A Escola das Odds

Minnesota Timberwolves v Orlando Magic

Início: 2026-03-07 20:12 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Minnesota Timberwolves (Local)

Previsão 69.93%1.43odd justa
EV -2.09%
Vantagem -1.49%
Kelly -5.23%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
68.60%69.88%69.85%72.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.321.361.371.4075.76%73.34%73.26%71.43%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Orlando Magic (Visitante)

Previsão 30.07%3.33odd justa
EV +2.22%
Vantagem +0.654%
Kelly +0.927%
Crescimento +0.021%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.97%30.12%30.15%31.40%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.953.163.153.4033.90%31.65%31.75%29.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Fliff1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -7.69%E -5.82%K -24.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +2.22%E +0.654%K +0.927%G +0.021%5.2%2026-03-07 20:09
SportsBet1.35I 74.07%NM 71.09%EV -5.59%E -4.14%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.91%EV -0.181%E -0.054%K -0.078%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 20:09
FanDuel1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.89%E -3.60%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -0.782%E -0.237%K -0.340%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-07 20:10
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.89%E -3.60%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -0.782%E -0.237%K -0.340%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-07 20:09
Parions Sport (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -5.59%E -4.14%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -0.782%E -0.237%K -0.340%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 20:00
Winamax (DE)1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.49%E -2.53%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -2.29%E -0.703%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-07 20:10
Bet Victor1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -4.19%E -3.06%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -2.29%E -0.703%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-07 20:09
Betr (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.89%E -3.60%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.29%E -0.703%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 20:10
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.59%E -4.14%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.29%E -0.703%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 20:09
Codere (IT)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.29%E -4.69%K -18.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.29%E -0.703%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 20:01
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.99%E -5.25%K -21.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.29%E -0.703%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 20:09
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.99%E -5.25%K -21.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.29%E -0.703%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 20:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.99%E -5.25%K -21.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.29%E -0.703%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 20:09
Marathon Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.43%EV -4.89%E -3.60%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.57%EV -2.59%E -0.798%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 19:58
Pinnacle1.39I 71.94%NM 69.85%EV -2.79%E -2.01%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 30.15%EV -3.19%E -0.990%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-07 20:09
Everygame1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.49%E -2.53%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -3.79%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-07 20:09
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.19%E -3.06%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -3.79%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 20:09
Bovada1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.19%E -3.06%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -3.79%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 20:08
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.89%E -3.60%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.79%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 20:10
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.89%E -3.60%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.79%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 20:09
Dabble (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.59%E -4.14%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.79%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 20:09
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.99%E -5.25%K -21.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -3.79%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 20:00
Unibet (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -7.69%E -5.82%K -24.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -3.79%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 20:08
LowVig.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 69.58%EV -2.79%E -2.01%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.42%EV -4.39%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-07 20:09
MyBookie.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 69.98%EV -4.89%E -3.60%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.02%EV -4.69%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 20:00
DraftKings1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.49%E -2.53%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.29%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 20:09
GTbets1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.49%E -2.53%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.29%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 20:09
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.49%E -2.53%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.29%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 20:10
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.49%E -2.53%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.29%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 20:09
BetOnline.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.49%E -2.53%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.29%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 20:09
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.49%E -2.53%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.29%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 20:09
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.49%E -2.53%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.29%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 20:09
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.49%E -2.53%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.29%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 20:09
Caesars1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.19%E -3.06%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.29%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 20:09
Winamax (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.89%E -3.60%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.29%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 20:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.89%E -3.60%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.29%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 20:09
NetBet (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -7.69%E -5.82%K -24.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -5.29%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 19:59
BetUS1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.09%E -1.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-07 20:09
BetAnything1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.09%E -1.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-07 20:10
TAB1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -2.79%E -2.01%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 20:09
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.49%E -2.53%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 20:09
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.49%E -2.53%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 20:10
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.49%E -2.53%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 20:09
Bally Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.49%E -2.53%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 20:10
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.49%E -2.53%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 20:09
Bet Right1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.19%E -3.06%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 20:10
Virgin Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.19%E -3.06%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 20:09
LiveScore Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.19%E -3.06%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 20:10
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.89%E -3.60%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 20:09
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.59%E -4.14%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 20:01
Coral1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.59%E -4.14%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 20:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.59%E -4.14%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 20:09
Hard Rock Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.99%E -5.25%K -21.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 20:09
Betsson1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.49%E -2.53%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 20:09
NordicBet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.49%E -2.53%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 20:10
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.49%E -2.53%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 20:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.89%E -3.60%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 20:09
Betway1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.89%E -3.60%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 20:09
LeoVegas1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -6.29%E -4.69%K -18.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 20:10
Betclic (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -5.59%E -4.14%K -15.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -11.30%E -3.83%K -5.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 20:08
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.40I 71.43%NM 71.31%3.48I 28.74%NM 28.69%0.2%2026-03-07 19:59
Novig1.41I 70.92%NM 70.50%3.37I 29.67%NM 29.50%0.6%2026-03-07 20:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-03-07 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-03-07 20:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-03-07 20:09
Matchbook1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-03-07 20:10
ProphetX1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-03-07 20:09
Polymarket1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.0%2026-03-07 20:09
Kalshi1.41I 70.92%NM 69.61%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39%1.9%2026-03-07 20:10
Smarkets1.39I 71.94%NM 70.36%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.64%2.2%2026-03-07 20:10