La escuela de los momios

Philadelphia 76ers v Milwaukee Bucks

Inicio: 2026-04-12 22:12 UTC

Final: Philadelphia 76ers 126–106 Milwaukee Bucks

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Philadelphia 76ers (Local)

Predicción 89.47%1.12momio equitativo
EV +0.204%
Ventaja +0.182%
Kelly +1.70%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.12

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
84.63%89.06%89.46%91.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.031.071.071.1297.09%93.47%93.46%89.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Milwaukee Bucks (Visitante)

Predicción 10.53%9.49momio equitativo
EV +21.12%
Ventaja +1.84%
Kelly +2.01%
Crecimiento +0.425%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 11.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
8.37%10.94%10.54%15.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.008.889.0011.5016.67%11.26%11.11%8.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Caesars1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -6.06%E -5.77%K -121.18%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV +21.12%E +1.84%K +2.01%G +0.425%3.9%2026-04-12 22:09
BetUS1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -5.16%E -4.87%K -86.07%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +15.85%E +1.44%K +1.59%G +0.251%3.4%2026-04-12 22:09
BetAnything1.06I 94.34%NM 91.02%EV -5.16%E -4.87%K -86.07%G +0.000%10.75I 9.30%NM 8.98%EV +13.22%E +1.23%K +1.36%G +0.179%3.6%2026-04-12 22:10
SportsBet1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -5.16%E -4.87%K -86.07%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV +10.59%E +1.01%K +1.11%G +0.118%3.9%2026-04-12 22:09
Pinnacle1.07I 93.46%NM 90.66%EV -4.27%E -3.99%K -60.99%G +0.000%10.38I 9.63%NM 9.34%EV +9.32%E +0.898%K +0.994%G +0.093%3.1%2026-04-12 22:09
Fliff1.06I 94.34%NM 90.67%EV -5.16%E -4.87%K -86.07%G +0.000%10.30I 9.71%NM 9.33%EV +8.48%E +0.824%K +0.912%G +0.077%4.0%2026-04-12 22:09
LowVig.ag1.07I 93.46%NM 90.42%EV -4.27%E -3.99%K -60.99%G +0.000%10.10I 9.90%NM 9.58%EV +6.38%E +0.631%K +0.701%G +0.045%3.4%2026-04-12 22:09
PlayUp1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.16%E -4.87%K -86.07%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +5.32%E +0.532%K +0.591%G +0.031%4.3%2026-04-12 22:10
theScore Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.16%E -4.87%K -86.07%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +5.32%E +0.532%K +0.591%G +0.031%4.3%2026-04-12 22:10
Dabble (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -6.06%E -5.77%K -121.18%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +5.32%E +0.532%K +0.591%G +0.031%5.2%2026-04-12 22:10
Tipico (DE)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.95%E -6.69%K -173.84%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +5.32%E +0.532%K +0.591%G +0.031%6.2%2026-04-12 22:10
BetOnline.ag1.07I 93.46%NM 90.10%EV -4.27%E -3.99%K -60.99%G +0.000%9.74I 10.27%NM 9.90%EV +2.58%E +0.265%K +0.296%G +0.008%3.7%2026-04-12 22:10
FanDuel1.07I 93.46%NM 90.06%EV -4.27%E -3.99%K -60.99%G +0.000%9.70I 10.31%NM 9.94%EV +2.16%E +0.223%K +0.249%G +0.005%3.8%2026-04-12 22:10
Coolbet1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -4.27%E -3.99%K -60.99%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +0.056%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 22:08
PointsBet (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -4.27%E -3.99%K -60.99%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +0.056%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 22:10
Fanatics1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -4.27%E -3.99%K -60.99%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +0.056%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 22:10
Hard Rock Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -4.27%E -3.99%K -60.99%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +0.056%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 22:09
BetMGM1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.16%E -4.87%K -86.07%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +0.056%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 22:09
NetBet (FR)1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -7.85%E -7.62%K -261.61%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV +0.056%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 22:00
Unibet (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 89.78%EV -4.27%E -3.99%K -60.99%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.22%EV -0.997%E -0.106%K -0.119%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 21:59
ReBet1.07I 93.46%NM 89.78%EV -4.27%E -3.99%K -60.99%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.22%EV -0.997%E -0.106%K -0.119%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 21:59
MyBookie.ag1.06I 94.34%NM 89.77%EV -5.16%E -4.87%K -86.07%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.23%EV -2.05%E -0.220%K -0.247%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 21:59
GTbets1.08I 92.59%NM 89.55%EV -3.37%E -3.12%K -42.19%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.45%EV -2.58%E -0.279%K -0.312%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-12 22:09
DraftKings1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.27%E -3.99%K -60.99%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -5.21%E -0.579%K -0.651%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 22:09
Betr (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.27%E -3.99%K -60.99%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -5.21%E -0.579%K -0.651%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 22:09
Neds1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.16%E -4.87%K -86.07%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -5.21%E -0.579%K -0.651%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 22:10
888sport1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.16%E -4.87%K -86.07%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -5.21%E -0.579%K -0.651%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 21:59
William Hill1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.16%E -4.87%K -86.07%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -5.21%E -0.579%K -0.651%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 22:09
Betsson1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.16%E -4.87%K -86.07%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -5.21%E -0.579%K -0.651%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 22:10
888sport (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.16%E -4.87%K -86.07%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -5.21%E -0.579%K -0.651%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 21:59
Mr Green (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.16%E -4.87%K -86.07%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -5.21%E -0.579%K -0.651%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 21:59
Coral1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.06%E -5.77%K -121.18%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -5.21%E -0.579%K -0.651%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 22:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.06%E -5.77%K -121.18%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -5.21%E -0.579%K -0.651%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 22:10
