Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Timberwolves v Phoenix Suns

Kickoff: 2026-03-18 00:12 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Timberwolves (Local)

Prediction 58.97%1.70fair odd
EV +0.257%
Edge +0.151%
Kelly +0.366%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%58.84%59.03%60.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.621.621.7064.52%61.72%61.73%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Phoenix Suns (Visit)

Prediction 41.03%2.44fair odd
EV +0.513%
Edge +0.209%
Kelly +0.354%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.05%41.16%40.97%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.332.322.4546.51%42.97%43.10%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Minnesota Timberwolves (Local): 58.97%; Phoenix Suns (Visit): 41.03%. For Phoenix Suns (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.44. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.513%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -6.23%E -3.92%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV +0.513%E +0.209%K +0.354%G +0.002%3.7%2026-03-17 22:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -7.41%E -4.72%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV +0.513%E +0.209%K +0.354%G +0.002%4.5%2026-03-17 23:45
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%EV -3.28%E -2.00%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%EV +0.102%E +0.042%K +0.071%G +0.000%2.0%2026-03-17 23:10
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -6.23%E -3.92%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -0.718%E -0.297%K -0.506%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 19:25
ReBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.10%EV -5.64%E -3.53%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.90%EV -1.13%E -0.468%K -0.800%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-17 22:50
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.10%EV -5.64%E -3.53%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.90%EV -1.13%E -0.468%K -0.800%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-17 22:24
BetAnything🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.46%E -2.75%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.54%E -0.641%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-17 21:20
Caesars🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.05%E -3.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.54%E -0.641%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-17 15:14
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.64%E -3.53%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.54%E -0.641%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 22:45
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.23%E -3.92%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -1.54%E -0.641%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-17 14:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.82%E -4.32%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -1.54%E -0.641%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-18 00:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.82%E -4.32%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -1.54%E -0.641%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-17 23:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.90%EV -5.64%E -3.53%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.10%EV -1.95%E -0.815%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-17 23:59
Codere (IT)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -6.23%E -3.92%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -2.36%E -0.991%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-17 22:50
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.41%E -4.72%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.36%E -0.991%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-17 15:25
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.69%E -1.63%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-18 00:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.87%E -2.38%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-18 00:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.87%E -2.38%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-18 00:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.87%E -2.38%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-18 00:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.87%E -2.38%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-18 00:00
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.46%E -2.75%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-18 00:05
GTbets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.46%E -2.75%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-18 00:05
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.46%E -2.75%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-18 00:05
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.82%E -4.32%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 22:45
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.82%E -4.32%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 22:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.41%E -4.72%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-17 23:25
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -2.69%E -1.63%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -4.00%E -1.71%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-18 00:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.15%EV -8.59%E -5.54%K -15.62%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.85%EV -4.00%E -1.71%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-18 00:02
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -0.923%E -0.549%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -4.82%E -2.08%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-18 00:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -1.51%E -0.906%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -4.82%E -2.08%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-18 00:10
FanDuel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.28%E -2.00%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -4.82%E -2.08%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-18 00:05
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.28%E -2.00%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -4.82%E -2.08%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-18 00:10
TABtouch🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.46%E -2.75%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.82%E -2.08%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-18 00:00
Unibet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.46%E -2.75%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.82%E -2.08%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-18 00:00
betPARX🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.46%E -2.75%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.82%E -2.08%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-18 00:00
Bally Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.46%E -2.75%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.82%E -2.08%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-18 00:00
Bet Right🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.05%E -3.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.82%E -2.08%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 23:40
BetRivers🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.05%E -3.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.82%E -2.08%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 00:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.05%E -3.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.82%E -2.08%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 00:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.05%E -3.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.82%E -2.08%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 00:05
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV +0.257%E +0.151%K +0.366%G +0.001%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-18 00:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.51%E -0.906%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-18 00:10
Everygame🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.51%E -0.906%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-18 00:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.51%E -0.906%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-18 00:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -2.10%E -1.27%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-18 00:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.05%E -3.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-18 00:00
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.64%E -3.53%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-18 00:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.64%E -3.53%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-18 00:05
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.64%E -3.53%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-18 00:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.64%E -3.53%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-18 00:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.59%E -5.54%K -15.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-18 00:01
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -0.333%E -0.197%K -0.483%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-17 23:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -0.923%E -0.549%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-18 00:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -1.51%E -0.906%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-18 00:05
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.69%E -1.63%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 00:10
Fliff🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.69%E -1.63%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 00:09
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.46%E -2.75%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-17 23:33
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.41%E -4.72%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-18 00:00
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.51%E -0.906%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.74%E -4.43%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 00:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.69%E -1.63%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.74%E -4.43%K -8.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-18 00:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.28%E -2.00%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -9.74%E -4.43%K -8.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-18 00:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -5.64%E -3.53%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -11.80%E -5.49%K -10.26%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-18 00:08
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.66I 60.24%NM 60.19%2.51I 39.84%NM 39.81%0.1%2026-03-17 23:59
ProphetX1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-03-18 00:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-03-18 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-03-18 00:10
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-03-18 00:05
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-03-18 00:00
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-03-18 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08%1.6%2026-03-18 00:10
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%2.3%2026-03-18 00:10
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%3.0%2026-03-18 00:10