La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Minnesota Timberwolves v San Antonio Spurs
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Minnesota Timberwolves (Local)
Predicción 33.04%3.03momio equitativo
EV +0.771%
Ventaja +0.253%
Kelly +0.376%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.61%32.99%33.03%35.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.652.902.903.0537.74%34.45%34.48%32.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
San Antonio Spurs (Visitante)
Predicción 66.96%1.49momio equitativo
EV -0.229%
Ventaja -0.154%
Kelly -0.468%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.49
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.01%67.01%66.97%68.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.351.421.421.4974.07%70.28%70.42%67.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV +0.771%E +0.253%K +0.376%G +0.003% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -5.59%E -3.96%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-16 01:44 |
| theScore Bet | 3.02I 33.11%NM 32.44%EV -0.220%E -0.073%K -0.109%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.56%EV -2.91%E -2.01%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| BetUS | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -0.881%E -0.294%K -0.440%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -4.25%E -2.97%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -0.881%E -0.294%K -0.440%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.92%E -3.46%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -0.881%E -0.294%K -0.440%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.92%E -3.46%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -0.881%E -0.294%K -0.440%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.92%E -3.46%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -0.881%E -0.294%K -0.440%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.92%E -3.46%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| Dabble (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.881%E -0.294%K -0.440%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.26%E -4.47%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.43%EV -1.54%E -0.517%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.57%EV -4.25%E -2.97%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| FanDuel | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -1.54%E -0.517%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -4.92%E -3.46%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| SportsBet | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -1.54%E -0.517%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -4.92%E -3.46%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| Bet Victor | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%EV -2.53%E -0.859%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.05%EV -2.91%E -2.01%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-16 01:39 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -2.53%E -0.859%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -3.58%E -2.48%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.53%E -0.859%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.25%E -2.97%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| Unibet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -2.53%E -0.859%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.59%E -3.96%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| TABtouch | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -2.53%E -0.859%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.59%E -3.96%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -2.53%E -0.859%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.59%E -3.96%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-16 01:31 |
| betPARX | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -2.53%E -0.859%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.59%E -3.96%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| Bally Bet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -2.53%E -0.859%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.59%E -3.96%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| BetRivers | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.53%E -0.859%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.26%E -4.47%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.53%E -0.859%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.26%E -4.47%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.53%E -0.859%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.26%E -4.47%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| Caesars | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -3.52%E -1.21%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -4.25%E -2.97%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-16 01:40 |
| Pinnacle | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.41%EV -3.85%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.59%EV -2.24%E -1.53%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-16 01:41 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.18%E -1.44%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.58%E -2.48%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| Fanatics | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.18%E -1.44%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.25%E -2.97%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| GTbets | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.18%E -1.44%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.25%E -2.97%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| BetAnything | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.18%E -1.44%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.25%E -2.97%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-16 01:44 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.18%E -1.44%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.92%E -3.46%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.18%E -1.44%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.92%E -3.46%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| Neds | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.18%E -1.44%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.92%E -3.46%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| PlayUp | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.18%E -1.44%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.92%E -3.46%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| ReBet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.18%E -1.44%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.92%E -3.46%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.18%E -1.44%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.26%E -4.47%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| Sky Bet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.85%E -1.68%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.26%E -4.47%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| Paddy Power | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.85%E -1.68%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.26%E -4.47%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| BoyleSports | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.85%E -1.68%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.26%E -4.47%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 01:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.85%E -1.68%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.26%E -4.47%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -4.85%E -1.68%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -7.59%E -5.50%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -5.84%E -2.05%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -2.91%E -2.01%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-16 01:44 |
| DraftKings | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.84%E -2.05%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.58%E -2.48%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| BetMGM | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.84%E -2.05%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.58%E -2.48%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| Everygame | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.84%E -2.05%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.58%E -2.48%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-16 01:41 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.84%E -2.05%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.58%E -2.48%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-16 01:44 |
| Bet Right | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.84%E -2.05%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.25%E -2.97%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| Betway | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.84%E -2.05%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.25%E -2.97%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-16 01:44 |
| Coolbet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.84%E -2.05%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.92%E -3.46%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-16 01:43 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.84%E -2.05%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.92%E -3.46%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| NordicBet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.84%E -2.05%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.92%E -3.46%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-16 01:44 |
| Betsson | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.84%E -2.05%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.92%E -3.46%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-16 01:44 |
| TAB | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -7.49%E -2.67%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -2.24%E -1.53%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.49%E -2.67%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.58%E -2.48%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| Coral | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.49%E -2.67%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.58%E -2.48%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.49%E -2.67%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.92%E -3.46%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| LeoVegas | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -7.49%E -2.67%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.47%EV -9.60%E -7.11%K -27.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| William Hill | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.14%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.58%E -2.48%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-16 01:33 |
| Fliff | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -12.44%E -4.70%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -0.229%E -0.154%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (9)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83% | 0.3% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| Novig | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83% | 0.3% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| ProphetX | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83% | 0.3% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 0.8% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| Polymarket | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| Kalshi | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.63% | 1.3% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| Smarkets | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28% | 1.7% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| Matchbook | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28% | 1.7% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |