Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Knicks v Oklahoma City Thunder

Inicio: 2026-03-05 00:12 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Knicks (Local)

Predicción 38.96%2.57momio equitativo
EV -0.658%
Ventaja -0.258%
Kelly -0.424%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.50%39.00%39.05%40.83%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.292.452.452.5543.67%40.87%40.82%39.22%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Oklahoma City Thunder (Visitante)

Predicción 61.04%1.64momio equitativo
EV -2.33%
Ventaja -1.46%
Kelly -3.89%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.17%61.00%60.95%62.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.501.561.561.6066.67%64.02%64.10%62.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: New York Knicks (Local): 38.96%; Oklahoma City Thunder (Visitante): 61.04%. Para New York Knicks (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.57. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.55, con un valor esperado de -0.658%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Fliff🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.658%E -0.258%K -0.424%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.61%E -4.32%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 00:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -2.22%E -0.883%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -3.55%E -2.25%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-05 00:10
SportsBet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.33%EV -2.22%E -0.883%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.67%EV -4.77%E -3.06%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-05 00:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.18%EV -2.22%E -0.883%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.82%EV -5.38%E -3.47%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 23:59
BetAnything🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -2.94%E -1.85%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-05 00:10
Everygame🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -2.94%E -1.85%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-05 00:09
BetOnline.ag🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -3.55%E -2.25%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-05 00:10
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.16%E -2.65%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-05 00:10
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.77%E -3.06%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-05 00:10
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.77%E -3.06%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-05 00:09
GTbets🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.77%E -3.06%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-05 00:09
Caesars🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.77%E -3.06%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-05 00:09
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.77%E -3.06%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-05 00:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.77%E -3.06%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-05 00:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.77%E -3.06%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-05 00:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.77%E -3.06%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-05 00:10
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.61%E -4.32%K -12.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 00:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -7.22%E -4.75%K -13.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 00:10
Pinnacle🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 39.12%EV -3.00%E -1.20%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.88%EV -2.33%E -1.46%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-05 00:09
Coolbet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -3.38%E -1.36%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -4.16%E -2.65%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-05 00:09
Unibet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.38%E -1.36%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.38%E -3.47%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 00:10
TABtouch🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.38%E -1.36%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.38%E -3.47%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 00:10
Bally Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.38%E -1.36%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.38%E -3.47%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 00:10
betPARX🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.38%E -1.36%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.38%E -3.47%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 00:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.38%E -1.36%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.99%E -3.89%K -11.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 00:10
BetRivers🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.38%E -1.36%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.99%E -3.89%K -11.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 00:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.38%E -1.36%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.99%E -3.89%K -11.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 00:10
BetUS🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV -4.16%E -1.69%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -2.94%E -1.85%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-05 00:09
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -4.55%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -2.33%E -1.46%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-05 00:10
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -4.55%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -2.33%E -1.46%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-05 00:05
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -4.55%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -2.94%E -1.85%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-05 00:07
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.55%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.55%E -2.25%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 23:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.55%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.55%E -2.25%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 23:59
TAB🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.55%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.55%E -2.25%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-05 00:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.55%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.16%E -2.65%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-05 00:10
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.55%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.16%E -2.65%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-05 00:09
Paddy Power🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.55%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.61%E -4.32%K -12.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.55%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.61%E -4.32%K -12.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 00:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.55%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.61%E -4.32%K -12.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 00:09
Codere (IT)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.33%E -2.19%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.77%E -3.06%K -8.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 00:01
LeoVegas🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -5.33%E -2.19%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -8.44%E -5.62%K -16.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 00:10
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.50%E -2.71%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.33%E -1.46%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-05 00:10
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.50%E -2.71%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.94%E -1.85%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 00:10
Dabble (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.50%E -2.71%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.55%E -2.25%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 00:10
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.50%E -2.71%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.16%E -2.65%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 00:01
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.50%E -2.71%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.16%E -2.65%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 00:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.50%E -2.71%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.16%E -2.65%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 00:10
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.50%E -2.71%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.38%E -3.47%K -9.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 00:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.50%E -2.71%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.38%E -3.47%K -9.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 00:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.50%E -2.71%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.38%E -3.47%K -9.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-04 23:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.50%E -2.71%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.44%E -5.62%K -16.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-05 00:10
MyBookie.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -7.28%E -3.06%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -2.94%E -1.85%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 23:58
NordicBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -7.28%E -3.06%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -3.55%E -2.25%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 00:10
Betsson🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -7.28%E -3.06%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -3.55%E -2.25%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 00:09
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.28%E -3.06%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.16%E -2.65%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 00:10
NetBet (FR)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -7.67%E -3.24%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -6.61%E -4.32%K -12.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 23:59
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.45%E -3.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.33%E -1.46%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 00:10
Betway🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.45%E -3.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.16%E -2.65%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 00:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.45%E -3.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.16%E -2.65%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 00:09
Betclic (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.45%E -3.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -8.44%E -5.62%K -16.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-05 00:09
Unibet (FR)🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.83%EV -10.79%E -4.71%K -8.36%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.17%EV -3.55%E -2.25%K -6.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 00:06
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.62I 38.17%NM 38.21%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.79%-0.1%2026-03-04 23:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-03-05 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%0.6%2026-03-05 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%0.6%2026-03-05 00:10
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-03-05 00:10
Matchbook2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-03-05 00:10
Polymarket2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-03-05 00:10
Smarkets2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87%1.4%2026-03-05 00:10
Novig2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.54%1.6%2026-03-05 00:10
ProphetX2.58I 38.76%NM 38.13%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.87%1.7%2026-03-05 00:10