Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Timberwolves v Portland Trail Blazers

Inicio: 2026-03-21 00:10 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Timberwolves (Local)

Predicción 50.82%1.97momio equitativo
EV +0.625%
Ventaja +0.316%
Kelly +0.638%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.98

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.57%50.80%50.91%53.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.791.871.871.9855.87%53.55%53.48%50.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Portland Trail Blazers (Visitante)

Predicción 49.18%2.03momio equitativo
EV +3.28%
Ventaja +1.56%
Kelly +2.98%
Crecimiento +0.098%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.70%49.20%49.09%51.43%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.841.951.952.1054.35%51.41%51.28%47.62%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Minnesota Timberwolves (Local): 50.82%; Portland Trail Blazers (Visitante): 49.18%. Para Portland Trail Blazers (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.03. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.10, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.28%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%EV -6.49%E -3.53%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%EV +3.28%E +1.56%K +2.98%G +0.098%2.0%2026-03-20 23:45
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%EV -3.44%E -1.81%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%EV -1.64%E -0.821%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-20 23:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.98%E -3.23%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.64%E -0.821%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-20 23:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.98%E -3.23%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.64%E -0.821%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-20 23:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.98%E -3.23%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.64%E -0.821%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-20 23:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.98%E -3.23%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.64%E -0.821%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-20 23:15
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.52%E -4.73%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.64%E -0.821%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 19:10
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.92%E -0.993%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.63%E -1.33%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-20 23:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.03%EV -3.44%E -1.81%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97%EV -2.63%E -1.33%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-21 00:00
Unibet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -6.49%E -3.53%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -2.63%E -1.33%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 23:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -7.00%E -3.82%K -8.43%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -2.63%E -1.33%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 23:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -7.00%E -3.82%K -8.43%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -2.63%E -1.33%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 23:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -4.46%E -2.37%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.12%E -1.58%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-20 23:10
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -7.00%E -3.82%K -8.43%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.12%E -1.58%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 23:15
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -7.00%E -3.82%K -8.43%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.12%E -1.58%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 23:45
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -7.00%E -3.82%K -8.43%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.12%E -1.58%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 23:15
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -7.00%E -3.82%K -8.43%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.12%E -1.58%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 23:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -8.52%E -4.73%K -10.65%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -3.12%E -1.58%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-20 23:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -4.46%E -2.37%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -3.61%E -1.84%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -7.51%E -4.12%K -9.15%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -3.61%E -1.84%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 23:45
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -3.95%E -2.09%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22%EV -4.10%E -2.10%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-20 23:50
ReBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -3.95%E -2.09%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22%EV -4.10%E -2.10%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-20 23:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.46%E -2.37%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.10%E -2.10%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-20 23:50
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.46%E -2.37%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.10%E -2.10%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-20 23:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.96%E -2.66%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.10%E -2.10%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 23:10
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.96%E -2.66%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.10%E -2.10%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 23:34
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.96%E -2.66%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.10%E -2.10%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 23:09
GTbets🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.96%E -2.66%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.10%E -2.10%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 23:05
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.96%E -2.66%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.10%E -2.10%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 23:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.96%E -2.66%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.10%E -2.10%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 23:10
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.96%E -2.66%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.10%E -2.10%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 23:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.96%E -2.66%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.10%E -2.10%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 22:54
Everygame🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.96%E -2.66%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.10%E -2.10%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 23:34
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.00%E -3.82%K -8.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.10%E -2.10%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 23:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -9.03%E -5.05%K -11.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -4.10%E -2.10%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 23:52
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -2.93%E -1.54%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -4.59%E -2.37%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 00:00
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -3.44%E -1.81%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -4.59%E -2.37%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 00:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.96%E -2.66%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.59%E -2.37%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 00:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.46%E -2.37%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.08%E -2.63%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 23:55
LeoVegas🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.88%EV -9.03%E -5.05%K -11.43%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.12%EV -5.08%E -2.63%K -5.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-20 23:45
TAB🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -2.42%E -1.26%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -5.58%E -2.90%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-20 23:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.46%E -2.37%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.58%E -2.90%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 00:00
Neds🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.46%E -2.37%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.58%E -2.90%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 00:00
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.46%E -2.37%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.58%E -2.90%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 00:00
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.46%E -2.37%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.58%E -2.90%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 00:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -6.49%E -3.53%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -5.58%E -2.90%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 23:59
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.93%E -1.54%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.07%E -3.18%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 23:50
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.93%E -1.54%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.07%E -3.18%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 23:56
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.93%E -1.54%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.07%E -3.18%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 23:50
Bet Right🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.95%E -2.09%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.07%E -3.18%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 00:00
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.96%E -2.66%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.07%E -3.18%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 00:00
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.96%E -2.66%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.07%E -3.18%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 23:59
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.98%E -3.23%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.07%E -3.18%K -6.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 23:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.98%E -3.23%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.07%E -3.18%K -6.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 23:34
Dabble (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -0.899%E -0.461%K -0.947%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -6.56%E -3.45%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-20 23:50
Sky Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.44%E -1.81%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.56%E -3.45%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 00:00
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.44%E -1.81%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.56%E -3.45%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 22:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.44%E -1.81%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.56%E -3.45%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 22:55
Coolbet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV +0.625%E +0.316%K +0.638%G +0.004%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -8.04%E -4.30%K -9.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-20 23:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -5.98%E -3.23%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -8.04%E -4.30%K -9.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 00:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.69%EV -9.03%E -5.05%K -11.43%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.31%EV -9.51%E -5.17%K -11.32%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-20 23:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.00I 50.00%NM 50.25%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.75%-0.5%2026-03-20 23:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%0.8%2026-03-21 00:00
Matchbook1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00%1.0%2026-03-21 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00%1.0%2026-03-21 00:00
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-03-20 23:55
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-03-20 23:55
ProphetX1.98I 50.51%NM 49.87%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.13%1.3%2026-03-21 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.13%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.87%1.3%2026-03-21 00:00
Novig1.99I 50.25%NM 49.62%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.38%1.3%2026-03-21 00:00
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%2.0%2026-03-21 00:00