Language:English
Orlando Magic v Detroit Pistons
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Orlando Magic (Local)
Prediction 40.78%2.45fair odd
EV -1.32%
Edge -0.544%
Kelly -0.927%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.70%40.83%40.83%42.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.182.342.352.4245.87%42.68%42.55%41.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Detroit Pistons (Visit)
Prediction 59.22%1.69fair odd
EV -1.69%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -2.56%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.82%59.17%59.17%60.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.611.611.6664.94%62.19%62.11%60.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Orlando Magic (Local): 40.78%; Detroit Pistons (Visit): 59.22%. For Orlando Magic (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.45. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.42, with an expected value of -1.32%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -1.32%E -0.544%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -2.28%E -1.38%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-05-01 22:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -1.72%E -0.715%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -2.88%E -1.75%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-01 22:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.13%E -0.888%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-01 23:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.13%E -0.888%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-01 19:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.13%E -0.888%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-01 19:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.13%E -0.888%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.13%E -0.888%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-01 20:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.13%E -0.888%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.25%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-01 15:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.13%E -0.888%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.25%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-01 15:14 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.13%E -0.888%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.43%E -4.07%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 22:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -6.43%E -4.07%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-01 17:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-01 22:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-01 22:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-01 22:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-01 22:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-01 23:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-01 23:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-01 15:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-01 23:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-01 16:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-01 15:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-01 15:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -3.36%E -1.42%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -2.28%E -1.38%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -3.36%E -1.42%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-01 19:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -3.36%E -1.42%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-01 19:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.76%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-01 19:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.28%E -1.38%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.47%E -2.13%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-01 22:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-01 22:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-01 22:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-01 19:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.25%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-01 20:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.25%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-01 19:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.25%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-01 19:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -4.99%E -2.14%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -1.69%E -1.02%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-01 22:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.99%E -2.14%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 22:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.99%E -2.14%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 22:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.99%E -2.14%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 23:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.99%E -2.14%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 22:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -5.39%E -2.32%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -1.69%E -1.02%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-01 22:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.39%E -2.32%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-01 22:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.39%E -2.32%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-01 22:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.39%E -2.32%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-01 22:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -5.39%E -2.32%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -5.25%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-01 22:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.81%EV -5.80%E -2.51%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.19%EV -1.69%E -1.02%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-01 22:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.28%E -1.38%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.88%E -1.75%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-01 23:03 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.47%E -2.13%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-01 22:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-01 23:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.25%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-01 22:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.25%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-01 22:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-01 22:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.03%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.47%E -2.13%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-01 22:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -7.03%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -7.61%E -4.88%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-01 22:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-01 19:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-01 22:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.85%EV -9.06%E -4.06%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.15%EV -8.80%E -5.71%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-01 22:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -11.10%E -5.09%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.82%EV -5.84%E -3.67%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-01 23:03 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 0.5% | 2026-05-01 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 0.5% | 2026-05-01 23:00 |
| Novig◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 0.5% | 2026-05-01 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 0.8% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 0.8% | 2026-05-01 23:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-05-01 19:49 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-05-01 22:59 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11% | 1.9% | 2026-05-01 23:00 |