Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Timberwolves v Orlando Magic

Kickoff: 2026-03-07 20:12 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

60 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Timberwolves (Local)

Prediction 69.93%1.43fair odd
EV -2.09%
Edge -1.49%
Kelly -5.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.60%69.88%69.85%72.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.361.371.4075.76%73.34%73.26%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Orlando Magic (Visit)

Prediction 30.07%3.33fair odd
EV +2.22%
Edge +0.654%
Kelly +0.927%
Growth +0.021%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.97%30.12%30.15%31.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.163.153.4033.90%31.65%31.75%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Minnesota Timberwolves (Local): 69.93%; Orlando Magic (Visit): 30.07%. For Orlando Magic (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.33. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.22%.

Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Fliff🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -7.69%E -5.82%K -24.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +2.22%E +0.654%K +0.927%G +0.021%5.2%2026-03-07 20:09
SportsBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.09%EV -5.59%E -4.14%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.91%EV -0.181%E -0.054%K -0.078%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 20:09
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.89%E -3.60%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -0.782%E -0.237%K -0.340%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-07 20:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.89%E -3.60%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -0.782%E -0.237%K -0.340%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-07 20:09
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -5.59%E -4.14%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -0.782%E -0.237%K -0.340%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 20:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.49%E -2.53%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -2.29%E -0.703%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-07 20:10
Bet Victor🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -4.19%E -3.06%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -2.29%E -0.703%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-07 20:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.89%E -3.60%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.29%E -0.703%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 20:10
Neds🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.59%E -4.14%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.29%E -0.703%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 20:09
Codere (IT)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.29%E -4.69%K -18.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.29%E -0.703%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 20:01
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.99%E -5.25%K -21.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.29%E -0.703%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 20:09
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.99%E -5.25%K -21.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.29%E -0.703%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 20:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.99%E -5.25%K -21.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.29%E -0.703%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 20:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.43%EV -4.89%E -3.60%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.57%EV -2.59%E -0.798%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 19:58
Pinnacle🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.85%EV -2.79%E -2.01%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 30.15%EV -3.19%E -0.990%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-07 20:09
Everygame🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.49%E -2.53%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -3.79%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-07 20:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.19%E -3.06%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -3.79%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 20:09
Bovada🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.19%E -3.06%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -3.79%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 20:08
Fanatics🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.89%E -3.60%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.79%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 20:10
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.89%E -3.60%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.79%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 20:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.59%E -4.14%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.79%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 20:09
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.99%E -5.25%K -21.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -3.79%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 20:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -7.69%E -5.82%K -24.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -3.79%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 20:08
LowVig.ag🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.58%EV -2.79%E -2.01%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.42%EV -4.39%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-07 20:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.98%EV -4.89%E -3.60%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.02%EV -4.69%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 20:00
DraftKings🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.49%E -2.53%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.29%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 20:09
GTbets🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.49%E -2.53%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.29%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 20:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.49%E -2.53%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.29%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 20:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.49%E -2.53%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.29%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 20:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.49%E -2.53%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.29%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 20:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.49%E -2.53%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.29%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 20:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.49%E -2.53%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.29%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 20:09
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.49%E -2.53%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.29%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 20:09
Caesars🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.19%E -3.06%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.29%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 20:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.89%E -3.60%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.29%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 20:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.89%E -3.60%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.29%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 20:09
NetBet (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -7.69%E -5.82%K -24.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -5.29%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 19:59
BetUS🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.09%E -1.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-07 20:09
BetAnything🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.09%E -1.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-07 20:10
TAB🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -2.79%E -2.01%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 20:09
PlayUp🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.49%E -2.53%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 20:09
TABtouch🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.49%E -2.53%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 20:10
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.49%E -2.53%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 20:09
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.49%E -2.53%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 20:10
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.49%E -2.53%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 20:09
Bet Right🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.19%E -3.06%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 20:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.19%E -3.06%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 20:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.19%E -3.06%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 20:10
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.89%E -3.60%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 20:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.59%E -4.14%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 20:01
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.59%E -4.14%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 20:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.59%E -4.14%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 20:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.99%E -5.25%K -21.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 20:09
Betsson🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.49%E -2.53%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 20:09
NordicBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.49%E -2.53%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 20:10
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.49%E -2.53%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 20:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.89%E -3.60%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 20:09
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.89%E -3.60%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 20:09
LeoVegas🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -6.29%E -4.69%K -18.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 20:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -5.59%E -4.14%K -15.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -11.30%E -3.83%K -5.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 20:08
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.40I 71.43%NM 71.31%3.48I 28.74%NM 28.69%0.2%2026-03-07 19:59
Novig1.41I 70.92%NM 70.50%3.37I 29.67%NM 29.50%0.6%2026-03-07 20:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-03-07 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-03-07 20:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-03-07 20:09
Matchbook1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-03-07 20:10
ProphetX1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-03-07 20:09
Polymarket1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.0%2026-03-07 20:09
Kalshi1.41I 70.92%NM 69.61%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39%1.9%2026-03-07 20:10
Smarkets1.39I 71.94%NM 70.36%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.64%2.2%2026-03-07 20:10