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Minnesota Timberwolves v Detroit Pistons
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Minnesota Timberwolves (Local)
Prediction 53.19%1.88fair odd
EV -2.65%
Edge -1.45%
Kelly -3.20%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.36%53.22%53.25%55.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.771.791.8360.61%56.39%56.02%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Detroit Pistons (Visit)
Prediction 46.81%2.14fair odd
EV +0.164%
Edge +0.077%
Kelly +0.144%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.14
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.85%46.78%46.75%47.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.882.052.052.1453.19%48.76%48.78%46.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Minnesota Timberwolves (Local): 53.19%; Detroit Pistons (Visit): 46.81%. For Detroit Pistons (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.136. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.140, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.164%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -7.44%E -4.28%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV +0.164%E +0.077%K +0.144%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-28 00:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -7.44%E -4.28%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV +0.164%E +0.077%K +0.144%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-28 00:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -7.44%E -4.28%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV +0.164%E +0.077%K +0.144%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-28 00:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -7.44%E -4.28%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV +0.164%E +0.077%K +0.144%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-28 00:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.97%E -4.61%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -0.772%E -0.364%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-28 00:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.97%E -4.61%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -0.772%E -0.364%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-28 00:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.97%E -4.61%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -0.772%E -0.364%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-28 00:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.97%E -4.61%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -0.772%E -0.364%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-28 00:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.97%E -4.61%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -0.772%E -0.364%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-28 00:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.97%E -4.61%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -0.772%E -0.364%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-28 00:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.97%E -4.61%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -0.772%E -0.364%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-28 00:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -2.65%E -1.45%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -1.24%E -0.588%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.97%E -4.61%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.71%E -0.813%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-27 23:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.97%E -4.61%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.71%E -0.813%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-28 02:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -8.51%E -4.95%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -1.71%E -0.813%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-28 00:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -5.31%E -2.99%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -2.18%E -1.04%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-28 01:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.78%E -2.67%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -2.64%E -1.27%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-28 03:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -2.65%E -1.45%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -3.11%E -1.50%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-28 01:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.35%EV -3.72%E -2.05%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.65%EV -3.11%E -1.50%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-28 03:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.78%E -2.67%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.58%E -1.74%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-28 03:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97%EV -3.19%E -1.75%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03%EV -4.05%E -1.97%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-28 01:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.72%E -2.05%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -4.05%E -1.97%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-28 02:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.05%E -1.97%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-28 02:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.05%E -1.97%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-28 02:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.05%E -1.97%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-28 02:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.05%E -1.97%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.05%E -1.97%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-28 02:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.05%E -1.97%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-28 02:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.05%E -1.97%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-28 01:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.05%E -1.97%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-28 01:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.05%E -1.97%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-28 01:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.05%E -1.97%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-28 01:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.05%E -1.97%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-28 03:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.05%E -1.97%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-28 02:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.05%E -1.97%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.05%E -1.97%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-28 03:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.31%E -2.99%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.05%E -1.97%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.31%E -2.99%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.05%E -1.97%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.91%E -3.95%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.05%E -1.97%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-28 01:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -2.65%E -1.45%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -4.52%E -2.21%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-28 02:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.31%E -2.99%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.52%E -2.21%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 23:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.31%E -2.99%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.52%E -2.21%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 23:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.72%E -2.05%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.45%E -2.70%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-28 02:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.45%E -2.70%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-28 02:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.45%E -2.70%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-28 00:45 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.45%E -2.70%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.04%EV -12.23%E -7.41%K -18.81%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.96%EV -5.45%E -2.70%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-28 00:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.19%E -1.75%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.39%E -3.19%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-28 02:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.39%E -3.19%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-28 02:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.39%E -3.19%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-28 00:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.39%E -3.19%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-27 23:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.85%E -3.30%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.39%E -3.19%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-28 02:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.91%E -3.95%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.39%E -3.19%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.91%E -3.95%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.39%E -3.19%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -5.85%E -3.30%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -7.32%E -3.70%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-28 02:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -5.85%E -3.30%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -7.32%E -3.70%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-28 02:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -7.44%E -4.28%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -7.32%E -3.70%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-28 03:02 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.91%E -3.95%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-28 02:51 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.60%EV -7.97%E -4.61%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.40%EV -10.13%E -5.28%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-28 02:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.81%EV -10.63%E -6.33%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.19%EV -12.01%E -6.39%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-28 02:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-03-28 00:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60% | 1.2% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60% | 1.2% | 2026-03-28 02:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84% | 1.7% | 2026-03-28 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84% | 1.7% | 2026-03-28 03:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84% | 1.7% | 2026-03-28 03:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84% | 1.7% | 2026-03-28 03:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07% | 2.1% | 2026-03-28 03:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.82% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.18% | 2.9% | 2026-03-28 03:00 |