Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.12
assuming max odds 11.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Philadelphia 76ers (Local): 89.47%; Milwaukee Bucks (Visit): 10.53%. For Milwaukee Bucks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.49. 19 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +21.12%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -6.06%E -5.77%K -121.18%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV +21.12%E +1.84%K +2.01%G +0.425% | 3.9% | 2026-04-12 22:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -5.16%E -4.87%K -86.07%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +15.85%E +1.44%K +1.59%G +0.251% | 3.4% | 2026-04-12 22:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.02%EV -5.16%E -4.87%K -86.07%G +0.000% | 10.75I 9.30%NM 8.98%EV +13.22%E +1.23%K +1.36%G +0.179% | 3.6% | 2026-04-12 22:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -5.16%E -4.87%K -86.07%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV +10.59%E +1.01%K +1.11%G +0.118% | 3.9% | 2026-04-12 22:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.66%EV -4.27%E -3.99%K -60.99%G +0.000% | 10.38I 9.63%NM 9.34%EV +9.32%E +0.898%K +0.994%G +0.093% | 3.1% | 2026-04-12 22:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.67%EV -5.16%E -4.87%K -86.07%G +0.000% | 10.30I 9.71%NM 9.33%EV +8.48%E +0.824%K +0.912%G +0.077% | 4.0% | 2026-04-12 22:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.42%EV -4.27%E -3.99%K -60.99%G +0.000% | 10.10I 9.90%NM 9.58%EV +6.38%E +0.631%K +0.701%G +0.045% | 3.4% | 2026-04-12 22:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.16%E -4.87%K -86.07%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +5.32%E +0.532%K +0.591%G +0.031% | 4.3% | 2026-04-12 22:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.16%E -4.87%K -86.07%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +5.32%E +0.532%K +0.591%G +0.031% | 4.3% | 2026-04-12 22:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -6.06%E -5.77%K -121.18%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +5.32%E +0.532%K +0.591%G +0.031% | 5.2% | 2026-04-12 22:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.95%E -6.69%K -173.84%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +5.32%E +0.532%K +0.591%G +0.031% | 6.2% | 2026-04-12 22:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.10%EV -4.27%E -3.99%K -60.99%G +0.000% | 9.74I 10.27%NM 9.90%EV +2.58%E +0.265%K +0.296%G +0.008% | 3.7% | 2026-04-12 22:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.06%EV -4.27%E -3.99%K -60.99%G +0.000% | 9.70I 10.31%NM 9.94%EV +2.16%E +0.223%K +0.249%G +0.005% | 3.8% | 2026-04-12 22:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -4.27%E -3.99%K -60.99%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +0.056%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-12 22:08 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -4.27%E -3.99%K -60.99%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +0.056%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-12 22:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -4.27%E -3.99%K -60.99%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +0.056%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-12 22:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -4.27%E -3.99%K -60.99%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +0.056%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-12 22:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.16%E -4.87%K -86.07%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +0.056%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-12 22:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -7.85%E -7.62%K -261.61%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV +0.056%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.78%EV -4.27%E -3.99%K -60.99%G +0.000% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.22%EV -0.997%E -0.106%K -0.119%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.78%EV -4.27%E -3.99%K -60.99%G +0.000% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.22%EV -0.997%E -0.106%K -0.119%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.77%EV -5.16%E -4.87%K -86.07%G +0.000% | 9.30I 10.75%NM 10.23%EV -2.05%E -0.220%K -0.247%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.55%EV -3.37%E -3.12%K -42.19%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.45%EV -2.58%E -0.279%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-12 22:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.27%E -3.99%K -60.99%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -5.21%E -0.579%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 22:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.27%E -3.99%K -60.99%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -5.21%E -0.579%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 22:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.16%E -4.87%K -86.07%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -5.21%E -0.579%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-12 22:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.16%E -4.87%K -86.07%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -5.21%E -0.579%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.16%E -4.87%K -86.07%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -5.21%E -0.579%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-12 22:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.16%E -4.87%K -86.07%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -5.21%E -0.579%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-12 22:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.16%E -4.87%K -86.07%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -5.21%E -0.579%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.16%E -4.87%K -86.07%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -5.21%E -0.579%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.06%E -5.77%K -121.18%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -5.21%E -0.579%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-12 22:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.06%E -5.77%K -121.18%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -5.21%E -0.579%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-12 22:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.16%EV -4.27%E -3.99%K -60.99%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.84%EV -7.32%E -0.831%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 22:01 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.27%E -3.99%K -60.99%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -7.84%E -0.896%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-12 22:06 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.27%E -3.99%K -60.99%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -7.84%E -0.896%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-12 22:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.84%EV -3.37%E -3.12%K -42.19%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.16%EV -9.42%E -1.10%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 21:58 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -2.48%E -2.28%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV -10.48%E -1.23%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-12 22:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -2.48%E -2.28%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV -10.48%E -1.23%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-12 22:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -2.48%E -2.28%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV -10.48%E -1.23%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-12 22:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -2.48%E -2.28%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV -10.48%E -1.23%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-12 22:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -3.37%E -3.12%K -42.19%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -10.48%E -1.23%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-12 22:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.27%E -3.99%K -60.99%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -10.48%E -1.23%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-12 22:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.27%E -3.99%K -60.99%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -10.48%E -1.23%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-12 22:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.16%E -4.87%K -86.07%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -10.48%E -1.23%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-12 22:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.16%E -4.87%K -86.07%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -10.48%E -1.23%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-12 22:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.16%E -4.87%K -86.07%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -10.48%E -1.23%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-12 22:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.16%E -4.87%K -86.07%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -10.48%E -1.23%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.37%E -3.12%K -42.19%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -15.74%E -1.97%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 22:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.37%E -3.12%K -42.19%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -15.74%E -1.97%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 22:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.37%E -3.12%K -42.19%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -15.74%E -1.97%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 22:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.37%E -3.12%K -42.19%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -15.74%E -1.97%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 22:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.37%E -3.12%K -42.19%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -15.74%E -1.97%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 22:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.37%E -3.12%K -42.19%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -15.74%E -1.97%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 22:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.37%E -3.12%K -42.19%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -15.74%E -1.97%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 22:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.27%E -3.99%K -60.99%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -15.74%E -1.97%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 22:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 87.37%EV +0.204%E +0.182%K +1.70%G +0.003% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.63%EV -18.37%E -2.37%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-12 22:08 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -0.691%E -0.622%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV -21.01%E -2.80%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-12 22:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -1.59%E -1.44%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -21.01%E -2.80%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 22:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.16%E -4.87%K -86.07%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -21.01%E -2.80%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-12 22:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 87.82%EV -6.95%E -6.69%K -173.84%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV -21.01%E -2.80%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-12 22:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -2.48%E -2.28%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -26.27%E -3.75%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 22:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -2.48%E -2.28%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -28.91%E -4.28%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-12 22:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -2.48%E -2.28%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -36.81%E -6.13%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-12 22:09 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.67% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.33% | 0.1% | 2026-04-12 22:09 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 92.25% | 12.85I 7.78%NM 7.75% | 0.4% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95% | 0.6% | 2026-04-12 22:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07% | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93% | 0.7% | 2026-04-12 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 0.9% | 2026-04-12 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 0.9% | 2026-04-12 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 0.9% | 2026-04-12 22:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 90.07% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.93% | 2.8% | 2026-04-12 22:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.55% | 11.49I 8.70%NM 8.45% | 3.0% | 2026-04-12 22:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.00I 100.00%NM 86.13% | 6.21I 16.10%NM 13.87% | 16.1% | 2026-04-12 22:10 |