Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Knicks v Oklahoma City Thunder

Kickoff: 2026-03-05 00:12 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Knicks (Local)

Prediction 38.96%2.57fair odd
EV -0.658%
Edge -0.258%
Kelly -0.424%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.50%39.00%39.05%40.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.292.452.452.5543.67%40.87%40.82%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oklahoma City Thunder (Visit)

Prediction 61.04%1.64fair odd
EV -2.33%
Edge -1.46%
Kelly -3.89%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.17%61.00%60.95%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.561.561.6066.67%64.02%64.10%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Knicks (Local): 38.96%; Oklahoma City Thunder (Visit): 61.04%. For New York Knicks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.57. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.55, with an expected value of -0.658%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Fliff🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.658%E -0.258%K -0.424%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.61%E -4.32%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 00:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -2.22%E -0.883%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -3.55%E -2.25%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-05 00:10
SportsBet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.33%EV -2.22%E -0.883%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.67%EV -4.77%E -3.06%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-05 00:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.18%EV -2.22%E -0.883%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.82%EV -5.38%E -3.47%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 23:59
BetAnything🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -2.94%E -1.85%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-05 00:10
Everygame🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -2.94%E -1.85%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-05 00:09
BetOnline.ag🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -3.55%E -2.25%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-05 00:10
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.16%E -2.65%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-05 00:10
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.77%E -3.06%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-05 00:10
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.77%E -3.06%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-05 00:09
GTbets🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.77%E -3.06%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-05 00:09
Caesars🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.77%E -3.06%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-05 00:09
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.77%E -3.06%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-05 00:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.77%E -3.06%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-05 00:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.77%E -3.06%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-05 00:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.77%E -3.06%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-05 00:10
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.61%E -4.32%K -12.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 00:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -7.22%E -4.75%K -13.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 00:10
Pinnacle🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 39.12%EV -3.00%E -1.20%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.88%EV -2.33%E -1.46%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-05 00:09
Coolbet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -3.38%E -1.36%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -4.16%E -2.65%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-05 00:09
Unibet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.38%E -1.36%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.38%E -3.47%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 00:10
TABtouch🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.38%E -1.36%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.38%E -3.47%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 00:10
Bally Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.38%E -1.36%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.38%E -3.47%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 00:10
betPARX🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.38%E -1.36%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.38%E -3.47%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 00:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.38%E -1.36%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.99%E -3.89%K -11.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 00:10
BetRivers🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.38%E -1.36%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.99%E -3.89%K -11.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 00:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.38%E -1.36%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.99%E -3.89%K -11.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 00:10
BetUS🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV -4.16%E -1.69%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -2.94%E -1.85%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-05 00:09
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -4.55%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -2.33%E -1.46%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-05 00:10
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -4.55%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -2.33%E -1.46%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-05 00:05
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -4.55%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -2.94%E -1.85%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-05 00:07
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.55%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.55%E -2.25%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 23:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.55%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.55%E -2.25%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 23:59
TAB🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.55%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.55%E -2.25%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-05 00:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.55%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.16%E -2.65%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-05 00:10
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.55%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.16%E -2.65%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-05 00:09
Paddy Power🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.55%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.61%E -4.32%K -12.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.55%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.61%E -4.32%K -12.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 00:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.55%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.61%E -4.32%K -12.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 00:09
Codere (IT)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.33%E -2.19%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.77%E -3.06%K -8.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 00:01
LeoVegas🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -5.33%E -2.19%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -8.44%E -5.62%K -16.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 00:10
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.50%E -2.71%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.33%E -1.46%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-05 00:10
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.50%E -2.71%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.94%E -1.85%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 00:10
Dabble (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.50%E -2.71%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.55%E -2.25%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 00:10
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.50%E -2.71%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.16%E -2.65%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 00:01
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.50%E -2.71%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.16%E -2.65%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 00:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.50%E -2.71%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.16%E -2.65%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 00:10
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.50%E -2.71%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.38%E -3.47%K -9.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 00:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.50%E -2.71%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.38%E -3.47%K -9.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 00:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.50%E -2.71%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.38%E -3.47%K -9.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-04 23:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.50%E -2.71%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.44%E -5.62%K -16.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-05 00:10
MyBookie.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -7.28%E -3.06%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -2.94%E -1.85%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 23:58
NordicBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -7.28%E -3.06%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -3.55%E -2.25%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 00:10
Betsson🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -7.28%E -3.06%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -3.55%E -2.25%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 00:09
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.28%E -3.06%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.16%E -2.65%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 00:10
NetBet (FR)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -7.67%E -3.24%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -6.61%E -4.32%K -12.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 23:59
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.45%E -3.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.33%E -1.46%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 00:10
Betway🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.45%E -3.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.16%E -2.65%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 00:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.45%E -3.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.16%E -2.65%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 00:09
Betclic (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.45%E -3.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -8.44%E -5.62%K -16.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-05 00:09
Unibet (FR)🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.83%EV -10.79%E -4.71%K -8.36%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.17%EV -3.55%E -2.25%K -6.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 00:06
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.62I 38.17%NM 38.21%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.79%-0.1%2026-03-04 23:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-03-05 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%0.6%2026-03-05 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%0.6%2026-03-05 00:10
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-03-05 00:10
Matchbook2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-03-05 00:10
Polymarket2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-03-05 00:10
Smarkets2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87%1.4%2026-03-05 00:10
Novig2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.54%1.6%2026-03-05 00:10
ProphetX2.58I 38.76%NM 38.13%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.87%1.7%2026-03-05 00:10