Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Philadelphia 76ers v Cleveland Cavaliers

2026-10-22 23:10 UTC — NBA

Resultado del partido

45 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Philadelphia 76ers (Local)

Predicción 58.28%1.72momio equitativo
EV -2.10%
Ventaja -1.25%
Kelly -3.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.68

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.85%58.47%58.23%61.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.481.601.611.6867.57%62.43%62.11%59.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cleveland Cavaliers (Visitante)

Predicción 41.72%2.40momio equitativo
EV +4.31%
Ventaja +1.72%
Kelly +2.87%
Crecimiento +0.124%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.27%41.53%41.77%43.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.052.332.302.5048.78%42.94%43.48%40.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Philadelphia 76ers (Local): 58.28%; Cleveland Cavaliers (Visitante): 41.72%. Para Cleveland Cavaliers (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.40. 13 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.50, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +4.31%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -9.67%E -6.24%K -17.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV +4.31%E +1.72%K +2.87%G +0.124%4.5%2026-09-25 16:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -9.67%E -6.24%K -17.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV +4.31%E +1.72%K +2.87%G +0.124%4.5%2026-09-25 16:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -9.67%E -6.24%K -17.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV +4.31%E +1.72%K +2.87%G +0.124%4.5%2026-09-25 16:49
Bally Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -9.67%E -6.24%K -17.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV +4.31%E +1.72%K +2.87%G +0.124%4.5%2026-09-25 16:50
betPARX🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -9.67%E -6.24%K -17.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV +4.31%E +1.72%K +2.87%G +0.124%4.5%2026-09-25 16:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -9.67%E -6.24%K -17.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV +4.31%E +1.72%K +2.87%G +0.124%4.5%2026-09-25 16:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -9.67%E -6.24%K -17.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV +4.31%E +1.72%K +2.87%G +0.124%4.5%2026-09-25 16:50
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -10.25%E -6.66%K -18.99%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV +3.47%E +1.40%K +2.35%G +0.082%5.3%2026-09-25 16:50
TABtouch🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -10.25%E -6.66%K -18.99%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV +3.47%E +1.40%K +2.35%G +0.082%5.3%2026-09-25 16:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -10.25%E -6.66%K -18.99%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV +3.47%E +1.40%K +2.35%G +0.082%5.3%2026-09-25 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -10.25%E -6.66%K -18.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV +2.22%E +0.907%K +1.53%G +0.034%5.8%2026-09-25 16:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -10.84%E -7.08%K -20.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV +2.22%E +0.907%K +1.53%G +0.034%6.2%2026-09-25 16:50
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -6.76%E -4.22%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV +0.136%E +0.057%K +0.097%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-01 16:50
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -2.10%E -1.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -1.95%E -0.830%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.1%2026-10-10 14:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -5.01%E -3.07%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -1.95%E -0.830%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-10 14:00
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.95%E -0.830%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-10 15:54
GTbets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.95%E -0.830%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-10 14:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.36%EV -13.75%E -9.29%K -28.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -1.95%E -0.830%K -1.44%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-30 02:29
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-10 16:09
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.84%E -2.33%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-10 14:00
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.84%E -2.33%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-10 21:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.84%E -2.33%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-10 21:34
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.84%E -2.33%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-10 21:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.43%E -2.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-10 16:09
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 21:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 21:30
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 14:00
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 14:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.17%E -3.84%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-10 14:00
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.17%E -3.84%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-10 14:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.17%E -3.84%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-10 14:00
