Language:English
Oklahoma City Thunder v Los Angeles Lakers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Oklahoma City Thunder (Local)
Prediction 86.13%1.16fair odd
EV -0.086%
Edge -0.074%
Kelly -0.536%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.16
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.58%85.96%86.26%87.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.061.111.111.1694.34%90.34%90.09%86.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Los Angeles Lakers (Visit)
Prediction 13.87%7.21fair odd
EV +7.47%
Edge +0.964%
Kelly +1.11%
Growth +0.083%
assuming max odds 7.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.43%14.04%13.74%17.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.867.007.7518.18%14.58%14.29%12.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oklahoma City Thunder (Local): 86.13%; Los Angeles Lakers (Visit): 13.87%. For Los Angeles Lakers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.21. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.47%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.57%EV -5.25%E -4.78%K -52.54%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.43%EV +7.47%E +0.964%K +1.11%G +0.083% | 3.8% | 2026-05-06 00:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.21%EV -4.39%E -3.96%K -39.93%G +0.000% | 7.57I 13.21%NM 12.79%EV +4.97%E +0.657%K +0.757%G +0.038% | 3.3% | 2026-05-06 00:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.25%E -4.78%K -52.54%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +4.00%E +0.534%K +0.616%G +0.025% | 4.2% | 2026-05-06 00:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.25%E -4.78%K -52.54%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +4.00%E +0.534%K +0.616%G +0.025% | 4.2% | 2026-05-06 00:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.25%E -4.78%K -52.54%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +4.00%E +0.534%K +0.616%G +0.025% | 4.2% | 2026-05-06 00:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.25%E -4.78%K -52.54%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +4.00%E +0.534%K +0.616%G +0.025% | 4.2% | 2026-05-06 00:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.25%E -4.78%K -52.54%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +4.00%E +0.534%K +0.616%G +0.025% | 4.2% | 2026-05-06 00:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.25%E -4.78%K -52.54%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +4.00%E +0.534%K +0.616%G +0.025% | 4.2% | 2026-05-06 00:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.06%EV -5.25%E -4.78%K -52.54%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.94%EV +2.62%E +0.354%K +0.409%G +0.011% | 4.4% | 2026-05-06 00:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.06%EV -5.25%E -4.78%K -52.54%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.94%EV +2.62%E +0.354%K +0.409%G +0.011% | 4.4% | 2026-05-06 00:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.91%EV -4.39%E -3.96%K -39.93%G +0.000% | 7.37I 13.57%NM 13.09%EV +2.20%E +0.299%K +0.345%G +0.008% | 3.7% | 2026-05-06 00:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -5.25%E -4.78%K -52.54%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV +0.536%E +0.074%K +0.086%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 00:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.64%EV -4.39%E -3.96%K -39.93%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.36%EV -0.157%E -0.022%K -0.025%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-06 00:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.64%EV -4.39%E -3.96%K -39.93%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.36%EV -0.157%E -0.022%K -0.025%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-06 00:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.48%EV -4.39%E -3.96%K -39.93%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.52%EV -1.54%E -0.217%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-06 00:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.29%EV -3.53%E -3.15%K -29.43%G +0.000% | 7.05I 14.18%NM 13.71%EV -2.24%E -0.317%K -0.370%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-06 00:38 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.00%EV -1.81%E -1.59%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.00%EV -2.93%E -0.419%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-06 00:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -3.53%E -3.15%K -29.43%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -2.93%E -0.419%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-06 00:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.39%E -3.96%K -39.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -2.93%E -0.419%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-06 00:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.39%E -3.96%K -39.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -2.93%E -0.419%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-06 00:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.39%E -3.96%K -39.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -2.93%E -0.419%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-06 00:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.39%E -3.96%K -39.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -2.93%E -0.419%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-06 00:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.39%E -3.96%K -39.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -2.93%E -0.419%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-06 00:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.25%E -4.78%K -52.54%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.93%E -0.419%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 00:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.25%E -4.78%K -52.54%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.93%E -0.419%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 00:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.25%E -4.78%K -52.54%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.93%E -0.419%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 00:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.25%E -4.78%K -52.54%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.93%E -0.419%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 00:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.25%E -4.78%K -52.54%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.93%E -0.419%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 00:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.25%E -4.78%K -52.54%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.93%E -0.419%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 00:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.25%E -4.78%K -52.54%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.93%E -0.419%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 00:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.12%E -5.61%K -67.95%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -2.93%E -0.419%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 00:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.12%E -5.61%K -67.95%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -2.93%E -0.419%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 00:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.12%E -5.61%K -67.95%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -2.93%E -0.419%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 00:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.12%E -5.61%K -67.95%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -2.93%E -0.419%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 00:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.12%E -5.61%K -67.95%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -2.93%E -0.419%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 00:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.03%EV -3.53%E -3.15%K -29.43%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.97%EV -4.32%E -0.626%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-06 00:28 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.91%EV -3.53%E -3.15%K -29.43%G +0.000% | 6.83I 14.64%NM 14.09%EV -5.29%E -0.774%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-06 00:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -3.53%E -3.15%K -29.43%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -6.40%E -0.948%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-06 00:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -3.53%E -3.15%K -29.43%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -6.40%E -0.948%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-06 00:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.39%E -3.96%K -39.93%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -6.40%E -0.948%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 00:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.39%E -3.96%K -39.93%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -6.40%E -0.948%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 00:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.39%E -3.96%K -39.93%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -6.40%E -0.948%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 00:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -6.98%E -6.46%K -87.21%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -6.40%E -0.948%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-06 00:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -6.98%E -6.46%K -87.21%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -6.40%E -0.948%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-06 00:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -4.39%E -3.96%K -39.93%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -8.48%E -1.28%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 00:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.47%EV -4.39%E -3.96%K -39.93%G +0.000% | 6.53I 15.31%NM 14.53%EV -9.45%E -1.45%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 00:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.53%E -3.15%K -29.43%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -9.86%E -1.52%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 00:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.39%E -3.96%K -39.93%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -9.86%E -1.52%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 00:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.39%E -3.96%K -39.93%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -9.86%E -1.52%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 00:28 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.39%E -3.96%K -39.93%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -9.86%E -1.52%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 00:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.39%E -3.96%K -39.93%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -9.86%E -1.52%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 00:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.39%E -3.96%K -39.93%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -9.86%E -1.52%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 00:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.39%E -3.96%K -39.93%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -9.86%E -1.52%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 00:28 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.39%E -3.96%K -39.93%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -9.86%E -1.52%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 00:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.25%E -4.78%K -52.54%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.86%E -1.52%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-06 00:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.25%E -4.78%K -52.54%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.86%E -1.52%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-06 00:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 85.79%EV -8.70%E -8.21%K -144.99%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.21%EV -11.25%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-06 00:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.02%EV -4.39%E -3.96%K -39.93%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.98%EV -12.64%E -2.01%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 00:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -2.67%E -2.36%K -20.54%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -13.33%E -2.13%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-06 00:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -2.67%E -2.36%K -20.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -16.80%E -2.80%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 00:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.94%EV -5.25%E -4.78%K -52.54%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -20.26%E -3.52%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-06 00:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -0.086%E -0.074%K -0.536%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -23.73%E -4.31%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-06 00:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -1.81%E -1.59%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -23.73%E -4.31%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-06 00:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.74% | 7.52I 13.30%NM 13.26% | 0.3% | 2026-05-06 00:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75% | 0.5% | 2026-05-06 00:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75% | 0.5% | 2026-05-06 00:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 0.9% | 2026-05-06 00:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 0.9% | 2026-05-06 00:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 0.9% | 2026-05-06 00:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87% | 1.0% | 2026-05-06 00:39 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.29% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.71% | 1.9% | 2026-05-06 00:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.75% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.25% | 2.0% | 2026-05-06 00:39 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.90% | 8.06I 12.41%NM 12.10% | 2.5% | 2026-05-06 00:29 |