Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Timberwolves v Utah Jazz

Kickoff: 2026-03-19 00:11 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Timberwolves (Local)

Prediction 84.32%1.19fair odd
EV -2.18%
Edge -1.88%
Kelly -13.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.40%84.24%84.44%86.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.091.131.131.1691.74%88.80%88.50%86.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Utah Jazz (Visit)

Prediction 15.68%6.38fair odd
EV +9.73%
Edge +1.39%
Kelly +1.62%
Growth +0.158%

assuming max odds 7.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.58%15.76%15.56%18.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.906.136.107.0020.41%16.30%16.39%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Minnesota Timberwolves (Local): 84.32%; Utah Jazz (Visit): 15.68%. For Utah Jazz (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.38. 24 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.73%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -6.40%E -5.77%K -58.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +9.73%E +1.39%K +1.62%G +0.158%4.4%2026-03-19 00:10
Fliff🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -6.40%E -5.77%K -58.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +9.73%E +1.39%K +1.62%G +0.158%4.4%2026-03-19 00:10
DraftKings🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.24%E -6.59%K -72.44%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +9.73%E +1.39%K +1.62%G +0.158%5.2%2026-03-19 00:10
theScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.24%E -6.59%K -72.44%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +9.73%E +1.39%K +1.62%G +0.158%5.2%2026-03-19 00:10
FanDuel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.03%EV -5.56%E -4.96%K -46.31%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.97%EV +8.17%E +1.18%K +1.38%G +0.113%3.8%2026-03-19 00:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -4.71%E -4.17%K -36.26%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +1.90%E +0.292%K +0.345%G +0.007%3.9%2026-03-19 00:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -4.71%E -4.17%K -36.26%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +1.90%E +0.292%K +0.345%G +0.007%3.9%2026-03-19 00:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.56%E -4.96%K -46.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +1.90%E +0.292%K +0.345%G +0.007%4.7%2026-03-19 00:10
Caesars🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.56%E -4.96%K -46.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +1.90%E +0.292%K +0.345%G +0.007%4.7%2026-03-19 00:09
BetMGM🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.56%E -4.96%K -46.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +1.90%E +0.292%K +0.345%G +0.007%4.7%2026-03-19 00:09
BetAnything🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.56%E -4.96%K -46.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +1.90%E +0.292%K +0.345%G +0.007%4.7%2026-03-19 00:10
Everygame🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.56%E -4.96%K -46.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +1.90%E +0.292%K +0.345%G +0.007%4.7%2026-03-19 00:09
Paddy Power🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -7.24%E -6.59%K -72.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +1.90%E +0.292%K +0.345%G +0.007%6.3%2026-03-19 00:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -7.24%E -6.59%K -72.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +1.90%E +0.292%K +0.345%G +0.007%6.3%2026-03-19 00:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -7.24%E -6.59%K -72.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +1.90%E +0.292%K +0.345%G +0.007%6.3%2026-03-19 00:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -7.24%E -6.59%K -72.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +1.90%E +0.292%K +0.345%G +0.007%6.3%2026-03-19 00:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 85.02%EV -3.87%E -3.40%K -27.65%G +0.000%6.47I 15.46%NM 14.98%EV +1.43%E +0.220%K +0.261%G +0.004%3.2%2026-03-19 00:10
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -4.71%E -4.17%K -36.26%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +0.328%E +0.051%K +0.061%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 00:00
GTbets🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -4.71%E -4.17%K -36.26%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +0.328%E +0.051%K +0.061%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 00:09
BetUS🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -4.71%E -4.17%K -36.26%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +0.328%E +0.051%K +0.061%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 00:09
ReBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -4.71%E -4.17%K -36.26%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +0.328%E +0.051%K +0.061%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-18 23:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.56%E -4.96%K -46.31%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +0.328%E +0.051%K +0.061%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 00:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.56%E -4.96%K -46.31%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +0.328%E +0.051%K +0.061%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 00:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -8.09%E -7.42%K -89.86%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV +0.328%E +0.051%K +0.061%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 00:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.87%EV -4.71%E -4.17%K -36.26%G +0.000%6.34I 15.77%NM 15.13%EV -0.613%E -0.097%K -0.115%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-19 00:10
Pinnacle🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 84.54%EV -3.03%E -2.63%K -20.18%G +0.000%6.29I 15.90%NM 15.46%EV -1.40%E -0.222%K -0.264%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-19 00:09
Codere (IT)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -4.71%E -4.17%K -36.26%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV -2.81%E -0.453%K -0.540%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 00:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.54%EV -4.71%E -4.17%K -36.26%G +0.000%6.18I 16.18%NM 15.46%EV -3.12%E -0.505%K -0.602%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 00:01
Coolbet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.25%EV -3.87%E -3.40%K -27.65%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.75%EV -4.37%E -0.717%K -0.858%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 00:08
Unibet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.71%E -4.17%K -36.26%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -4.37%E -0.717%K -0.858%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 00:10
TABtouch🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.71%E -4.17%K -36.26%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -4.37%E -0.717%K -0.858%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 00:10