FanDuel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -2.10%E -1.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -5.71%E -2.52%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-11 04:44
ReBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -5.71%E -2.52%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 16:10
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.10%E -1.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-11 04:45
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.84%E -2.33%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 14:00
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.84%E -2.33%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 13:59
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.17%E -3.84%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 21:33
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.17%E -3.84%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 21:30
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 04:44
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 04:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.76%E -4.22%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-10 16:09
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.76%E -4.22%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-10 16:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.80%EV -8.51%E -5.42%K -14.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -10.30%E -4.79%K -8.95%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-10 16:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.72%EV -9.09%E -5.83%K -16.23%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 42.28%EV -11.13%E -5.23%K -9.85%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-10 16:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 57.42%EV -11.42%E -7.51%K -21.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.58%EV -14.47%E -7.06%K -13.78%G +0.000%14.6%2026-10-10 16:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig◎1.57I 63.69%NM 57.57%2.13I 46.95%NM 42.43%10.6%2026-10-11 04:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 53.19%1.25I 80.00%NM 46.81%70.9%2026-10-11 04:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 53.19%1.25I 80.00%NM 46.81%70.9%2026-10-11 04:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 53.19%1.25I 80.00%NM 46.81%70.9%2026-10-11 04:50
Arbitraje (51 combinaciones) +0.48%1xBet 1.68 (59.8%) / Unibet 2.50 (40.2%)Ver las 51 combinaciones
Philadelphia 76ers (Local)Cleveland Cavaliers (Visitante)Margen
1xBet🎯 1.68 (59.8%)Unibet🎯 2.50 (40.2%)+0.478%
1xBet🎯 1.68 (59.8%)Unibet (SE)🎯 2.50 (40.2%)+0.478%
1xBet🎯 1.68 (59.8%)Unibet (NL)🎯 2.50 (40.2%)+0.478%
1xBet🎯 1.68 (59.8%)Bally Bet🎯 2.50 (40.2%)+0.478%
1xBet🎯 1.68 (59.8%)betPARX🎯 2.50 (40.2%)+0.478%
1xBet🎯 1.68 (59.8%)Svenska Spel🎯 2.50 (40.2%)+0.478%
1xBet🎯 1.68 (59.8%)ATG (SE)🎯 2.50 (40.2%)+0.478%
FanDuel🎯 1.68 (59.8%)Unibet🎯 2.50 (40.2%)+0.478%
FanDuel🎯 1.68 (59.8%)Unibet (SE)🎯 2.50 (40.2%)+0.478%
FanDuel🎯 1.68 (59.8%)Unibet (NL)🎯 2.50 (40.2%)+0.478%
FanDuel🎯 1.68 (59.8%)Bally Bet🎯 2.50 (40.2%)+0.478%
FanDuel🎯 1.68 (59.8%)betPARX🎯 2.50 (40.2%)+0.478%
FanDuel🎯 1.68 (59.8%)Svenska Spel🎯 2.50 (40.2%)+0.478%
FanDuel🎯 1.68 (59.8%)ATG (SE)🎯 2.50 (40.2%)+0.478%
SportsBet🎯 1.68 (59.8%)Unibet🎯 2.50 (40.2%)+0.478%
SportsBet🎯 1.68 (59.8%)Unibet (SE)🎯 2.50 (40.2%)+0.478%
SportsBet🎯 1.68 (59.8%)Unibet (NL)🎯 2.50 (40.2%)+0.478%
SportsBet🎯 1.68 (59.8%)Bally Bet🎯 2.50 (40.2%)+0.478%
SportsBet🎯 1.68 (59.8%)betPARX🎯 2.50 (40.2%)+0.478%
SportsBet🎯 1.68 (59.8%)Svenska Spel🎯 2.50 (40.2%)+0.478%
SportsBet🎯 1.68 (59.8%)ATG (SE)🎯 2.50 (40.2%)+0.478%
1xBet🎯 1.68 (59.6%)BetRivers🎯 2.48 (40.4%)+0.154%
1xBet🎯 1.68 (59.6%)TABtouch🎯 2.48 (40.4%)+0.154%
1xBet🎯 1.68 (59.6%)LiveScore Bet🎯 2.48 (40.4%)+0.154%
FanDuel🎯 1.68 (59.6%)BetRivers🎯 2.48 (40.4%)+0.154%
FanDuel🎯 1.68 (59.6%)TABtouch🎯 2.48 (40.4%)+0.154%
FanDuel🎯 1.68 (59.6%)LiveScore Bet🎯 2.48 (40.4%)+0.154%
SportsBet🎯 1.68 (59.6%)BetRivers🎯 2.48 (40.4%)+0.154%
SportsBet🎯 1.68 (59.6%)TABtouch🎯 2.48 (40.4%)+0.154%
SportsBet🎯 1.68 (59.6%)LiveScore Bet🎯 2.48 (40.4%)+0.154%
theScore Bet🎯 1.67 (60.0%)Unibet🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
theScore Bet🎯 1.67 (60.0%)Unibet (SE)🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
theScore Bet🎯 1.67 (60.0%)Unibet (NL)🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
theScore Bet🎯 1.67 (60.0%)Bally Bet🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
theScore Bet🎯 1.67 (60.0%)betPARX🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
theScore Bet🎯 1.67 (60.0%)Svenska Spel🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
theScore Bet🎯 1.67 (60.0%)ATG (SE)🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
Paddy Power🎯 1.67 (60.0%)Unibet🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
Paddy Power🎯 1.67 (60.0%)Unibet (SE)🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
Paddy Power🎯 1.67 (60.0%)Unibet (NL)🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
Paddy Power🎯 1.67 (60.0%)Bally Bet🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
Paddy Power🎯 1.67 (60.0%)betPARX🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
Paddy Power🎯 1.67 (60.0%)Svenska Spel🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
Paddy Power🎯 1.67 (60.0%)ATG (SE)🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
Sky Bet🎯 1.67 (60.0%)Unibet🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
Sky Bet🎯 1.67 (60.0%)Unibet (SE)🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
Sky Bet🎯 1.67 (60.0%)Unibet (NL)🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
Sky Bet🎯 1.67 (60.0%)Bally Bet🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
Sky Bet🎯 1.67 (60.0%)betPARX🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
Sky Bet🎯 1.67 (60.0%)Svenska Spel🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%

Mostrando 50 de 51 combinaciones