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Minnesota Timberwolves v New Orleans Pelicans
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Minnesota Timberwolves (Local)
Prediction 60.42%1.66fair odd
EV -0.313%
Edge -0.189%
Kelly -0.481%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.14%60.46%60.34%63.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.571.581.6566.67%63.50%63.29%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New Orleans Pelicans (Visit)
Prediction 39.58%2.53fair odd
EV +2.92%
Edge +1.12%
Kelly +1.82%
Growth +0.053%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.59%39.54%39.66%41.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.422.402.6044.44%41.40%41.67%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Minnesota Timberwolves (Local): 60.42%; New Orleans Pelicans (Visit): 39.58%. For New Orleans Pelicans (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.53. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.92%.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -9.38%E -6.25%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +2.92%E +1.12%K +1.82%G +0.053% | 5.1% | 2026-04-13 00:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.94%E -2.48%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.04%E -0.417%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-13 00:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.75%E -3.69%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.04%E -0.417%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.96%E -4.52%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -1.04%E -0.417%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-13 00:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.56%E -4.94%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.04%E -0.417%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-13 00:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.56%E -4.94%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.04%E -0.417%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-13 00:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.56%E -4.94%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.04%E -0.417%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-13 00:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -1.83%E -0.739%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-13 00:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.75%E -3.69%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -1.83%E -0.739%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-13 00:29 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.96%E -4.52%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -1.83%E -0.739%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-13 00:33 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -2.13%E -1.31%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV -2.62%E -1.07%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-13 00:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -2.73%E -1.70%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -2.62%E -1.07%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-13 00:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -3.94%E -2.48%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV -2.62%E -1.07%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-13 00:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.73%E -1.70%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.02%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-13 00:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.73%E -1.70%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.02%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-13 00:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -3.33%E -2.08%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -3.02%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-13 00:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.94%E -2.48%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.02%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-13 00:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.54%E -2.87%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.02%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-13 00:28 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.54%E -2.87%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.02%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-13 00:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.54%E -2.87%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.02%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.54%E -2.87%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.02%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.02%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-13 00:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.02%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-13 00:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.35%E -4.10%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.02%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-13 00:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.56%E -4.94%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.02%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.56%E -4.94%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.02%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.33%E -2.08%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -3.81%E -1.57%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.33%E -2.08%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -3.81%E -1.57%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-13 00:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.33%E -2.08%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -3.81%E -1.57%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-13 00:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.33%E -2.08%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -3.81%E -1.57%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.73%E -1.70%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-13 00:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.73%E -1.70%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-13 00:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.33%E -2.08%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.33%E -2.08%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.33%E -2.08%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.94%E -2.48%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-13 00:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.54%E -2.87%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.54%E -2.87%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.54%E -2.87%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-13 00:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.75%E -3.69%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.75%E -3.69%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-13 00:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -2.73%E -1.70%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -5.40%E -2.26%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-13 00:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.54%E -2.87%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.79%E -2.43%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.54%E -2.87%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.79%E -2.43%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-13 00:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.54%E -2.87%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.79%E -2.43%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.79%E -2.43%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.79%E -2.43%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.75%E -3.69%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.79%E -2.43%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-13 00:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.56%E -4.94%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -6.19%E -2.61%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-13 00:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -3.33%E -2.08%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -6.58%E -2.79%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-13 00:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.33%E -2.08%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.98%E -2.97%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -3.94%E -2.48%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.98%E -2.97%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.98%E -2.97%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.75%E -3.69%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.98%E -2.97%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.96%E -4.52%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.98%E -2.97%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -0.313%E -0.189%K -0.481%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -8.96%E -3.89%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.96%E -3.89%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-13 00:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -8.17%E -5.37%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -8.96%E -3.89%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -9.38%E -6.25%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.96%E -3.89%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.13%E -1.31%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.94%E -4.86%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.62% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.38% | -0.0% | 2026-04-13 00:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 0.9% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 0.9% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.29% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 39.71% | 1.1% | 2026-04-13 00:38 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49% | 1.2% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05% | 2.3% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80% | 3.8% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.10% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90% | 8.0% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |