La escuela de los momios

Minnesota Timberwolves v Phoenix Suns

Inicio: 2026-03-18 00:12 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Minnesota Timberwolves (Local)

Predicción 58.97%1.70momio equitativo
EV +0.257%
Ventaja +0.151%
Kelly +0.366%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.85%58.84%59.03%60.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.551.621.621.7064.52%61.72%61.73%58.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Phoenix Suns (Visitante)

Predicción 41.03%2.44momio equitativo
EV +0.513%
Ventaja +0.209%
Kelly +0.354%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.05%41.16%40.97%43.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.332.322.4546.51%42.97%43.10%40.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Parions Sport (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -6.23%E -3.92%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV +0.513%E +0.209%K +0.354%G +0.002%3.7%2026-03-17 22:50
Betr (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -7.41%E -4.72%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV +0.513%E +0.209%K +0.354%G +0.002%4.5%2026-03-17 23:45
1xBet1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%EV -3.28%E -2.00%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%EV +0.102%E +0.042%K +0.071%G +0.000%2.0%2026-03-17 23:10
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -6.23%E -3.92%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -0.718%E -0.297%K -0.506%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 19:25
ReBet1.60I 62.50%NM 60.10%EV -5.64%E -3.53%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.90%EV -1.13%E -0.468%K -0.800%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-17 22:50
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 60.10%EV -5.64%E -3.53%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.90%EV -1.13%E -0.468%K -0.800%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-17 22:24
BetAnything1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.46%E -2.75%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.54%E -0.641%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-17 21:20
Caesars1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.05%E -3.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.54%E -0.641%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-17 15:14
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.64%E -3.53%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.54%E -0.641%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 22:45
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.23%E -3.92%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -1.54%E -0.641%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-17 14:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.82%E -4.32%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -1.54%E -0.641%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-18 00:10
MyBookie.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.82%E -4.32%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -1.54%E -0.641%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-17 23:59
Marathon Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.90%EV -5.64%E -3.53%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.10%EV -1.95%E -0.815%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-17 23:59
Codere (IT)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -6.23%E -3.92%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -2.36%E -0.991%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-17 22:50
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.41%E -4.72%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.36%E -0.991%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-17 15:25
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.69%E -1.63%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-18 00:10
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.87%E -2.38%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-18 00:00
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.87%E -2.38%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-18 00:00
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.87%E -2.38%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-18 00:00
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.87%E -2.38%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-18 00:00
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.46%E -2.75%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-18 00:05
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.46%E -2.75%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-18 00:05
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.46%E -2.75%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-18 00:05
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.82%E -4.32%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 22:45
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.82%E -4.32%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 22:45
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.41%E -4.72%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-17 23:25
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -2.69%E -1.63%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -4.00%E -1.71%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-18 00:05
Unibet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.15%EV -8.59%E -5.54%K -15.62%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.85%EV -4.00%E -1.71%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-18 00:02
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -0.923%E -0.549%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -4.82%E -2.08%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-18 00:09
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -1.51%E -0.906%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -4.82%E -2.08%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-18 00:10
FanDuel1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.28%E -2.00%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -4.82%E -2.08%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-18 00:05
SportsBet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.28%E -2.00%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -4.82%E -2.08%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-18 00:10
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.46%E -2.75%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.82%E -2.08%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-18 00:00
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.46%E -2.75%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.82%E -2.08%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-18 00:00
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.46%E -2.75%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.82%E -2.08%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-18 00:00
Bally Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.46%E -2.75%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.82%E -2.08%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-18 00:00
Bet Right1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.05%E -3.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.82%E -2.08%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 23:40
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.05%E -3.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.82%E -2.08%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 00:05
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.05%E -3.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.82%E -2.08%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 00:05
LiveScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.05%E -3.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.82%E -2.08%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 00:05
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV +0.257%E +0.151%K +0.366%G +0.001%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-18 00:10
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.51%E -0.906%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-18 00:10
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.51%E -0.906%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-18 00:09
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.51%E -0.906%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-18 00:10
Dabble (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -2.10%E -1.27%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-18 00:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.05%E -3.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-18 00:00
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.64%E -3.53%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-18 00:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.64%E -3.53%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-18 00:05
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.64%E -3.53%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-18 00:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.64%E -3.53%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-18 00:05
NetBet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.59%E -5.54%K -15.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-18 00:01
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -0.333%E -0.197%K -0.483%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-17 23:59
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -0.923%E -0.549%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-18 00:05
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -1.51%E -0.906%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-18 00:05
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.69%E -1.63%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 00:10
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.69%E -1.63%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 00:09
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.46%E -2.75%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-17 23:33
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.41%E -4.72%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-18 00:00
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.51%E -0.906%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.74%E -4.43%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 00:05
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.69%E -1.63%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.74%E -4.43%K -8.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-18 00:05
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.28%E -2.00%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -9.74%E -4.43%K -8.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-18 00:05
Betclic (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -5.64%E -3.53%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -11.80%E -5.49%K -10.26%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-18 00:08
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.66I 60.24%NM 60.19%2.51I 39.84%NM 39.81%0.1%2026-03-17 23:59
ProphetX1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-03-18 00:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-03-18 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-03-18 00:10
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-03-18 00:05
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-03-18 00:00
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-03-18 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08%1.6%2026-03-18 00:10
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%2.3%2026-03-18 00:10
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%3.0%2026-03-18 00:10