La escuela de los momios

Orlando Magic v Detroit Pistons

Inicio: 2026-05-01 23:10 UTC

Final: Orlando Magic 79–93 Detroit Pistons

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Orlando Magic (Local)

Predicción 40.78%2.45momio equitativo
EV -1.32%
Ventaja -0.544%
Kelly -0.927%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.42

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.70%40.83%40.83%42.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.182.342.352.4245.87%42.68%42.55%41.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Detroit Pistons (Visitante)

Predicción 59.22%1.69momio equitativo
EV -1.69%
Ventaja -1.02%
Kelly -2.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.66

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.82%59.17%59.17%60.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.541.611.611.6664.94%62.19%62.11%60.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -1.32%E -0.544%K -0.927%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -2.28%E -1.38%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-01 22:19
Pinnacle2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -1.72%E -0.715%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -2.88%E -1.75%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-01 22:54
BetAnything2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.13%E -0.888%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-01 23:00
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.13%E -0.888%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-01 19:50
Caesars2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.13%E -0.888%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-01 19:49
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.13%E -0.888%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-01 23:04
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.13%E -0.888%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-01 20:29
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.13%E -0.888%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.25%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-01 15:40
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.13%E -0.888%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.25%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-01 15:14
Dabble (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.13%E -0.888%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.43%E -4.07%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 22:59
Codere (IT)2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -6.43%E -4.07%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 17:10
Unibet (NL)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-01 22:59
Unibet (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-01 22:59
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-01 22:59
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-01 22:59
FanDuel2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-01 23:05
SportsBet2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-01 23:04
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-01 23:00
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-01 15:40
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-01 23:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-01 23:04
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-01 16:24
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-01 15:40
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-01 15:40
theScore Bet2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -3.36%E -1.42%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -2.28%E -1.38%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-01 23:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -3.36%E -1.42%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 19:50
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -3.36%E -1.42%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 19:49
DraftKings2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.76%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-01 19:55
Bet Victor2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.28%E -1.38%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-01 23:04
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.47%E -2.13%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-01 22:44
TAB2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 22:04
GTbets2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 22:10
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-01 19:39
Fliff2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-01 23:04
Hard Rock Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-01 23:04
MyBookie.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.25%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 20:35
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.25%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 19:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.25%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 19:55
LowVig.ag2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -4.99%E -2.14%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -1.69%E -1.02%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-01 22:59
Unibet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.99%E -2.14%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 22:59
TABtouch2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.99%E -2.14%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 22:59
betPARX2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.99%E -2.14%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 23:00
Bally Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.99%E -2.14%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 22:59
BetOnline.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -5.39%E -2.32%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -1.69%E -1.02%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-01 22:59
BetRivers2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.39%E -2.32%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 22:30
LiveScore Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.39%E -2.32%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 22:30
Virgin Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.39%E -2.32%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 22:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -5.39%E -2.32%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -5.25%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 22:59
BetUS2.31I 43.29%NM 41.81%EV -5.80%E -2.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.19%EV -1.69%E -1.02%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-01 22:59
ReBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.28%E -1.38%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-01 23:04
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.88%E -1.75%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-01 23:03
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.47%E -2.13%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 22:54
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 23:05
NordicBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.25%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-01 22:59
Betsson2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.25%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-01 22:59
NetBet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 22:14
Bet Right2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.03%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.47%E -2.13%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 22:50
PMU (FR)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -7.03%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -7.61%E -4.88%K -13.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-01 22:59
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-01 19:40
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-01 23:04
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-01 23:04
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-01 22:59
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 40.85%EV -9.06%E -4.06%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.15%EV -8.80%E -5.71%K -16.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-01 22:29
Betclic (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -11.10%E -5.09%K -9.41%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 57.82%EV -5.84%E -3.67%K -9.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 23:03
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-05-01 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-05-01 23:00
Novig2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-05-01 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-05-01 23:04
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-05-01 23:04
ProphetX2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-05-01 23:00
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-05-01 19:49
BetOpenly2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-05-01 22:59
Polymarket2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-05-01 23:04
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%1.9%2026-05-01 23:00