Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Orlando Magic v Houston Rockets

Kickoff: 2026-02-27 00:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Orlando Magic (Local)

Prediction 43.84%2.28fair odd
EV +3.03%
Edge +1.29%
Kelly +2.25%
Growth +0.068%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.69%43.84%43.83%45.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.182.202.3548.78%45.82%45.45%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Houston Rockets (Visit)

Prediction 56.16%1.78fair odd
EV -1.73%
Edge -0.986%
Kelly -2.30%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.83%56.16%56.17%58.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.691.701.7560.98%59.05%58.82%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Orlando Magic (Local): 43.84%; Houston Rockets (Visit): 56.16%. For Orlando Magic (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.28. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.03%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV +3.03%E +1.29%K +2.25%G +0.068%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -5.66%E -3.37%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.1%2026-02-26 23:29
Pinnacle🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.35%E -0.601%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.41%E -1.98%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.6%2026-02-27 00:39
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.35%E -0.601%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.09%E -3.01%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-27 00:29
BetAnything🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.35%E -0.601%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.09%E -3.01%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-26 23:00
Fliff🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.35%E -0.601%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 00:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -2.23%E -1.000%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -4.53%E -2.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-27 00:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -2.23%E -1.000%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -4.53%E -2.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-27 00:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -2.23%E -1.000%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -4.53%E -2.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-27 00:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -2.23%E -1.000%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -4.53%E -2.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-27 00:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.23%E -1.000%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.78%E -4.08%K -10.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 00:24
SportsBet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -3.11%E -1.41%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -4.53%E -2.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-27 00:24
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV -1.73%E -0.986%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.6%2026-02-27 00:38
LowVig.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.29%E -1.31%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.9%2026-02-26 23:44
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-27 00:15
GTbets🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-26 22:34
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-27 00:23
Everygame🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-26 23:29
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-26 22:34
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.53%E -2.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-27 00:20
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.53%E -2.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-26 22:34
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.53%E -2.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-26 22:35
Dabble (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.53%E -2.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-27 00:39
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.09%E -3.01%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-26 23:19
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.09%E -3.01%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-27 00:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.66%E -3.37%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 00:34
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.66%E -3.37%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 00:39
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.66%E -3.37%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 00:20
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.66%E -3.37%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 00:19
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.66%E -3.37%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 00:19
Bally Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.66%E -3.37%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 00:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.22%E -3.72%K -9.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 00:35
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.22%E -3.72%K -9.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 00:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.22%E -3.72%K -9.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 00:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.78%E -4.08%K -10.27%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-27 00:39
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-27 00:29
MyBookie.ag🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -3.98%E -1.82%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -5.66%E -3.37%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 22:38
Unibet (UK)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -4.42%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -2.85%E -1.65%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-27 00:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -4.42%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.41%E -1.98%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-26 23:44
Codere (IT)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.86%E -2.24%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.53%E -2.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-26 23:20
LeoVegas🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -5.30%E -2.45%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -7.90%E -4.82%K -12.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 00:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.29%E -1.31%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-27 00:25
Caesars🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.29%E -1.31%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-27 00:14
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.41%E -1.98%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-27 00:14
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.41%E -1.98%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-27 00:40
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.53%E -2.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 23:19
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.53%E -2.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 00:24
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.53%E -2.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 22:44
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.53%E -2.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 23:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.53%E -2.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 23:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.53%E -2.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 23:44
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.53%E -2.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 00:14
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.53%E -2.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 00:14
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.09%E -3.01%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-27 00:39
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.22%E -3.72%K -9.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-27 00:19
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.22%E -3.72%K -9.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-27 00:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.22%E -3.72%K -9.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-27 00:19
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.22%E -3.72%K -9.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 22:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.22%E -3.72%K -9.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 22:35
NetBet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 00:31
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.93%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.85%E -1.65%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 00:20
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.93%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.85%E -1.65%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-26 16:33
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.93%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-27 00:34
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.93%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.66%E -3.37%K -8.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 00:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -10.12%E -4.94%K -9.64%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-27 00:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%0.0%2026-02-27 00:25
ProphetX2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%0.3%2026-02-27 00:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-02-27 00:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-02-27 00:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-02-27 00:40
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-02-27 00:40
Polymarket2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-02-26 23:19
Novig2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%1.4%2026-02-27 00:40
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%2.0%2026-02-27 00:39
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.2%2026-02-27 00:39