Codere (IT)1.07I 93.46%NM 89.16%EV -4.27%E -3.99%K -60.99%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.84%EV -7.32%E -0.831%K -0.938%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 22:01
Bovada1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.27%E -3.99%K -60.99%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -7.84%E -0.896%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 22:06
Everygame1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.27%E -3.99%K -60.99%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -7.84%E -0.896%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 22:09
Marathon Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.84%EV -3.37%E -3.12%K -42.19%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.16%EV -9.42%E -1.10%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 21:58
Unibet (SE)1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -2.48%E -2.28%K -27.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV -10.48%E -1.23%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-12 22:10
Unibet (NL)1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -2.48%E -2.28%K -27.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV -10.48%E -1.23%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-12 22:10
Svenska Spel1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -2.48%E -2.28%K -27.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV -10.48%E -1.23%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-12 22:09
ATG (SE)1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -2.48%E -2.28%K -27.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV -10.48%E -1.23%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-12 22:10
TAB1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -3.37%E -3.12%K -42.19%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -10.48%E -1.23%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 22:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.27%E -3.99%K -60.99%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -10.48%E -1.23%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 22:09
Bet Right1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.27%E -3.99%K -60.99%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -10.48%E -1.23%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 22:09
Sky Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.16%E -4.87%K -86.07%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -10.48%E -1.23%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 22:10
Paddy Power1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.16%E -4.87%K -86.07%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -10.48%E -1.23%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 22:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.16%E -4.87%K -86.07%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -10.48%E -1.23%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 22:10
BoyleSports1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.16%E -4.87%K -86.07%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -10.48%E -1.23%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 22:00
Unibet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.37%E -3.12%K -42.19%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -15.74%E -1.97%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 22:10
BetRivers1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.37%E -3.12%K -42.19%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -15.74%E -1.97%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 22:09
LiveScore Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.37%E -3.12%K -42.19%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -15.74%E -1.97%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 22:10
TABtouch1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.37%E -3.12%K -42.19%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -15.74%E -1.97%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 22:09
Virgin Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.37%E -3.12%K -42.19%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -15.74%E -1.97%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 22:09
betPARX1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.37%E -3.12%K -42.19%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -15.74%E -1.97%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 22:10
Bally Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.37%E -3.12%K -42.19%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -15.74%E -1.97%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 22:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.27%E -3.99%K -60.99%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -15.74%E -1.97%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 22:10
Bet Victor1.12I 89.29%NM 87.37%EV +0.204%E +0.182%K +1.70%G +0.003%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.63%EV -18.37%E -2.37%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-12 22:08
Winamax (DE)1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -0.691%E -0.622%K -6.28%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV -21.01%E -2.80%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-12 22:10
Unibet (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -1.59%E -1.44%K -15.85%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -21.01%E -2.80%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 22:10
PMU (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.16%E -4.87%K -86.07%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -21.01%E -2.80%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 22:10
LeoVegas1.04I 96.15%NM 87.82%EV -6.95%E -6.69%K -173.84%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV -21.01%E -2.80%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 22:09
Betway1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -2.48%E -2.28%K -27.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -26.27%E -3.75%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 22:09
Winamax (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -2.48%E -2.28%K -27.56%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -28.91%E -4.28%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 22:09
Betclic (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -2.48%E -2.28%K -27.56%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -36.81%E -6.13%K -7.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 22:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.09I 91.74%NM 91.67%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.33%0.1%2026-04-12 22:09
BetOpenly1.08I 92.59%NM 92.25%12.85I 7.78%NM 7.75%0.4%2026-04-12 21:59
Kalshi1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%0.6%2026-04-12 22:10
Polymarket1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93%0.7%2026-04-12 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%0.9%2026-04-12 22:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%0.9%2026-04-12 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%0.9%2026-04-12 22:10
ProphetX1.08I 92.59%NM 90.07%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.93%2.8%2026-04-12 22:10
Smarkets1.06I 94.34%NM 91.55%11.49I 8.70%NM 8.45%3.0%2026-04-12 22:10
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 86.13%6.21I 16.10%NM 13.87%16.1%2026-04-12 22:10