La escuela de los momios

Oklahoma City Thunder v Los Angeles Lakers

Inicio: 2026-05-06 00:42 UTC

Final: Oklahoma City Thunder 108–90 Los Angeles Lakers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Oklahoma City Thunder (Local)

Predicción 86.13%1.16momio equitativo
EV -0.086%
Ventaja -0.074%
Kelly -0.536%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.16

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
82.58%85.96%86.26%87.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.061.111.111.1694.34%90.34%90.09%86.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Los Angeles Lakers (Visitante)

Predicción 13.87%7.21momio equitativo
EV +7.47%
Ventaja +0.964%
Kelly +1.11%
Crecimiento +0.083%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.43%14.04%13.74%17.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.506.867.007.7518.18%14.58%14.29%12.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Bet Victor1.10I 90.91%NM 87.57%EV -5.25%E -4.78%K -52.54%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.43%EV +7.47%E +0.964%K +1.11%G +0.083%3.8%2026-05-06 00:40
LowVig.ag1.11I 90.09%NM 87.21%EV -4.39%E -3.96%K -39.93%G +0.000%7.57I 13.21%NM 12.79%EV +4.97%E +0.657%K +0.757%G +0.038%3.3%2026-05-06 00:39
Unibet (NL)1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.25%E -4.78%K -52.54%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +4.00%E +0.534%K +0.616%G +0.025%4.2%2026-05-06 00:39
Unibet (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.25%E -4.78%K -52.54%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +4.00%E +0.534%K +0.616%G +0.025%4.2%2026-05-06 00:39
Caesars1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.25%E -4.78%K -52.54%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +4.00%E +0.534%K +0.616%G +0.025%4.2%2026-05-06 00:39
Unibet (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.25%E -4.78%K -52.54%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +4.00%E +0.534%K +0.616%G +0.025%4.2%2026-05-06 00:39
Svenska Spel1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.25%E -4.78%K -52.54%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +4.00%E +0.534%K +0.616%G +0.025%4.2%2026-05-06 00:39
ATG (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.25%E -4.78%K -52.54%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +4.00%E +0.534%K +0.616%G +0.025%4.2%2026-05-06 00:39
BetAnything1.10I 90.91%NM 87.06%EV -5.25%E -4.78%K -52.54%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.94%EV +2.62%E +0.354%K +0.409%G +0.011%4.4%2026-05-06 00:39
BetUS1.10I 90.91%NM 87.06%EV -5.25%E -4.78%K -52.54%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.94%EV +2.62%E +0.354%K +0.409%G +0.011%4.4%2026-05-06 00:39
BetOnline.ag1.11I 90.09%NM 86.91%EV -4.39%E -3.96%K -39.93%G +0.000%7.37I 13.57%NM 13.09%EV +2.20%E +0.299%K +0.345%G +0.008%3.7%2026-05-06 00:39
BetMGM1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -5.25%E -4.78%K -52.54%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV +0.536%E +0.074%K +0.086%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 00:39
SportsBet1.11I 90.09%NM 86.64%EV -4.39%E -3.96%K -39.93%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.36%EV -0.157%E -0.022%K -0.025%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-06 00:39
Coolbet1.11I 90.09%NM 86.64%EV -4.39%E -3.96%K -39.93%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.36%EV -0.157%E -0.022%K -0.025%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-06 00:39
FanDuel1.11I 90.09%NM 86.48%EV -4.39%E -3.96%K -39.93%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.52%EV -1.54%E -0.217%K -0.253%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-06 00:39
GTbets1.12I 89.29%NM 86.29%EV -3.53%E -3.15%K -29.43%G +0.000%7.05I 14.18%NM 13.71%EV -2.24%E -0.317%K -0.370%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-06 00:38
theScore Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 86.00%EV -1.81%E -1.59%K -12.92%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.00%EV -2.93%E -0.419%K -0.488%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-06 00:39
Winamax (DE)1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -3.53%E -3.15%K -29.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -2.93%E -0.419%K -0.488%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-06 00:39
DraftKings1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.39%E -3.96%K -39.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -2.93%E -0.419%K -0.488%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-06 00:40
TAB1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.39%E -3.96%K -39.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -2.93%E -0.419%K -0.488%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-06 00:39
PointsBet (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.39%E -3.96%K -39.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -2.93%E -0.419%K -0.488%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-06 00:39
Betr (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.39%E -3.96%K -39.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -2.93%E -0.419%K -0.488%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-06 00:39
Everygame1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.39%E -3.96%K -39.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -2.93%E -0.419%K -0.488%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-06 00:39
BetRivers1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.25%E -4.78%K -52.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.93%E -0.419%K -0.488%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 00:39
TABtouch1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.25%E -4.78%K -52.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.93%E -0.419%K -0.488%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 00:39
Virgin Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.25%E -4.78%K -52.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.93%E -0.419%K -0.488%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 00:39
LiveScore Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.25%E -4.78%K -52.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.93%E -0.419%K -0.488%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 00:39
Unibet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.25%E -4.78%K -52.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.93%E -0.419%K -0.488%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 00:39
betPARX1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.25%E -4.78%K -52.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.93%E -0.419%K -0.488%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 00:40
Bally Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.25%E -4.78%K -52.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.93%E -0.419%K -0.488%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 00:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.12%E -5.61%K -67.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -2.93%E -0.419%K -0.488%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 00:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.12%E -5.61%K -67.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -2.93%E -0.419%K -0.488%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 00:39
