La escuela de los momios

New Orleans Pelicans v Cleveland Cavaliers

Inicio: 2026-03-21 23:10 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

New Orleans Pelicans (Local)

Predicción 35.57%2.81momio equitativo
EV +1.74%
Ventaja +0.608%
Kelly +0.934%
Crecimiento +0.016%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.86

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.33%35.60%35.43%37.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.452.692.702.8640.82%37.11%37.04%34.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cleveland Cavaliers (Visitante)

Predicción 64.43%1.55momio equitativo
EV -2.07%
Ventaja -1.36%
Kelly -3.98%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.52

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.50%64.40%64.57%66.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.481.481.5271.43%67.65%67.57%65.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
ReBet2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV +1.74%E +0.608%K +0.934%G +0.016%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -6.58%E -4.54%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 22:10
1xBet2.85I 35.09%NM 34.48%EV +1.38%E +0.485%K +0.747%G +0.010%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.52%EV -3.36%E -2.24%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.8%2026-03-21 22:19
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -0.397%E -0.142%K -0.220%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -5.29%E -3.60%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-21 22:59
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -0.397%E -0.142%K -0.220%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -5.29%E -3.60%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-21 23:00
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -0.397%E -0.142%K -0.220%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -5.29%E -3.60%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-21 22:59
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -0.397%E -0.142%K -0.220%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -5.29%E -3.60%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-21 22:59
Parions Sport (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -0.397%E -0.142%K -0.220%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -5.94%E -4.07%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 22:50
Codere (IT)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.397%E -0.142%K -0.220%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.22%E -5.02%K -16.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 22:14
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -0.397%E -0.142%K -0.220%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -9.80%E -7.00%K -24.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 22:09
Unibet (FR)2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -1.11%E -0.399%K -0.623%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.35%EV -9.16%E -6.49%K -22.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 22:49
Pinnacle2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV -2.18%E -0.791%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -2.71%E -1.80%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-21 22:59
LowVig.ag2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -2.18%E -0.791%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.36%E -2.24%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-21 22:44
Coolbet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.18%E -0.791%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.65%E -3.14%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 22:49
Caesars2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.18%E -0.791%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.65%E -3.14%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 22:27
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.18%E -0.791%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.65%E -3.14%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 21:44
Fliff2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.18%E -0.791%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -5.29%E -3.60%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 22:55
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -2.18%E -0.791%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.94%E -4.07%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 22:59
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -2.18%E -0.791%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.94%E -4.07%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 22:59
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -2.18%E -0.791%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.94%E -4.07%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 22:15
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.18%E -0.791%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.58%E -4.54%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 22:59
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.18%E -0.791%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.58%E -4.54%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 22:24
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.18%E -0.791%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.58%E -4.54%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 22:15
Bally Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.18%E -0.791%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.58%E -4.54%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 22:14
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.18%E -0.791%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.22%E -5.02%K -16.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 22:24
BetOnline.ag2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -2.53%E -0.924%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -3.36%E -2.24%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-21 22:44
Marathon Bet2.71I 36.90%NM 35.32%EV -3.60%E -1.33%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.68%EV -4.65%E -3.14%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 22:54
GTbets2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.95%E -1.46%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.36%E -2.24%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-21 22:29
BetUS2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.95%E -1.46%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.36%E -2.24%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-21 21:39
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.95%E -1.46%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.36%E -2.24%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-21 22:44
BetAnything2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.95%E -1.46%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.36%E -2.24%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-21 22:29
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.95%E -1.46%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.00%E -2.69%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 22:50
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.95%E -1.46%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.00%E -2.69%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 21:44
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.95%E -1.46%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.65%E -3.14%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 21:44
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.95%E -1.46%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.58%E -4.54%K -14.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 22:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.95%E -1.46%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.22%E -5.02%K -16.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 22:59
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -3.95%E -1.46%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -7.87%E -5.50%K -18.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 22:59
FanDuel2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%EV -4.67%E -1.74%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%EV -3.36%E -2.24%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-21 22:50
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -5.73%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -2.07%E -1.36%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-21 23:05
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -5.73%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -2.07%E -1.36%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-21 22:59
Bovada2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -5.73%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -2.71%E -1.80%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-21 23:03
theScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -5.73%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -2.71%E -1.80%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-21 22:50
Bet Victor2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.73%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.36%E -2.24%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 22:49
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.73%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.36%E -2.24%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 22:59
TAB2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.73%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.36%E -2.24%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 22:14
MyBookie.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -5.73%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.00%E -2.69%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 22:58
Neds2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.73%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.65%E -3.14%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.73%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.65%E -3.14%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 22:59
Dabble (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.73%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.65%E -3.14%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 23:00
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.73%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.29%E -3.60%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 21:49
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -6.44%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.36%E -2.24%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 22:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -6.44%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -5.29%E -3.60%K -11.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 22:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -6.80%E -2.60%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -4.65%E -3.14%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 21:44
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -6.80%E -2.60%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -4.65%E -3.14%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 21:45
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -6.80%E -2.60%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.06%EV -5.29%E -3.60%K -11.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 22:44
NetBet (FR)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.31%EV -6.80%E -2.60%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.69%EV -7.87%E -5.50%K -18.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 22:48
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -7.51%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -2.07%E -1.36%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 23:04
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.51%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.36%E -2.24%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 22:09
NordicBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.51%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.36%E -2.24%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 22:53
Betsson2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.51%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.36%E -2.24%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 22:54
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.29%E -3.64%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.36%E -2.24%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 22:59
Hard Rock Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.29%E -3.64%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.36%E -2.24%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 23:04
Betway2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.29%E -3.64%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.36%E -2.24%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 22:59
Betclic (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -12.85%E -5.24%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -5.29%E -3.60%K -11.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 23:02
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%0.6%2026-03-21 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%0.6%2026-03-21 23:04
Polymarket2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%0.8%2026-03-21 23:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%0.8%2026-03-21 23:05
Novig2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%0.8%2026-03-21 23:05
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-03-21 23:00
Matchbook2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14%1.0%2026-03-21 23:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14%1.0%2026-03-21 23:04
Smarkets2.84I 35.21%NM 34.71%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.29%1.4%2026-03-21 23:05
BetOpenly2.69I 37.17%NM 36.56%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.44%1.7%2026-03-21 22:59