Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

New Orleans Pelicans v Cleveland Cavaliers

Kickoff: 2026-03-21 23:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New Orleans Pelicans (Local)

Prediction 35.57%2.81fair odd
EV +1.74%
Edge +0.608%
Kelly +0.934%
Growth +0.016%

assuming max odds 2.86

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.33%35.60%35.43%37.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.692.702.8640.82%37.11%37.04%34.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cleveland Cavaliers (Visit)

Prediction 64.43%1.55fair odd
EV -2.07%
Edge -1.36%
Kelly -3.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.50%64.40%64.57%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.481.481.5271.43%67.65%67.57%65.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New Orleans Pelicans (Local): 35.57%; Cleveland Cavaliers (Visit): 64.43%. For New Orleans Pelicans (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.81. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.86, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.74%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
ReBet🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV +1.74%E +0.608%K +0.934%G +0.016%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -6.58%E -4.54%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 22:10
1xBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.48%EV +1.38%E +0.485%K +0.747%G +0.010%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.52%EV -3.36%E -2.24%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.8%2026-03-21 22:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -0.397%E -0.142%K -0.220%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -5.29%E -3.60%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-21 22:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -0.397%E -0.142%K -0.220%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -5.29%E -3.60%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-21 23:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -0.397%E -0.142%K -0.220%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -5.29%E -3.60%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-21 22:59
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -0.397%E -0.142%K -0.220%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -5.29%E -3.60%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-21 22:59
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -0.397%E -0.142%K -0.220%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -5.94%E -4.07%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 22:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.397%E -0.142%K -0.220%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.22%E -5.02%K -16.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 22:14
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -0.397%E -0.142%K -0.220%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -9.80%E -7.00%K -24.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 22:09
Unibet (FR)🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -1.11%E -0.399%K -0.623%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.35%EV -9.16%E -6.49%K -22.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 22:49
Pinnacle🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV -2.18%E -0.791%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -2.71%E -1.80%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-21 22:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -2.18%E -0.791%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.36%E -2.24%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-21 22:44
Coolbet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.18%E -0.791%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.65%E -3.14%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 22:49
Caesars🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.18%E -0.791%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.65%E -3.14%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 22:27
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.18%E -0.791%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.65%E -3.14%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 21:44
Fliff🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.18%E -0.791%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -5.29%E -3.60%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 22:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -2.18%E -0.791%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.94%E -4.07%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 22:59
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -2.18%E -0.791%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.94%E -4.07%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 22:59
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -2.18%E -0.791%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.94%E -4.07%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 22:15
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.18%E -0.791%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.58%E -4.54%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 22:59
TABtouch🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.18%E -0.791%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.58%E -4.54%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 22:24
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.18%E -0.791%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.58%E -4.54%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 22:15
Bally Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.18%E -0.791%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.58%E -4.54%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 22:14
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.18%E -0.791%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.22%E -5.02%K -16.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 22:24
BetOnline.ag🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -2.53%E -0.924%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -3.36%E -2.24%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-21 22:44
Marathon Bet🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 35.32%EV -3.60%E -1.33%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.68%EV -4.65%E -3.14%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 22:54
GTbets🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.95%E -1.46%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.36%E -2.24%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-21 22:29
BetUS🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.95%E -1.46%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.36%E -2.24%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-21 21:39
Everygame🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.95%E -1.46%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.36%E -2.24%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-21 22:44
BetAnything🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.95%E -1.46%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.36%E -2.24%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-21 22:29
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.95%E -1.46%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.00%E -2.69%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 22:50
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.95%E -1.46%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.00%E -2.69%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 21:44
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.95%E -1.46%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.65%E -3.14%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 21:44
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.95%E -1.46%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.58%E -4.54%K -14.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 22:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.95%E -1.46%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.22%E -5.02%K -16.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 22:59
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -3.95%E -1.46%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -7.87%E -5.50%K -18.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 22:59
FanDuel🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%EV -4.67%E -1.74%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%EV -3.36%E -2.24%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-21 22:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -5.73%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -2.07%E -1.36%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-21 23:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -5.73%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -2.07%E -1.36%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-21 22:59
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -5.73%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -2.71%E -1.80%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-21 23:03
theScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -5.73%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -2.71%E -1.80%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-21 22:50
Bet Victor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.73%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.36%E -2.24%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 22:49
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.73%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.36%E -2.24%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 22:59
TAB🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.73%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.36%E -2.24%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 22:14
MyBookie.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -5.73%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.00%E -2.69%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 22:58
Neds🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.73%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.65%E -3.14%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.73%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.65%E -3.14%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 22:59
Dabble (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.73%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.65%E -3.14%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 23:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.73%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.29%E -3.60%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 21:49
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -6.44%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.36%E -2.24%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 22:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -6.44%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -5.29%E -3.60%K -11.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 22:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -6.80%E -2.60%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -4.65%E -3.14%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 21:44
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -6.80%E -2.60%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -4.65%E -3.14%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 21:45
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -6.80%E -2.60%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.06%EV -5.29%E -3.60%K -11.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 22:44
NetBet (FR)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.31%EV -6.80%E -2.60%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.69%EV -7.87%E -5.50%K -18.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 22:48
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -7.51%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -2.07%E -1.36%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 23:04
Bet Right🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.51%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.36%E -2.24%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 22:09
NordicBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.51%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.36%E -2.24%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 22:53
Betsson🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.51%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.36%E -2.24%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 22:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.29%E -3.64%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.36%E -2.24%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 22:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.29%E -3.64%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.36%E -2.24%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 23:04
Betway🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.29%E -3.64%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.36%E -2.24%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 22:59
Betclic (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -12.85%E -5.24%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -5.29%E -3.60%K -11.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 23:02
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%0.6%2026-03-21 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%0.6%2026-03-21 23:04
Polymarket2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%0.8%2026-03-21 23:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%0.8%2026-03-21 23:05
Novig2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%0.8%2026-03-21 23:05
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-03-21 23:00
Matchbook2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14%1.0%2026-03-21 23:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14%1.0%2026-03-21 23:04
Smarkets2.84I 35.21%NM 34.71%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.29%1.4%2026-03-21 23:05
BetOpenly2.69I 37.17%NM 36.56%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.44%1.7%2026-03-21 22:59