La escuela de los momios

Minnesota Timberwolves v New Orleans Pelicans

Inicio: 2026-04-13 00:42 UTC

Final: Minnesota Timberwolves 132–126 New Orleans Pelicans

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

65 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Minnesota Timberwolves (Local)

Predicción 60.42%1.66momio equitativo
EV -0.313%
Ventaja -0.189%
Kelly -0.481%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.14%60.46%60.34%63.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.571.581.6566.67%63.50%63.29%60.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

New Orleans Pelicans (Visitante)

Predicción 39.58%2.53momio equitativo
EV +2.92%
Ventaja +1.12%
Kelly +1.82%
Crecimiento +0.053%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.59%39.54%39.66%41.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.422.402.6044.44%41.40%41.67%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -9.38%E -6.25%K -18.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +2.92%E +1.12%K +1.82%G +0.053%5.1%2026-04-13 00:39
BetAnything1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.94%E -2.48%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.04%E -0.417%K -0.694%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-13 00:39
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.75%E -3.69%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.04%E -0.417%K -0.694%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-13 00:40
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.96%E -4.52%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -1.04%E -0.417%K -0.694%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-13 00:39
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.56%E -4.94%K -14.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.04%E -0.417%K -0.694%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-13 00:29
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.56%E -4.94%K -14.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.04%E -0.417%K -0.694%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-13 00:29
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.56%E -4.94%K -14.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.04%E -0.417%K -0.694%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-13 00:29
Coolbet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -1.83%E -0.739%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-13 00:39
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.75%E -3.69%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -1.83%E -0.739%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-13 00:29
MyBookie.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.96%E -4.52%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -1.83%E -0.739%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 00:33
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -2.13%E -1.31%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV -2.62%E -1.07%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-13 00:39
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -2.73%E -1.70%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -2.62%E -1.07%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-13 00:39
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -3.94%E -2.48%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV -2.62%E -1.07%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-13 00:39
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.73%E -1.70%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.02%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-13 00:39
Everygame1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.73%E -1.70%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.02%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-13 00:39
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -3.33%E -2.08%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -3.02%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-13 00:35
GTbets1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.94%E -2.48%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.02%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-13 00:39
Unibet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.54%E -2.87%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.02%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-13 00:28
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.54%E -2.87%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.02%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-13 00:39
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.54%E -2.87%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.02%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-13 00:40
TAB1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.54%E -2.87%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.02%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-13 00:40
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.02%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 00:39
Hard Rock Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.02%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 00:39
Dabble (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.35%E -4.10%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.02%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 00:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.56%E -4.94%K -14.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.02%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-13 00:40
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.56%E -4.94%K -14.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.02%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-13 00:40
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.33%E -2.08%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -3.81%E -1.57%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-13 00:40
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.33%E -2.08%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -3.81%E -1.57%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-13 00:39
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.33%E -2.08%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -3.81%E -1.57%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-13 00:39
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.33%E -2.08%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -3.81%E -1.57%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-13 00:40
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.73%E -1.70%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-13 00:39
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.73%E -1.70%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-13 00:39
FanDuel1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.33%E -2.08%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 00:40
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.33%E -2.08%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 00:40
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.33%E -2.08%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 00:40
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.94%E -2.48%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-13 00:39
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.54%E -2.87%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 00:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.54%E -2.87%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 00:40
Unibet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.54%E -2.87%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 00:40
Virgin Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-13 00:40
LiveScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-13 00:40
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-13 00:40
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-13 00:40
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-13 00:39
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.75%E -3.69%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-13 00:40
Betway1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.75%E -3.69%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-13 00:39
ReBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -2.73%E -1.70%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -5.40%E -2.26%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-13 00:29
Bet Right1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.54%E -2.87%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.79%E -2.43%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 00:40
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.54%E -2.87%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.79%E -2.43%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 00:39
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.54%E -2.87%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.79%E -2.43%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 00:40
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.79%E -2.43%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-13 00:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.79%E -2.43%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-13 00:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.75%E -3.69%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.79%E -2.43%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-13 00:39
NetBet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.56%E -4.94%K -14.27%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -6.19%E -2.61%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-13 00:30
Codere (IT)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -3.33%E -2.08%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -6.58%E -2.79%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-13 00:30
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.33%E -2.08%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.98%E -2.97%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 00:40
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -3.94%E -2.48%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.98%E -2.97%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-13 00:40
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.98%E -2.97%K -5.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-13 00:40
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.75%E -3.69%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.98%E -2.97%K -5.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-13 00:40
PMU (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.96%E -4.52%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.98%E -2.97%K -5.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-13 00:40
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -0.313%E -0.189%K -0.481%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -8.96%E -3.89%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-13 00:40
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.96%E -3.89%K -6.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-13 00:30
Betclic (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -8.17%E -5.37%K -15.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -8.96%E -3.89%K -6.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-13 00:40
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -9.38%E -6.25%K -18.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.96%E -3.89%K -6.89%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-13 00:40
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.13%E -1.31%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.94%E -4.86%K -8.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-13 00:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.65I 60.61%NM 60.62%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.38%-0.0%2026-04-13 00:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%0.9%2026-04-13 00:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%0.9%2026-04-13 00:40
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-04-13 00:40
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-04-13 00:40
Novig1.64I 60.98%NM 60.29%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.71%1.1%2026-04-13 00:38
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.2%2026-04-13 00:40
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05%2.3%2026-04-13 00:40
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%3.8%2026-04-13 00:40
ProphetX1.54I 64.94%NM 60.10%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%8.0%2026-04-13 00:40