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Minnesota Timberwolves v San Antonio Spurs
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Minnesota Timberwolves (Local)
Prediction 33.04%3.03fair odd
EV +0.771%
Edge +0.253%
Kelly +0.376%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 3.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.61%32.99%33.03%35.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.902.903.0537.74%34.45%34.48%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
San Antonio Spurs (Visit)
Prediction 66.96%1.49fair odd
EV -0.229%
Edge -0.154%
Kelly -0.468%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.49
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.01%67.01%66.97%68.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.421.421.4974.07%70.28%70.42%67.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Minnesota Timberwolves (Local): 33.04%; San Antonio Spurs (Visit): 66.96%. For Minnesota Timberwolves (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.03. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.771%.
Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV +0.771%E +0.253%K +0.376%G +0.003% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -5.59%E -3.96%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-16 01:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 32.44%EV -0.220%E -0.073%K -0.109%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.56%EV -2.91%E -2.01%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -0.881%E -0.294%K -0.440%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -4.25%E -2.97%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -0.881%E -0.294%K -0.440%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.92%E -3.46%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -0.881%E -0.294%K -0.440%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.92%E -3.46%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -0.881%E -0.294%K -0.440%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.92%E -3.46%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -0.881%E -0.294%K -0.440%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.92%E -3.46%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.881%E -0.294%K -0.440%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.26%E -4.47%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.43%EV -1.54%E -0.517%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.57%EV -4.25%E -2.97%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -1.54%E -0.517%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -4.92%E -3.46%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -1.54%E -0.517%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -4.92%E -3.46%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%EV -2.53%E -0.859%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.05%EV -2.91%E -2.01%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-16 01:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -2.53%E -0.859%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -3.58%E -2.48%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.53%E -0.859%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.25%E -2.97%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -2.53%E -0.859%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.59%E -3.96%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -2.53%E -0.859%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.59%E -3.96%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -2.53%E -0.859%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.59%E -3.96%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-16 01:31 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -2.53%E -0.859%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.59%E -3.96%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -2.53%E -0.859%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.59%E -3.96%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.53%E -0.859%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.26%E -4.47%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.53%E -0.859%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.26%E -4.47%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.53%E -0.859%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.26%E -4.47%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -3.52%E -1.21%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -4.25%E -2.97%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-16 01:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.41%EV -3.85%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.59%EV -2.24%E -1.53%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-16 01:41 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.18%E -1.44%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.58%E -2.48%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.18%E -1.44%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.25%E -2.97%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.18%E -1.44%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.25%E -2.97%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.18%E -1.44%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.25%E -2.97%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-16 01:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.18%E -1.44%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.92%E -3.46%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.18%E -1.44%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.92%E -3.46%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.18%E -1.44%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.92%E -3.46%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.18%E -1.44%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.92%E -3.46%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.18%E -1.44%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.92%E -3.46%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.18%E -1.44%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.26%E -4.47%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.85%E -1.68%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.26%E -4.47%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.85%E -1.68%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.26%E -4.47%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.85%E -1.68%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.26%E -4.47%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 01:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.85%E -1.68%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.26%E -4.47%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -4.85%E -1.68%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -7.59%E -5.50%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -5.84%E -2.05%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -2.91%E -2.01%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-16 01:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.84%E -2.05%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.58%E -2.48%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.84%E -2.05%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.58%E -2.48%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.84%E -2.05%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.58%E -2.48%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-16 01:41 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.84%E -2.05%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.58%E -2.48%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-16 01:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.84%E -2.05%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.25%E -2.97%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.84%E -2.05%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.25%E -2.97%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-16 01:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.84%E -2.05%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.92%E -3.46%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-16 01:43 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.84%E -2.05%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.92%E -3.46%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.84%E -2.05%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.92%E -3.46%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-16 01:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.84%E -2.05%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.92%E -3.46%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-16 01:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -7.49%E -2.67%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -2.24%E -1.53%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.49%E -2.67%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.58%E -2.48%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.49%E -2.67%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.58%E -2.48%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.49%E -2.67%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.92%E -3.46%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -7.49%E -2.67%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.47%EV -9.60%E -7.11%K -27.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.14%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.58%E -2.48%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-16 01:33 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -12.44%E -4.70%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -0.229%E -0.154%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83% | 0.3% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| Novig◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83% | 0.3% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83% | 0.3% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 0.8% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| Polymarket◎ | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.63% | 1.3% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28% | 1.7% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28% | 1.7% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |