Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oklahoma City Thunder v San Antonio Spurs

Kickoff: 2026-05-27 00:40 UTC

Final: Oklahoma City Thunder 127–114 San Antonio Spurs

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oklahoma City Thunder (Local)

Prediction 58.61%1.71fair odd
EV -0.362%
Edge -0.213%
Kelly -0.517%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%58.61%58.49%60.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.631.631.7064.10%61.40%61.35%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Antonio Spurs (Visit)

Prediction 41.39%2.42fair odd
EV +0.162%
Edge +0.067%
Kelly +0.114%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.75%41.39%41.51%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.182.312.302.4245.87%43.25%43.48%41.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oklahoma City Thunder (Local): 58.61%; San Antonio Spurs (Visit): 41.39%. For San Antonio Spurs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.416. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.420, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.162%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetAnything🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -5.05%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV +0.162%E +0.067%K +0.114%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-27 00:19
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -3.29%E -2.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -0.666%E -0.277%K -0.476%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-27 00:30
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -3.29%E -2.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -1.49%E -0.628%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-27 00:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -3.88%E -2.36%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -1.49%E -0.628%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-27 00:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -4.46%E -2.74%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -1.49%E -0.628%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-27 00:09
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -5.05%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -1.49%E -0.628%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-27 00:29
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.98%E -5.08%K -14.00%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.49%E -0.628%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 00:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.98%E -5.08%K -14.00%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.49%E -0.628%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 00:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.98%E -5.08%K -14.00%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.49%E -0.628%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 00:29
ReBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -5.05%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -1.91%E -0.805%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-27 00:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -7.98%E -5.08%K -14.00%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -1.91%E -0.805%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 00:20
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -5.05%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.32%E -0.984%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-27 00:09
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.05%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.74%E -1.16%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 00:30
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.05%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.74%E -1.16%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 00:10
GTbets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.05%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.74%E -1.16%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 00:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.05%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.74%E -1.16%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 00:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.05%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.74%E -1.16%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 00:29
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.22%E -3.89%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.74%E -1.16%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 00:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.22%E -3.89%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.74%E -1.16%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 00:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.98%E -5.08%K -14.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.74%E -1.16%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 21:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -5.64%E -3.50%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -3.15%E -1.35%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 00:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -6.22%E -3.89%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -3.15%E -1.35%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 00:28
SportsBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -4.46%E -2.74%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -3.56%E -1.53%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 00:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.44%EV -3.29%E -2.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.56%EV -3.98%E -1.71%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-27 00:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.44%EV -3.29%E -2.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.56%EV -3.98%E -1.71%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-27 00:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.44%EV -3.29%E -2.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.56%EV -3.98%E -1.71%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-27 00:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.44%EV -3.29%E -2.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.56%EV -3.98%E -1.71%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-27 00:30
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -0.362%E -0.213%K -0.517%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -4.80%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-27 00:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.12%E -1.27%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.80%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-27 00:00
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.12%E -1.27%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.80%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-26 23:59
Everygame🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.12%E -1.27%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.80%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-27 00:09
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.29%E -2.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.80%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-27 00:30
Caesars🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.29%E -2.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.80%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-26 23:57
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.29%E -2.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.80%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-27 00:30
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.29%E -2.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.80%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-26 23:50
Unibet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.88%E -2.36%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.80%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 00:30
TABtouch🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.88%E -2.36%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.80%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 00:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.88%E -2.36%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.80%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 00:30
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.46%E -2.74%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.80%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 22:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.05%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.80%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 00:30
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.05%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.80%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 00:00
Fliff🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.05%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.80%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 00:30
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.05%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.80%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 23:20
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.22%E -3.89%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.80%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 00:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.22%E -3.89%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.80%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 00:20
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.22%E -3.89%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.80%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 00:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.29%E -2.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -5.63%E -2.47%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 00:30
betPARX🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.88%E -2.36%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.63%E -2.47%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 00:30
Bally Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.88%E -2.36%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.63%E -2.47%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 00:30
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.46%E -2.74%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.63%E -2.47%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 00:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.46%E -2.74%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.63%E -2.47%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 00:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.46%E -2.74%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.63%E -2.47%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 00:00
Bet Right🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.46%E -2.74%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.63%E -2.47%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 00:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -1.53%E -0.913%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -6.87%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-27 00:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.12%E -1.27%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.87%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 00:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.71%E -1.63%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.87%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 00:30
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.29%E -2.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.87%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 00:30
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.29%E -2.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.87%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 00:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.29%E -2.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.87%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 22:50
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.05%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.87%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 21:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.05%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.87%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 00:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.40%E -4.68%K -12.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.87%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-27 00:29
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.12%E -1.27%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.94%E -4.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 00:29
LeoVegas🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.29%EV -8.57%E -5.49%K -15.30%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.71%EV -9.77%E -4.48%K -8.28%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-27 00:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%0.2%2026-05-27 00:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-05-27 00:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-05-27 00:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-05-27 00:30
ProphetX1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-05-27 00:30
Novig1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-05-27 00:30
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-05-26 22:10
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-05-26 23:50
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-05-27 00:30
BetOpenly1.50I 66.67%NM 62.12%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.88%7.3%2026-05-27 00:29