Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Timberwolves v Utah Jazz

Inicio: 2026-03-19 00:11 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Timberwolves (Local)

Predicción 84.32%1.19momio equitativo
EV -2.18%
Ventaja -1.88%
Kelly -13.65%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.16

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
81.40%84.24%84.44%86.42%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.091.131.131.1691.74%88.80%88.50%86.21%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Utah Jazz (Visitante)

Predicción 15.68%6.38momio equitativo
EV +9.73%
Ventaja +1.39%
Kelly +1.62%
Crecimiento +0.158%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.58%15.76%15.56%18.60%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.906.136.107.0020.41%16.30%16.39%14.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Minnesota Timberwolves (Local): 84.32%; Utah Jazz (Visitante): 15.68%. Para Utah Jazz (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 6.38. 24 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 7.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +9.73%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
SportsBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -6.40%E -5.77%K -58.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +9.73%E +1.39%K +1.62%G +0.158%4.4%2026-03-19 00:10
Fliff🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -6.40%E -5.77%K -58.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +9.73%E +1.39%K +1.62%G +0.158%4.4%2026-03-19 00:10
DraftKings🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.24%E -6.59%K -72.44%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +9.73%E +1.39%K +1.62%G +0.158%5.2%2026-03-19 00:10
theScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.24%E -6.59%K -72.44%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +9.73%E +1.39%K +1.62%G +0.158%5.2%2026-03-19 00:10
FanDuel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.03%EV -5.56%E -4.96%K -46.31%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.97%EV +8.17%E +1.18%K +1.38%G +0.113%3.8%2026-03-19 00:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -4.71%E -4.17%K -36.26%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +1.90%E +0.292%K +0.345%G +0.007%3.9%2026-03-19 00:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -4.71%E -4.17%K -36.26%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +1.90%E +0.292%K +0.345%G +0.007%3.9%2026-03-19 00:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.56%E -4.96%K -46.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +1.90%E +0.292%K +0.345%G +0.007%4.7%2026-03-19 00:10
Caesars🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.56%E -4.96%K -46.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +1.90%E +0.292%K +0.345%G +0.007%4.7%2026-03-19 00:09
BetMGM🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.56%E -4.96%K -46.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +1.90%E +0.292%K +0.345%G +0.007%4.7%2026-03-19 00:09
BetAnything🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.56%E -4.96%K -46.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +1.90%E +0.292%K +0.345%G +0.007%4.7%2026-03-19 00:10
Everygame🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.56%E -4.96%K -46.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +1.90%E +0.292%K +0.345%G +0.007%4.7%2026-03-19 00:09
Paddy Power🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -7.24%E -6.59%K -72.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +1.90%E +0.292%K +0.345%G +0.007%6.3%2026-03-19 00:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -7.24%E -6.59%K -72.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +1.90%E +0.292%K +0.345%G +0.007%6.3%2026-03-19 00:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -7.24%E -6.59%K -72.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +1.90%E +0.292%K +0.345%G +0.007%6.3%2026-03-19 00:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -7.24%E -6.59%K -72.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +1.90%E +0.292%K +0.345%G +0.007%6.3%2026-03-19 00:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 85.02%EV -3.87%E -3.40%K -27.65%G +0.000%6.47I 15.46%NM 14.98%EV +1.43%E +0.220%K +0.261%G +0.004%3.2%2026-03-19 00:10
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -4.71%E -4.17%K -36.26%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +0.328%E +0.051%K +0.061%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 00:00
GTbets🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -4.71%E -4.17%K -36.26%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +0.328%E +0.051%K +0.061%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 00:09
BetUS🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -4.71%E -4.17%K -36.26%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +0.328%E +0.051%K +0.061%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 00:09
ReBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -4.71%E -4.17%K -36.26%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +0.328%E +0.051%K +0.061%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-18 23:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.56%E -4.96%K -46.31%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +0.328%E +0.051%K +0.061%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 00:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.56%E -4.96%K -46.31%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +0.328%E +0.051%K +0.061%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 00:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -8.09%E -7.42%K -89.86%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV +0.328%E +0.051%K +0.061%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 00:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.87%EV -4.71%E -4.17%K -36.26%G +0.000%6.34I 15.77%NM 15.13%EV -0.613%E -0.097%K -0.115%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-19 00:10
Pinnacle🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 84.54%EV -3.03%E -2.63%K -20.18%G +0.000%6.29I 15.90%NM 15.46%EV -1.40%E -0.222%K -0.264%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-19 00:09
Codere (IT)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -4.71%E -4.17%K -36.26%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV -2.81%E -0.453%K -0.540%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 00:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.54%EV -4.71%E -4.17%K -36.26%G +0.000%6.18I 16.18%NM 15.46%EV -3.12%E -0.505%K -0.602%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 00:01
Coolbet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.25%EV -3.87%E -3.40%K -27.65%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.75%EV -4.37%E -0.717%K -0.858%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 00:08
Unibet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.71%E -4.17%K -36.26%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -4.37%E -0.717%K -0.858%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 00:10
TABtouch🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.71%E -4.17%K -36.26%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -4.37%E -0.717%K -0.858%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 00:10
