Language:English
Philadelphia 76ers v Boston Celtics
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Philadelphia 76ers (Local)
Prediction 32.60%3.07fair odd
EV +1.05%
Edge +0.338%
Kelly +0.499%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.49%32.51%32.62%33.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.952.953.1037.04%33.85%33.90%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Boston Celtics (Visit)
Prediction 67.40%1.48fair odd
EV -2.26%
Edge -1.56%
Kelly -5.03%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.01%67.49%67.38%69.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.341.411.411.4574.63%71.09%70.92%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Philadelphia 76ers (Local): 32.60%; Boston Celtics (Visit): 67.40%. For Philadelphia 76ers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.07. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.05%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%EV +1.05%E +0.338%K +0.499%G +0.005% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43%EV -3.61%E -2.53%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +1.05%E +0.338%K +0.499%G +0.005% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.98%E -5.06%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +1.05%E +0.338%K +0.499%G +0.005% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.33%E -6.13%K -23.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +1.05%E +0.338%K +0.499%G +0.005% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.33%E -6.13%K -23.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +1.05%E +0.338%K +0.499%G +0.005% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.33%E -6.13%K -23.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +1.05%E +0.338%K +0.499%G +0.005% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.33%E -6.13%K -23.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -0.581%E -0.190%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.96%E -3.52%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -0.581%E -0.190%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.96%E -3.52%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -0.581%E -0.190%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.96%E -3.52%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -0.581%E -0.190%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.96%E -3.52%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.581%E -0.190%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.98%E -5.06%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.581%E -0.190%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.98%E -5.06%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 00:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 32.29%EV -1.56%E -0.516%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.71%EV -2.94%E -2.04%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-01 00:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%EV -2.21%E -0.737%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%EV -2.26%E -1.56%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-01 00:02 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -2.21%E -0.737%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -3.61%E -2.53%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.21%E -0.737%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.29%E -3.02%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -2.21%E -0.737%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.96%E -3.52%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-01 00:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -2.21%E -0.737%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.96%E -3.52%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.21%E -0.737%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.63%E -4.02%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.21%E -0.737%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.63%E -4.02%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-01 00:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.21%E -0.737%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.63%E -4.02%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.21%E -0.737%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.63%E -4.02%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -2.86%E -0.961%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -4.29%E -3.02%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-01 00:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -2.86%E -0.961%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -4.29%E -3.02%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -3.84%E -1.30%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -2.94%E -2.04%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.84%E -1.30%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.61%E -2.53%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.84%E -1.30%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.61%E -2.53%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.84%E -1.30%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.61%E -2.53%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-01 00:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.84%E -1.30%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.29%E -3.02%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.84%E -1.30%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.29%E -3.02%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.84%E -1.30%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.63%E -4.02%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.84%E -1.30%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.63%E -4.02%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 00:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.84%E -1.30%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.63%E -4.02%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.84%E -1.30%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.63%E -4.02%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.84%E -1.30%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.63%E -4.02%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.84%E -1.30%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.63%E -4.02%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -3.84%E -1.30%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.98%E -5.06%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -4.82%E -1.65%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -3.61%E -2.53%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -5.47%E -1.89%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -2.94%E -2.04%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.47%E -1.89%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.61%E -2.53%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.47%E -1.89%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.61%E -2.53%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.47%E -1.89%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.61%E -2.53%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.47%E -1.89%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.61%E -2.53%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.47%E -1.89%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.29%E -3.02%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.47%E -1.89%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.29%E -3.02%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.47%E -1.89%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.96%E -3.52%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-01 00:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.47%E -1.89%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.63%E -4.02%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -5.47%E -1.89%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -7.66%E -5.59%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -5.47%E -1.89%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.33%E -6.13%K -23.14%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.95%EV -5.80%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -4.29%E -3.02%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.12%E -2.13%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.63%E -4.02%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-01 00:03 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.12%E -2.13%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.63%E -4.02%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.12%E -2.13%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.63%E -4.02%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.12%E -2.13%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.63%E -4.02%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -6.45%E -2.25%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.63%E -4.02%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -6.45%E -2.25%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.63%E -4.02%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -7.10%E -2.49%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -2.94%E -2.04%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.10%E -2.49%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.61%E -2.53%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 00:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.10%E -2.49%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.29%E -3.02%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.10%E -2.49%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.63%E -4.02%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-01 00:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV -7.10%E -2.49%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.02%EV -9.68%E -7.22%K -28.47%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -11.99%E -4.44%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.01%EV -6.31%E -4.54%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 00:03 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 3.16I 31.65%NM 31.60% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.40% | 0.1% | 2026-05-01 00:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 0.8% | 2026-05-01 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 0.8% | 2026-05-01 00:09 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 1.0% | 2026-05-01 00:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 1.0% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Polymarket◎ | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33% | 1.0% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 1.2% | 2026-05-01 00:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28% | 1.7% | 2026-05-01 00:09 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28% | 1.7% | 2026-05-01 00:09 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93% | 2.2% | 2026-05-01 00:10 |