Coral1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.12%E -5.61%K -67.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -2.93%E -0.419%K -0.488%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 00:39
Betway1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.12%E -5.61%K -67.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -2.93%E -0.419%K -0.488%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 00:39
Dabble (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.12%E -5.61%K -67.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -2.93%E -0.419%K -0.488%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 00:39
ReBet1.12I 89.29%NM 86.03%EV -3.53%E -3.15%K -29.43%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.97%EV -4.32%E -0.626%K -0.732%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-06 00:28
Pinnacle1.12I 89.29%NM 85.91%EV -3.53%E -3.15%K -29.43%G +0.000%6.83I 14.64%NM 14.09%EV -5.29%E -0.774%K -0.907%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-06 00:39
Fanatics1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -3.53%E -3.15%K -29.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -6.40%E -0.948%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-06 00:39
Hard Rock Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -3.53%E -3.15%K -29.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -6.40%E -0.948%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-06 00:39
Bet Right1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.39%E -3.96%K -39.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -6.40%E -0.948%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 00:39
Neds1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.39%E -3.96%K -39.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -6.40%E -0.948%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 00:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.39%E -3.96%K -39.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -6.40%E -0.948%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 00:39
PMU (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -6.98%E -6.46%K -87.21%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -6.40%E -0.948%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 00:39
NetBet (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -6.98%E -6.46%K -87.21%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -6.40%E -0.948%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 00:30
Codere (IT)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -4.39%E -3.96%K -39.93%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -8.48%E -1.28%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 00:30
MyBookie.ag1.11I 90.09%NM 85.47%EV -4.39%E -3.96%K -39.93%G +0.000%6.53I 15.31%NM 14.53%EV -9.45%E -1.45%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 00:29
Bovada1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.53%E -3.15%K -29.43%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -9.86%E -1.52%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 00:40
Sky Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.39%E -3.96%K -39.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -9.86%E -1.52%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 00:39
888sport1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.39%E -3.96%K -39.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -9.86%E -1.52%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 00:28
BoyleSports1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.39%E -3.96%K -39.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -9.86%E -1.52%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 00:29
Winamax (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.39%E -3.96%K -39.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -9.86%E -1.52%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 00:39
William Hill1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.39%E -3.96%K -39.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -9.86%E -1.52%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 00:39
888sport (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.39%E -3.96%K -39.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -9.86%E -1.52%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 00:28
Mr Green (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.39%E -3.96%K -39.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -9.86%E -1.52%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 00:29
Paddy Power1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.25%E -4.78%K -52.54%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.86%E -1.52%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-06 00:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.25%E -4.78%K -52.54%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.86%E -1.52%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-06 00:39
LeoVegas1.06I 94.34%NM 85.79%EV -8.70%E -8.21%K -144.99%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.21%EV -11.25%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-06 00:39
Unibet (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.02%EV -4.39%E -3.96%K -39.93%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.98%EV -12.64%E -2.01%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 00:29
PlayUp1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -2.67%E -2.36%K -20.54%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -13.33%E -2.13%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-06 00:39
Betsson1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -2.67%E -2.36%K -20.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -16.80%E -2.80%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 00:39
Betclic (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 83.94%EV -5.25%E -4.78%K -52.54%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -20.26%E -3.52%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-06 00:39
Fliff1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -0.086%E -0.074%K -0.536%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -23.73%E -4.31%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-06 00:40
Tipico (DE)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -1.81%E -1.59%K -12.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -23.73%E -4.31%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 00:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig1.15I 86.96%NM 86.74%7.52I 13.30%NM 13.26%0.3%2026-05-06 00:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75%0.5%2026-05-06 00:40
Matchbook1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75%0.5%2026-05-06 00:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%0.9%2026-05-06 00:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%0.9%2026-05-06 00:40
ProphetX1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%0.9%2026-05-06 00:40
Polymarket1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87%1.0%2026-05-06 00:39
Kalshi1.15I 86.96%NM 85.29%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.71%1.9%2026-05-06 00:40
Smarkets1.13I 88.50%NM 86.75%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.25%2.0%2026-05-06 00:39
BetOpenly1.11I 90.09%NM 87.90%8.06I 12.41%NM 12.10%2.5%2026-05-06 00:29