Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Philadelphia 76ers v Cleveland Cavaliers

Kickoff: 2026-10-22 23:13 UTC

Final: Philadelphia 76ers 114–106 Cleveland Cavaliers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

66 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Philadelphia 76ers (Local)

Prediction 54.98%1.82fair odd
EV -1.04%
Edge -0.579%
Kelly -1.30%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%54.85%55.05%57.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.731.731.8061.35%57.90%57.80%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cleveland Cavaliers (Visit)

Prediction 45.02%2.22fair odd
EV +0.853%
Edge +0.381%
Kelly +0.688%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 2.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.00%45.15%44.95%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.112.122.2452.63%47.31%47.17%44.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Philadelphia 76ers (Local): 54.98%; Cleveland Cavaliers (Visit): 45.02%. For Cleveland Cavaliers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.22. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.24, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.853%.

Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -7.09%E -4.20%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV +0.853%E +0.381%K +0.688%G +0.006%3.8%2026-10-22 22:29
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -5.44%E -3.16%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -0.948%E -0.431%K -0.790%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-22 23:10
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.99%E -3.50%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -0.948%E -0.431%K -0.790%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-22 23:09
BetAnything🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.99%E -3.50%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -0.948%E -0.431%K -0.790%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-22 23:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -7.09%E -4.20%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -0.948%E -0.431%K -0.790%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-22 22:55
Pinnacle🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -2.14%E -1.20%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -1.85%E -0.848%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.1%2026-10-22 23:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.36%EV -3.79%E -2.17%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64%EV -2.30%E -1.06%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-22 23:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.34%E -2.49%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.20%E -1.49%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-22 21:15
GTbets🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.34%E -2.49%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.20%E -1.49%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-22 23:00
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.34%E -2.49%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.20%E -1.49%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-22 22:49
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.34%E -2.49%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.20%E -1.49%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-22 23:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.34%E -2.49%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.20%E -1.49%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-22 23:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.89%E -2.83%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.20%E -1.49%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-22 22:35
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.99%E -3.50%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.20%E -1.49%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-22 22:50
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.99%E -3.50%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.20%E -1.49%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-22 20:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.54%E -3.85%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.20%E -1.49%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-22 15:45
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.54%E -3.85%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.20%E -1.49%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-22 15:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.54%E -3.85%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.20%E -1.49%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-22 15:45
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.54%E -3.85%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.20%E -1.49%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-22 22:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.54%E -3.85%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.20%E -1.49%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-22 22:55
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.09%E -4.20%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.20%E -1.49%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-22 23:10
FanDuel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.79%E -2.17%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.65%E -1.71%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-22 23:10
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.34%E -2.49%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.65%E -1.71%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-22 22:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.34%E -2.49%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.65%E -1.71%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-22 23:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.34%E -2.49%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.65%E -1.71%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-22 23:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.34%E -2.49%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.65%E -1.71%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-22 23:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.34%E -2.49%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.65%E -1.71%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-22 23:10
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -3.79%E -2.17%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -4.10%E -1.92%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-22 22:55
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -3.79%E -2.17%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -4.10%E -1.92%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-22 23:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.44%E -3.16%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.10%E -1.92%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-22 22:49
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.79%E -2.17%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.55%E -2.15%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-22 22:55
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.34%E -2.49%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.55%E -2.15%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-22 23:00
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.34%E -2.49%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.55%E -2.15%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-22 22:59
BetRivers🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.89%E -2.83%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.55%E -2.15%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-22 23:10
Bally Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.89%E -2.83%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.55%E -2.15%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-22 23:10
TABtouch🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.44%E -3.16%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.55%E -2.15%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-22 23:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.44%E -3.16%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.55%E -2.15%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-22 23:10
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -1.04%E -0.579%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-22 22:53
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -1.04%E -0.579%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-22 22:53
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -2.14%E -1.20%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-22 23:00
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.69%E -1.52%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-22 23:03
TAB🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.69%E -1.52%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-22 22:50
ReBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.79%E -2.17%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-22 23:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.79%E -2.17%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-22 22:55
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.89%E -2.83%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-22 22:20
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.89%E -2.83%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-22 20:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.89%E -2.83%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-22 22:20
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.44%E -3.16%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-22 22:20
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.44%E -3.16%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-22 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.99%E -3.50%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-22 23:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.99%E -3.50%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-22 23:10
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.54%E -3.85%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-22 22:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.54%E -3.85%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-22 22:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.54%E -3.85%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-22 22:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -3.79%E -2.17%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -5.90%E -2.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-22 22:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.29%EV -7.09%E -4.20%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.71%EV -5.90%E -2.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-22 23:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -7.64%E -4.55%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -6.80%E -3.29%K -6.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-22 23:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -3.24%E -1.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -7.70%E -3.76%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-22 23:00
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.89%E -2.83%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.70%E -3.76%K -7.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-22 23:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.04%EV -9.29%E -5.63%K -14.29%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.96%EV -9.05%E -4.48%K -8.88%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-22 23:10
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.04%E -0.579%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.95%E -4.98%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-22 23:04
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.69%E -1.52%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.95%E -4.98%K -9.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-22 23:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -5.44%E -3.16%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -9.95%E -4.98%K -9.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-22 23:00
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.54%E -3.85%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.95%E -4.98%K -9.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-22 23:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.85%EV -10.39%E -6.37%K -16.49%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.15%EV -10.85%E -5.48%K -11.08%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-22 23:08
Unibet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 53.52%EV -9.29%E -5.63%K -14.29%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.48%EV -14.46%E -7.61%K -16.06%G +0.000%13.2%2026-10-22 23:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%0.0%2026-10-22 23:10
ProphetX◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.69%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.31%0.3%2026-10-22 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-10-22 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-10-22 23:10
Novig◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.19%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.81%0.6%2026-10-22 23:10
BetOpenly◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.1%2026-10-22 22:59
Polymarket◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-10-22 23:10
Matchbook◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.5%2026-10-22 23:10
Smarkets◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%1.8%2026-10-22 23:10
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-10-22 23:10