L’École des cotes

Philadelphia 76ers v Boston Celtics

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-01 00:13 UTC

Score final : Philadelphia 76ers 106–93 Boston Celtics

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Philadelphia 76ers (Local)

Prévision 32.60%3.07cote équitable
EV +1.05%
Avantage +0.338%
Kelly +0.499%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.49%32.51%32.62%33.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.952.953.1037.04%33.85%33.90%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Boston Celtics (Visiteur)

Prévision 67.40%1.48cote équitable
EV -2.26%
Avantage -1.56%
Kelly -5.03%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
66.01%67.49%67.38%69.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.341.411.411.4574.63%71.09%70.92%68.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%EV +1.05%E +0.338%K +0.499%G +0.005%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43%EV -3.61%E -2.53%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-01 00:04
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +1.05%E +0.338%K +0.499%G +0.005%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.98%E -5.06%K -18.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-01 00:04
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +1.05%E +0.338%K +0.499%G +0.005%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.33%E -6.13%K -23.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-30 23:59
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +1.05%E +0.338%K +0.499%G +0.005%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.33%E -6.13%K -23.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-01 00:04
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +1.05%E +0.338%K +0.499%G +0.005%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.33%E -6.13%K -23.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-30 23:59
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +1.05%E +0.338%K +0.499%G +0.005%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.33%E -6.13%K -23.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-30 23:59
Unibet (NL)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -0.581%E -0.190%K -0.283%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.96%E -3.52%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-01 00:04
Unibet (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -0.581%E -0.190%K -0.283%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.96%E -3.52%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-01 00:04
Svenska Spel3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -0.581%E -0.190%K -0.283%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.96%E -3.52%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-01 00:04
ATG (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -0.581%E -0.190%K -0.283%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.96%E -3.52%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-01 00:04
NordicBet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.581%E -0.190%K -0.283%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.98%E -5.06%K -18.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 00:04
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.581%E -0.190%K -0.283%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.98%E -5.06%K -18.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 00:05
Pinnacle3.02I 33.11%NM 32.29%EV -1.56%E -0.516%K -0.772%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.71%EV -2.94%E -2.04%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-01 00:05
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%EV -2.21%E -0.737%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%EV -2.26%E -1.56%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-01 00:02
Winamax (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -2.21%E -0.737%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -3.61%E -2.53%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-01 00:04
Unibet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.21%E -0.737%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.29%E -3.02%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-30 23:59
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -2.21%E -0.737%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.96%E -3.52%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 00:09
Betr (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -2.21%E -0.737%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.96%E -3.52%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 00:04
TABtouch3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.21%E -0.737%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.63%E -4.02%K -14.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 00:04
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.21%E -0.737%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.63%E -4.02%K -14.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 00:09
betPARX3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.21%E -0.737%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.63%E -4.02%K -14.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 00:04
Bally Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.21%E -0.737%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.63%E -4.02%K -14.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 00:04
FanDuel2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -2.86%E -0.961%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -4.29%E -3.02%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-01 00:09
Coolbet2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -2.86%E -0.961%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -4.29%E -3.02%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-01 00:04
LowVig.ag2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -3.84%E -1.30%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -2.94%E -2.04%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-01 00:04
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.84%E -1.30%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.61%E -2.53%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-01 00:04
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.84%E -1.30%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.61%E -2.53%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-01 00:04
BetUS2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.84%E -1.30%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.61%E -2.53%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-01 00:05
Unibet (UK)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.84%E -1.30%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.29%E -3.02%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 00:04
Hard Rock Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.84%E -1.30%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.29%E -3.02%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 00:04
Neds2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.84%E -1.30%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.63%E -4.02%K -14.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 00:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.84%E -1.30%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.63%E -4.02%K -14.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 00:09
LiveScore Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.84%E -1.30%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.63%E -4.02%K -14.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 00:04
BetRivers2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.84%E -1.30%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.63%E -4.02%K -14.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 00:04
Virgin Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.84%E -1.30%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.63%E -4.02%K -14.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 00:04
Dabble (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.84%E -1.30%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.63%E -4.02%K -14.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 00:04
LeoVegas (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -3.84%E -1.30%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.98%E -5.06%K -18.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 00:04
BetOnline.ag2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -4.82%E -1.65%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -3.61%E -2.53%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-01 00:04
TAB2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -5.47%E -1.89%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -2.94%E -2.04%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-01 00:04
DraftKings2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.47%E -1.89%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.61%E -2.53%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-01 00:04
GTbets2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.47%E -1.89%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.61%E -2.53%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-01 00:04
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.47%E -1.89%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.61%E -2.53%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-01 00:04
BetAnything2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.47%E -1.89%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.61%E -2.53%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-01 00:04
Codere (IT)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.47%E -1.89%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.29%E -3.02%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 00:00
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.47%E -1.89%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.29%E -3.02%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 00:04
Winamax (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.47%E -1.89%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.96%E -3.52%K -12.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 00:05
Tipico (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.47%E -1.89%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.63%E -4.02%K -14.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 00:04
NetBet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -5.47%E -1.89%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -7.66%E -5.59%K -20.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-30 23:59
PMU (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -5.47%E -1.89%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.33%E -6.13%K -23.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-01 00:04
MyBookie.ag2.89I 34.60%NM 32.95%EV -5.80%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -4.29%E -3.02%K -10.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-30 23:59
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.12%E -2.13%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.63%E -4.02%K -14.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-01 00:03
Sky Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.12%E -2.13%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.63%E -4.02%K -14.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-01 00:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.12%E -2.13%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.63%E -4.02%K -14.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-01 00:04
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.12%E -2.13%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.63%E -4.02%K -14.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-01 00:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -6.45%E -2.25%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.63%E -4.02%K -14.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 00:04
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -6.45%E -2.25%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.63%E -4.02%K -14.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 00:04
Caesars2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -7.10%E -2.49%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -2.94%E -2.04%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-01 00:04
Fliff2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.10%E -2.49%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.61%E -2.53%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 00:09
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.10%E -2.49%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.29%E -3.02%K -10.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 00:04
Betway2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.10%E -2.49%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.63%E -4.02%K -14.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-01 00:05
LeoVegas2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV -7.10%E -2.49%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.02%EV -9.68%E -7.22%K -28.47%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-01 00:04
Betclic (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -11.99%E -4.44%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 66.01%EV -6.31%E -4.54%K -16.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 00:03
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig3.16I 31.65%NM 31.60%1.46I 68.49%NM 68.40%0.1%2026-05-01 00:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%0.8%2026-05-01 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%0.8%2026-05-01 00:09
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%1.0%2026-05-01 00:05
BetOpenly3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%1.0%2026-04-30 23:59
Polymarket3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%1.0%2026-05-01 00:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%1.2%2026-05-01 00:10
Smarkets3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28%1.7%2026-05-01 00:09
ProphetX3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28%1.7%2026-05-01 00:09
Matchbook3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%2.2%2026-05-01 00:10