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.93%E -4.61%K -70.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 22:04
Winamax (FR)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -10.81%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.93%E -4.61%K -70.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 22:05
William Hill8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -10.81%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.93%E -4.61%K -70.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 17:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -10.81%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.93%E -4.61%K -70.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 23:05
Hard Rock Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -10.81%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.93%E -4.61%K -70.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -10.81%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.93%E -4.61%K -70.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 22:54
Betway8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -10.81%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.93%E -4.61%K -70.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 22:59
Unibet (FR)7.70I 12.99%NM 12.10%EV -14.15%E -1.84%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.90%EV -5.82%E -5.49%K -96.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-23 22:54
Betsson7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -16.38%E -2.18%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.15%E -2.89%K -35.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 23:05
NordicBet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -16.38%E -2.18%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.15%E -2.89%K -35.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 23:04
LeoVegas7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -16.38%E -2.18%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.82%E -5.49%K -96.96%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-23 22:54
PlayUp7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -19.17%E -2.64%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -2.26%E -2.06%K -22.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 20:10
Sky Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -21.96%E -3.14%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -2.26%E -2.06%K -22.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 22:49
Betclic (FR)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.57%EV -24.74%E -3.67%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 86.43%EV -5.82%E -5.49%K -96.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-23 23:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig12.05I 8.30%NM 8.30%1.09I 91.74%NM 91.70%0.0%2026-03-23 23:03
ProphetX12.00I 8.33%NM 8.33%1.09I 91.74%NM 91.67%0.1%2026-03-23 22:55
BetOpenly11.88I 8.42%NM 8.40%1.09I 91.74%NM 91.60%0.2%2026-03-23 22:59
Kalshi11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93%1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07%0.7%2026-03-23 20:55
Polymarket11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93%1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07%0.7%2026-03-23 21:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74%0.9%2026-03-23 22:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74%0.9%2026-03-23 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74%0.9%2026-03-23 22:54
Matchbook12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74%0.9%2026-03-23 22:55
Smarkets11.00I 9.09%NM 8.86%1.07I 93.46%NM 91.14%2.5%2026-03-23 23:00