La escuela de los momios

Orlando Magic v Houston Rockets

Inicio: 2026-02-27 00:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Orlando Magic (Local)

Predicción 43.84%2.28momio equitativo
EV +3.03%
Ventaja +1.29%
Kelly +2.25%
Crecimiento +0.068%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.69%43.84%43.83%45.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.182.202.3548.78%45.82%45.45%42.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Houston Rockets (Visitante)

Predicción 56.16%1.78momio equitativo
EV -1.73%
Ventaja -0.986%
Kelly -2.30%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.83%56.16%56.17%58.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.641.691.701.7560.98%59.05%58.82%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV +3.03%E +1.29%K +2.25%G +0.068%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -5.66%E -3.37%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.1%2026-02-26 23:29
Pinnacle2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.35%E -0.601%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.41%E -1.98%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.6%2026-02-27 00:39
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.35%E -0.601%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.09%E -3.01%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-27 00:29
BetAnything2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.35%E -0.601%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.09%E -3.01%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-26 23:00
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.35%E -0.601%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 00:25
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -2.23%E -1.000%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -4.53%E -2.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-27 00:19
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -2.23%E -1.000%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -4.53%E -2.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-27 00:19
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -2.23%E -1.000%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -4.53%E -2.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-27 00:20
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -2.23%E -1.000%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -4.53%E -2.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-27 00:19
Unibet (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.23%E -1.000%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.78%E -4.08%K -10.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 00:24
SportsBet2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -3.11%E -1.41%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -4.53%E -2.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-27 00:24
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV -1.73%E -0.986%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.6%2026-02-27 00:38
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.29%E -1.31%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.9%2026-02-26 23:44
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-27 00:15
GTbets2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-26 22:34
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-27 00:23
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-26 23:29
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-26 22:34
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.53%E -2.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-27 00:20
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.53%E -2.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-26 22:34
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.53%E -2.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-26 22:35
Dabble (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.53%E -2.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-27 00:39
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.09%E -3.01%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-26 23:19
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.09%E -3.01%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-27 00:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.66%E -3.37%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 00:34
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.66%E -3.37%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 00:39
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.66%E -3.37%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 00:20
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.66%E -3.37%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 00:19
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.66%E -3.37%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 00:19
Bally Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.66%E -3.37%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 00:19
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.22%E -3.72%K -9.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 00:35
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.22%E -3.72%K -9.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 00:35
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.22%E -3.72%K -9.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 00:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.78%E -4.08%K -10.27%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-27 00:39
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-27 00:29
MyBookie.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -3.98%E -1.82%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -5.66%E -3.37%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 22:38
Unibet (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -4.42%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -2.85%E -1.65%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-27 00:39
BetOnline.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -4.42%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.41%E -1.98%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-26 23:44
Codere (IT)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.86%E -2.24%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.53%E -2.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-26 23:20
LeoVegas2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -5.30%E -2.45%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -7.90%E -4.82%K -12.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 00:39
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.29%E -1.31%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-27 00:25
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.29%E -1.31%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-27 00:14
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.41%E -1.98%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-27 00:14
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.41%E -1.98%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-27 00:40
Parions Sport (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.53%E -2.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 23:19
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.53%E -2.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 00:24
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.53%E -2.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 22:44
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.53%E -2.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 23:45
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.53%E -2.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 23:44
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.53%E -2.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 23:44
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.53%E -2.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 00:14
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.53%E -2.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 00:14
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.09%E -3.01%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-27 00:39
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.22%E -3.72%K -9.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-27 00:19
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.22%E -3.72%K -9.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-27 00:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.22%E -3.72%K -9.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-27 00:19
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.22%E -3.72%K -9.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 22:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.22%E -3.72%K -9.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 22:35
NetBet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 00:31
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.93%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.85%E -1.65%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 00:20
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.93%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.85%E -1.65%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-26 16:33
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.93%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-27 00:34
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.93%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.66%E -3.37%K -8.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 00:40
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -10.12%E -4.94%K -9.64%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-27 00:34
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%0.0%2026-02-27 00:25
ProphetX2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%0.3%2026-02-27 00:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-02-27 00:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-02-27 00:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-02-27 00:40
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-02-27 00:40
Polymarket2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-02-26 23:19
Novig2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%1.4%2026-02-27 00:40
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%2.0%2026-02-27 00:39
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.2%2026-02-27 00:39