betPARX🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.71%E -4.17%K -36.26%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -4.37%E -0.717%K -0.858%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 00:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -5.56%E -4.96%K -46.31%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -4.37%E -0.717%K -0.858%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-19 00:10
BetRivers🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -5.56%E -4.96%K -46.31%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -4.37%E -0.717%K -0.858%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-19 00:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.87%E -3.40%K -27.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -5.94%E -0.990%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-19 00:10
TAB🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.87%E -3.40%K -27.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -5.94%E -0.990%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-19 00:10
Neds🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.71%E -4.17%K -36.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.94%E -0.990%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 00:10
Bet Right🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.71%E -4.17%K -36.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.94%E -0.990%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 00:10
Fanatics🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.71%E -4.17%K -36.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.94%E -0.990%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 00:10
Bovada🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.71%E -4.17%K -36.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.94%E -0.990%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 00:07
LiveScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.56%E -4.96%K -46.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.94%E -0.990%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.56%E -4.96%K -46.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.94%E -0.990%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 00:10
William Hill🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.56%E -4.96%K -46.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.94%E -0.990%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 00:10
Bally Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.56%E -4.96%K -46.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.94%E -0.990%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 00:10
BoyleSports🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.40%E -5.77%K -58.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -5.94%E -0.990%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 00:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.40%E -5.77%K -58.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -5.94%E -0.990%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 00:10
Coral🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.40%E -5.77%K -58.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -5.94%E -0.990%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 00:09
Bet Victor🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -2.18%E -1.88%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV -9.08%E -1.57%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-19 00:08
Winamax (DE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -2.18%E -1.88%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV -9.08%E -1.57%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-19 00:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -6.40%E -5.77%K -58.19%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -9.08%E -1.57%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 00:08
Unibet (UK)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -2.18%E -1.88%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV -9.86%E -1.72%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-19 00:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.87%E -3.40%K -27.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -9.86%E -1.72%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 00:10
LeoVegas🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.06%EV -8.09%E -7.42%K -89.86%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.94%EV -9.86%E -1.72%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-19 00:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.09%EV -3.03%E -2.63%K -20.18%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.91%EV -11.43%E -2.02%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-18 23:59
PlayUp🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -2.18%E -1.88%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -13.78%E -2.51%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-19 00:09
Sky Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.87%E -3.40%K -27.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -13.78%E -2.51%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 00:10
Betway🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.87%E -3.40%K -27.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -13.78%E -2.51%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 00:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.87%E -3.40%K -27.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -13.78%E -2.51%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 00:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -3.87%E -3.40%K -27.65%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -16.92%E -3.19%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 00:10
NordicBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.03%E -2.63%K -20.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -17.70%E -3.37%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 00:10
Betsson🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.03%E -2.63%K -20.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -17.70%E -3.37%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 00:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.40%EV -5.56%E -4.96%K -46.31%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -23.19%E -4.73%K -5.95%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-19 00:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.15I 86.96%NM 87.36%7.95I 12.58%NM 12.64%-0.5%2026-03-18 23:59
ProphetX1.14I 87.72%NM 87.10%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.90%0.7%2026-03-19 00:10
Kalshi1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91%0.7%2026-03-19 00:10
Polymarket1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91%0.7%2026-03-19 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-03-19 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-03-19 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-03-19 00:10
Matchbook1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-03-19 00:10
Novig1.15I 86.96%NM 86.04%7.09I 14.10%NM 13.96%1.1%2026-03-19 00:10
Smarkets1.13I 88.50%NM 86.10%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.90%2.8%2026-03-19 00:10