La escuela de los momios

Oklahoma City Thunder v San Antonio Spurs

Inicio: 2026-05-27 00:40 UTC

Final: Oklahoma City Thunder 127–114 San Antonio Spurs

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Oklahoma City Thunder (Local)

Predicción 58.61%1.71momio equitativo
EV -0.362%
Ventaja -0.213%
Kelly -0.517%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.85%58.61%58.49%60.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.561.631.631.7064.10%61.40%61.35%58.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

San Antonio Spurs (Visitante)

Predicción 41.39%2.42momio equitativo
EV +0.162%
Ventaja +0.067%
Kelly +0.114%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.42

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.75%41.39%41.51%43.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.182.312.302.4245.87%43.25%43.48%41.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
BetAnything1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -5.05%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV +0.162%E +0.067%K +0.114%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-27 00:19
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -3.29%E -2.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -0.666%E -0.277%K -0.476%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-27 00:30
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -3.29%E -2.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -1.49%E -0.628%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-27 00:30
LowVig.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -3.88%E -2.36%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -1.49%E -0.628%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-27 00:09
BetOnline.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -4.46%E -2.74%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -1.49%E -0.628%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-27 00:09
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -5.05%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -1.49%E -0.628%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-27 00:29
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.98%E -5.08%K -14.00%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.49%E -0.628%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 00:29
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.98%E -5.08%K -14.00%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.49%E -0.628%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 00:29
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.98%E -5.08%K -14.00%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.49%E -0.628%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 00:29
ReBet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -5.05%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -1.91%E -0.805%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-27 00:20
Betclic (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -7.98%E -5.08%K -14.00%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -1.91%E -0.805%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 00:20
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -5.05%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.32%E -0.984%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-27 00:09
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.05%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.74%E -1.16%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 00:30
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.05%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.74%E -1.16%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 00:10
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.05%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.74%E -1.16%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 00:00
Unibet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.05%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.74%E -1.16%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 00:19
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.05%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.74%E -1.16%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 00:29
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.22%E -3.89%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.74%E -1.16%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 00:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.22%E -3.89%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.74%E -1.16%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 00:30
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.98%E -5.08%K -14.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.74%E -1.16%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 21:10
Codere (IT)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -5.64%E -3.50%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -3.15%E -1.35%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 00:20
MyBookie.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -6.22%E -3.89%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -3.15%E -1.35%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 00:28
SportsBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -4.46%E -2.74%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -3.56%E -1.53%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 00:30
Unibet (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.44%EV -3.29%E -2.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.56%EV -3.98%E -1.71%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-27 00:30
Unibet (NL)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.44%EV -3.29%E -2.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.56%EV -3.98%E -1.71%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-27 00:30
Svenska Spel1.65I 60.61%NM 58.44%EV -3.29%E -2.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.56%EV -3.98%E -1.71%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-27 00:19
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.44%EV -3.29%E -2.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.56%EV -3.98%E -1.71%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-27 00:30
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -0.362%E -0.213%K -0.517%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -4.80%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-27 00:30
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.12%E -1.27%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.80%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-27 00:00
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.12%E -1.27%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.80%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-26 23:59
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.12%E -1.27%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.80%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-27 00:09
FanDuel1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.29%E -2.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.80%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-27 00:30
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.29%E -2.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.80%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-26 23:57
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.29%E -2.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.80%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-27 00:30
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.29%E -2.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.80%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-26 23:50
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.88%E -2.36%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.80%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 00:30
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.88%E -2.36%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.80%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 00:30
Dabble (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.88%E -2.36%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.80%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 00:30
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.46%E -2.74%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.80%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 22:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.05%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.80%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 00:30
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.05%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.80%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 00:00
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.05%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.80%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 00:30
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.05%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.80%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 23:20
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.22%E -3.89%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.80%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 00:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.22%E -3.89%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.80%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 00:20
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.22%E -3.89%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.80%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 00:10
PMU (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.29%E -2.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -5.63%E -2.47%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 00:30
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.88%E -2.36%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.63%E -2.47%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 00:30
Bally Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.88%E -2.36%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.63%E -2.47%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 00:30
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.46%E -2.74%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.63%E -2.47%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 00:30
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.46%E -2.74%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.63%E -2.47%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 00:00
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.46%E -2.74%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.63%E -2.47%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 00:00
Bet Right1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.46%E -2.74%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.63%E -2.47%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 00:10
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -1.53%E -0.913%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -6.87%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-27 00:30
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.12%E -1.27%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.87%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 00:30
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.71%E -1.63%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.87%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 00:30
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.29%E -2.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.87%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 00:30
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.29%E -2.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.87%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 00:30
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.29%E -2.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.87%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 22:50
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.05%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.87%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 21:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.05%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.87%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 00:30
NetBet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.40%E -4.68%K -12.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.87%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-27 00:29
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.12%E -1.27%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.94%E -4.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 00:29
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 58.29%EV -8.57%E -5.49%K -15.30%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.71%EV -9.77%E -4.48%K -8.28%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-27 00:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%0.2%2026-05-27 00:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-05-27 00:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-05-27 00:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-05-27 00:30
ProphetX1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-05-27 00:30
Novig1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-05-27 00:30
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-05-26 22:10
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-05-26 23:50
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-05-27 00:30
BetOpenly1.50I 66.67%NM 62.12%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.88%7.3%2026-05-27 00:29