La escuela de los momios

Minnesota Timberwolves v Philadelphia 76ers

Inicio: 2026-02-23 00:11 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Minnesota Timberwolves (Local)

Predicción 75.39%1.33momio equitativo
EV -2.74%
Ventaja -2.13%
Kelly -9.46%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.29

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
73.62%75.36%75.39%76.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.201.261.271.2983.33%79.07%78.74%77.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Philadelphia 76ers (Visitante)

Predicción 24.61%4.06momio equitativo
EV +3.35%
Ventaja +0.798%
Kelly +1.05%
Crecimiento +0.035%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.08%24.64%24.61%26.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.603.873.854.2027.78%25.87%25.97%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Bet Victor1.27I 78.74%NM 76.78%EV -4.25%E -3.35%K -15.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22%EV +3.35%E +0.798%K +1.05%G +0.035%2.5%2026-02-23 00:09
Winamax (DE)1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -5.00%E -3.97%K -19.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV +3.35%E +0.798%K +1.05%G +0.035%3.2%2026-02-23 00:10
SportsBet1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -5.00%E -3.97%K -19.25%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -0.341%E -0.084%K -0.112%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-23 00:10
FanDuel1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.25%E -3.35%K -15.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -1.57%E -0.393%K -0.524%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-23 00:10
BetMGM1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.25%E -3.35%K -15.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -1.57%E -0.393%K -0.524%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-23 00:09
BetAnything1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -5.00%E -3.97%K -19.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -1.57%E -0.393%K -0.524%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-23 00:10
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.57%E -0.393%K -0.524%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-23 00:09
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.57%E -0.393%K -0.524%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-23 00:10
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.02%E -6.57%K -36.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.57%E -0.393%K -0.524%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-23 00:10
Pinnacle1.28I 78.13%NM 75.62%EV -3.50%E -2.73%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.38%EV -2.31%E -0.582%K -0.778%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-23 00:09
MyBookie.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 76.01%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.99%EV -2.56%E -0.645%K -0.864%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-23 00:00
Unibet (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 75.53%EV -3.50%E -2.73%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%EV -2.80%E -0.709%K -0.950%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-23 00:10
Unibet (NL)1.28I 78.13%NM 75.53%EV -3.50%E -2.73%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%EV -2.80%E -0.709%K -0.950%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-23 00:10
ATG (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 75.53%EV -3.50%E -2.73%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%EV -2.80%E -0.709%K -0.950%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-23 00:10
Svenska Spel1.28I 78.13%NM 75.53%EV -3.50%E -2.73%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%EV -2.80%E -0.709%K -0.950%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-23 00:10
Coolbet1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -3.50%E -2.73%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-23 00:09
Unibet (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.25%E -3.35%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-22 23:59
Marathon Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.25%E -3.35%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-22 23:59
Neds1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.00%E -3.97%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-23 00:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.00%E -3.97%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-23 00:09
theScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.00%E -3.97%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-23 00:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-23 00:09
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-23 00:09
Winamax (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -6.51%E -5.25%K -27.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-23 00:09
LowVig.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90%EV -2.74%E -2.13%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV -5.26%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-23 00:10
DraftKings1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -3.50%E -2.73%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -5.26%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-23 00:10
GTbets1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -3.50%E -2.73%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -5.26%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-23 00:09
Codere (IT)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.25%E -3.35%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -5.26%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-23 00:00
TABtouch1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.25%E -3.35%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -5.26%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-23 00:10
Unibet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.25%E -3.35%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -5.26%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-23 00:09
Bovada1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.25%E -3.35%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -5.26%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-23 00:07
Fliff1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.25%E -3.35%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -5.26%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-23 00:10
Bally Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.25%E -3.35%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -5.26%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-23 00:10
betPARX1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.25%E -3.35%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -5.26%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-23 00:10
Unibet (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.00%E -3.97%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.26%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-23 00:05
NordicBet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.00%E -3.97%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.26%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-23 00:10
Betsson1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.00%E -3.97%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.26%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-23 00:09
Dabble (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.00%E -3.97%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.26%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-23 00:09
BetOnline.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -2.74%E -2.13%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-23 00:09
BetUS1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -2.74%E -2.13%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-23 00:09
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -2.74%E -2.13%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-23 00:08
Everygame1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -2.74%E -2.13%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-23 00:09
TAB1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.50%E -2.73%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-23 00:09
888sport1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.25%E -3.35%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 23:59
888sport (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.25%E -3.35%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 23:59
Mr Green (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.25%E -3.35%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 23:59
LiveScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.00%E -3.97%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-23 00:09
Virgin Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.00%E -3.97%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-23 00:10
BetRivers1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.00%E -3.97%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-23 00:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.00%E -3.97%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-23 00:09
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-23 00:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-23 00:10
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-23 00:10
NetBet (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -7.27%E -5.91%K -31.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-22 23:57
Betclic (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.00%EV -9.53%E -7.94%K -47.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-23 00:10
Betr (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.00%E -3.97%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.72%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-23 00:10
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.72%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-23 00:09
LeoVegas1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.51%E -5.25%K -27.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -7.72%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-23 00:10
Hard Rock Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.51%E -5.25%K -27.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -7.72%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-23 00:10
Caesars1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -2.74%E -2.13%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -8.95%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-23 00:09
PointsBet (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.74%E -2.13%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -11.41%E -3.17%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-23 00:10
Bet Right1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.74%E -2.13%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -11.41%E -3.17%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-23 00:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.31I 76.34%NM 76.44%4.25I 23.53%NM 23.56%-0.1%2026-02-22 23:59
Novig1.31I 76.34%NM 76.14%4.18I 23.92%NM 23.86%0.3%2026-02-23 00:10
Matchbook1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-02-23 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-02-23 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-02-23 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-02-23 00:10
Polymarket1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-02-23 00:09
Kalshi1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-02-23 00:10
ProphetX1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.3%2026-02-23 00:09
Smarkets1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.9%2026-02-23 00:10