betPARX🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.71%E -4.17%K -36.26%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -4.37%E -0.717%K -0.858%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 00:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -5.56%E -4.96%K -46.31%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -4.37%E -0.717%K -0.858%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-19 00:10
BetRivers🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -5.56%E -4.96%K -46.31%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -4.37%E -0.717%K -0.858%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-19 00:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.87%E -3.40%K -27.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -5.94%E -0.990%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-19 00:10
TAB🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.87%E -3.40%K -27.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -5.94%E -0.990%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-19 00:10
Neds🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.71%E -4.17%K -36.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.94%E -0.990%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 00:10
Bet Right🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.71%E -4.17%K -36.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.94%E -0.990%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 00:10
Fanatics🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.71%E -4.17%K -36.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.94%E -0.990%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 00:10
Bovada🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.71%E -4.17%K -36.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.94%E -0.990%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 00:07
LiveScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.56%E -4.96%K -46.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.94%E -0.990%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.56%E -4.96%K -46.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.94%E -0.990%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 00:10
William Hill🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.56%E -4.96%K -46.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.94%E -0.990%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 00:10
Bally Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.56%E -4.96%K -46.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.94%E -0.990%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 00:10
BoyleSports🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.40%E -5.77%K -58.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -5.94%E -0.990%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 00:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.40%E -5.77%K -58.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -5.94%E -0.990%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 00:10
Coral🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.40%E -5.77%K -58.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -5.94%E -0.990%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 00:09
Bet Victor🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -2.18%E -1.88%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV -9.08%E -1.57%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-19 00:08
Winamax (DE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -2.18%E -1.88%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV -9.08%E -1.57%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-19 00:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -6.40%E -5.77%K -58.19%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -9.08%E -1.57%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 00:08
Unibet (UK)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -2.18%E -1.88%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV -9.86%E -1.72%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-19 00:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.87%E -3.40%K -27.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -9.86%E -1.72%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 00:10
LeoVegas🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.06%EV -8.09%E -7.42%K -89.86%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.94%EV -9.86%E -1.72%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-19 00:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.09%EV -3.03%E -2.63%K -20.18%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.91%EV -11.43%E -2.02%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-18 23:59
PlayUp🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -2.18%E -1.88%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -13.78%E -2.51%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-19 00:09
Sky Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.87%E -3.40%K -27.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -13.78%E -2.51%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 00:10
Betway🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.87%E -3.40%K -27.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -13.78%E -2.51%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 00:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.87%E -3.40%K -27.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -13.78%E -2.51%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 00:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -3.87%E -3.40%K -27.65%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -16.92%E -3.19%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 00:10
NordicBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.03%E -2.63%K -20.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -17.70%E -3.37%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 00:10
Betsson🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.03%E -2.63%K -20.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -17.70%E -3.37%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 00:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.40%EV -5.56%E -4.96%K -46.31%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -23.19%E -4.73%K -5.95%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-19 00:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.15I 86.96%NM 87.36%7.95I 12.58%NM 12.64%-0.5%2026-03-18 23:59
ProphetX1.14I 87.72%NM 87.10%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.90%0.7%2026-03-19 00:10
Kalshi1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91%0.7%2026-03-19 00:10
Polymarket1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91%0.7%2026-03-19 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-03-19 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-03-19 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-03-19 00:10
Matchbook1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-03-19 00:10
Novig1.15I 86.96%NM 86.04%7.09I 14.10%NM 13.96%1.1%2026-03-19 00:10
Smarkets1.13I 88.50%NM 86.10%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.90%2.8%2026-03-19 00:10