Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Timberwolves v Philadelphia 76ers

Kickoff: 2026-02-23 00:11 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Timberwolves (Local)

Prediction 75.39%1.33fair odd
EV -2.74%
Edge -2.13%
Kelly -9.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.62%75.36%75.39%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.261.271.2983.33%79.07%78.74%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Philadelphia 76ers (Visit)

Prediction 24.61%4.06fair odd
EV +3.35%
Edge +0.798%
Kelly +1.05%
Growth +0.035%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.08%24.64%24.61%26.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.873.854.2027.78%25.87%25.97%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Minnesota Timberwolves (Local): 75.39%; Philadelphia 76ers (Visit): 24.61%. For Philadelphia 76ers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.06. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.35%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Bet Victor🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.78%EV -4.25%E -3.35%K -15.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22%EV +3.35%E +0.798%K +1.05%G +0.035%2.5%2026-02-23 00:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -5.00%E -3.97%K -19.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV +3.35%E +0.798%K +1.05%G +0.035%3.2%2026-02-23 00:10
SportsBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -5.00%E -3.97%K -19.25%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -0.341%E -0.084%K -0.112%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-23 00:10
FanDuel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.25%E -3.35%K -15.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -1.57%E -0.393%K -0.524%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-23 00:10
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.25%E -3.35%K -15.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -1.57%E -0.393%K -0.524%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-23 00:09
BetAnything🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -5.00%E -3.97%K -19.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -1.57%E -0.393%K -0.524%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-23 00:10
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.57%E -0.393%K -0.524%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-23 00:09
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.57%E -0.393%K -0.524%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-23 00:10
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.02%E -6.57%K -36.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.57%E -0.393%K -0.524%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-23 00:10
Pinnacle🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.62%EV -3.50%E -2.73%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.38%EV -2.31%E -0.582%K -0.778%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-23 00:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.01%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.99%EV -2.56%E -0.645%K -0.864%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-23 00:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.53%EV -3.50%E -2.73%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%EV -2.80%E -0.709%K -0.950%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-23 00:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.53%EV -3.50%E -2.73%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%EV -2.80%E -0.709%K -0.950%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-23 00:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.53%EV -3.50%E -2.73%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%EV -2.80%E -0.709%K -0.950%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-23 00:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.53%EV -3.50%E -2.73%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%EV -2.80%E -0.709%K -0.950%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-23 00:10
Coolbet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -3.50%E -2.73%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-23 00:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.25%E -3.35%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-22 23:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.25%E -3.35%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-22 23:59
Neds🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.00%E -3.97%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-23 00:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.00%E -3.97%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-23 00:09
theScore Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.00%E -3.97%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-23 00:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-23 00:09
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-23 00:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -6.51%E -5.25%K -27.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-23 00:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90%EV -2.74%E -2.13%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV -5.26%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-23 00:10
DraftKings🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -3.50%E -2.73%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -5.26%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-23 00:10
GTbets🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -3.50%E -2.73%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -5.26%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-23 00:09
Codere (IT)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.25%E -3.35%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -5.26%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-23 00:00
TABtouch🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.25%E -3.35%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -5.26%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-23 00:10
Unibet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.25%E -3.35%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -5.26%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-23 00:09
Bovada🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.25%E -3.35%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -5.26%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-23 00:07
Fliff🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.25%E -3.35%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -5.26%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-23 00:10
Bally Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.25%E -3.35%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -5.26%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-23 00:10
betPARX🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.25%E -3.35%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -5.26%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-23 00:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.00%E -3.97%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.26%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-23 00:05
NordicBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.00%E -3.97%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.26%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-23 00:10
Betsson🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.00%E -3.97%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.26%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-23 00:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.00%E -3.97%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.26%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-23 00:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -2.74%E -2.13%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-23 00:09
BetUS🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -2.74%E -2.13%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-23 00:09
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -2.74%E -2.13%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-23 00:08
Everygame🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -2.74%E -2.13%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-23 00:09
TAB🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.50%E -2.73%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-23 00:09
888sport🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.25%E -3.35%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 23:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.25%E -3.35%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 23:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.25%E -3.35%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 23:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.00%E -3.97%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-23 00:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.00%E -3.97%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-23 00:10
BetRivers🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.00%E -3.97%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-23 00:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.00%E -3.97%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-23 00:09
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-23 00:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-23 00:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-23 00:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -7.27%E -5.91%K -31.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-22 23:57
Betclic (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.00%EV -9.53%E -7.94%K -47.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-23 00:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.00%E -3.97%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.72%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-23 00:10
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.72%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-23 00:09
LeoVegas🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.51%E -5.25%K -27.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -7.72%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-23 00:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.51%E -5.25%K -27.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -7.72%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-23 00:10
Caesars🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -2.74%E -2.13%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -8.95%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-23 00:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.74%E -2.13%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -11.41%E -3.17%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-23 00:10
Bet Right🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.74%E -2.13%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -11.41%E -3.17%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-23 00:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.31I 76.34%NM 76.44%4.25I 23.53%NM 23.56%-0.1%2026-02-22 23:59
Novig1.31I 76.34%NM 76.14%4.18I 23.92%NM 23.86%0.3%2026-02-23 00:10
Matchbook1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-02-23 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-02-23 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-02-23 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-02-23 00:10
Polymarket1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-02-23 00:09
Kalshi1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-02-23 00:10
ProphetX1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.3%2026-02-23 00:09
Smarkets1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.9%2026-02-23 00:10