Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Timberwolves v Portland Trail Blazers

Kickoff: 2026-03-21 00:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Timberwolves (Local)

Prediction 50.82%1.97fair odd
EV +0.625%
Edge +0.316%
Kelly +0.638%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 1.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.57%50.80%50.91%53.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.791.871.871.9855.87%53.55%53.48%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Portland Trail Blazers (Visit)

Prediction 49.18%2.03fair odd
EV +3.28%
Edge +1.56%
Kelly +2.98%
Growth +0.098%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.70%49.20%49.09%51.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.841.951.952.1054.35%51.41%51.28%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Minnesota Timberwolves (Local): 50.82%; Portland Trail Blazers (Visit): 49.18%. For Portland Trail Blazers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.03. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.28%.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%EV -6.49%E -3.53%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%EV +3.28%E +1.56%K +2.98%G +0.098%2.0%2026-03-20 23:45
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%EV -3.44%E -1.81%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%EV -1.64%E -0.821%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-20 23:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.98%E -3.23%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.64%E -0.821%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-20 23:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.98%E -3.23%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.64%E -0.821%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-20 23:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.98%E -3.23%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.64%E -0.821%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-20 23:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.98%E -3.23%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.64%E -0.821%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-20 23:15
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.52%E -4.73%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.64%E -0.821%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 19:10
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.92%E -0.993%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.63%E -1.33%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-20 23:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.03%EV -3.44%E -1.81%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97%EV -2.63%E -1.33%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-21 00:00
Unibet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -6.49%E -3.53%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -2.63%E -1.33%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 23:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -7.00%E -3.82%K -8.43%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -2.63%E -1.33%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 23:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -7.00%E -3.82%K -8.43%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -2.63%E -1.33%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 23:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -4.46%E -2.37%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.12%E -1.58%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-20 23:10
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -7.00%E -3.82%K -8.43%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.12%E -1.58%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 23:15
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -7.00%E -3.82%K -8.43%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.12%E -1.58%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 23:45
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -7.00%E -3.82%K -8.43%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.12%E -1.58%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 23:15
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -7.00%E -3.82%K -8.43%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.12%E -1.58%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 23:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -8.52%E -4.73%K -10.65%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -3.12%E -1.58%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-20 23:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -4.46%E -2.37%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -3.61%E -1.84%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -7.51%E -4.12%K -9.15%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -3.61%E -1.84%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 23:45
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -3.95%E -2.09%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22%EV -4.10%E -2.10%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-20 23:50
ReBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -3.95%E -2.09%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22%EV -4.10%E -2.10%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-20 23:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.46%E -2.37%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.10%E -2.10%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-20 23:50
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.46%E -2.37%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.10%E -2.10%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-20 23:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.96%E -2.66%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.10%E -2.10%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 23:10
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.96%E -2.66%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.10%E -2.10%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 23:34
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.96%E -2.66%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.10%E -2.10%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 23:09
GTbets🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.96%E -2.66%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.10%E -2.10%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 23:05
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.96%E -2.66%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.10%E -2.10%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 23:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.96%E -2.66%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.10%E -2.10%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 23:10
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.96%E -2.66%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.10%E -2.10%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 23:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.96%E -2.66%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.10%E -2.10%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 22:54
Everygame🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.96%E -2.66%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.10%E -2.10%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 23:34
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.00%E -3.82%K -8.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.10%E -2.10%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 23:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -9.03%E -5.05%K -11.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -4.10%E -2.10%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 23:52
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -2.93%E -1.54%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -4.59%E -2.37%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 00:00
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -3.44%E -1.81%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -4.59%E -2.37%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 00:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.96%E -2.66%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.59%E -2.37%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 00:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.46%E -2.37%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.08%E -2.63%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 23:55
LeoVegas🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.88%EV -9.03%E -5.05%K -11.43%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.12%EV -5.08%E -2.63%K -5.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-20 23:45
TAB🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -2.42%E -1.26%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -5.58%E -2.90%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-20 23:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.46%E -2.37%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.58%E -2.90%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 00:00
Neds🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.46%E -2.37%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.58%E -2.90%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 00:00
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.46%E -2.37%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.58%E -2.90%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 00:00
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.46%E -2.37%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.58%E -2.90%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 00:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -6.49%E -3.53%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -5.58%E -2.90%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 23:59
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.93%E -1.54%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.07%E -3.18%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 23:50
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.93%E -1.54%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.07%E -3.18%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 23:56
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.93%E -1.54%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.07%E -3.18%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 23:50
Bet Right🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.95%E -2.09%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.07%E -3.18%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 00:00
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.96%E -2.66%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.07%E -3.18%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 00:00
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.96%E -2.66%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.07%E -3.18%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 23:59
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.98%E -3.23%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.07%E -3.18%K -6.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 23:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.98%E -3.23%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.07%E -3.18%K -6.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 23:34
Dabble (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -0.899%E -0.461%K -0.947%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -6.56%E -3.45%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-20 23:50
Sky Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.44%E -1.81%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.56%E -3.45%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 00:00
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.44%E -1.81%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.56%E -3.45%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 22:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.44%E -1.81%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.56%E -3.45%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 22:55
Coolbet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV +0.625%E +0.316%K +0.638%G +0.004%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -8.04%E -4.30%K -9.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-20 23:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -5.98%E -3.23%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -8.04%E -4.30%K -9.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 00:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.69%EV -9.03%E -5.05%K -11.43%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.31%EV -9.51%E -5.17%K -11.32%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-20 23:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.00I 50.00%NM 50.25%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.75%-0.5%2026-03-20 23:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%0.8%2026-03-21 00:00
Matchbook1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00%1.0%2026-03-21 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00%1.0%2026-03-21 00:00
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-03-20 23:55
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-03-20 23:55
ProphetX1.98I 50.51%NM 49.87%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.13%1.3%2026-03-21 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.13%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.87%1.3%2026-03-21 00:00
Novig1.99I 50.25%NM 49.62%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.38%1.3%2026-03-21 00:00
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%2.0%2026-03-21 00:00