La escuela de los momios

Minnesota Timberwolves v Detroit Pistons

Inicio: 2026-03-28 21:40 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Minnesota Timberwolves (Local)

Predicción 53.19%1.88momio equitativo
EV -2.65%
Ventaja -1.45%
Kelly -3.20%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.36%53.22%53.25%55.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.771.791.8360.61%56.39%56.02%54.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Detroit Pistons (Visitante)

Predicción 46.81%2.14momio equitativo
EV +0.164%
Ventaja +0.077%
Kelly +0.144%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.14

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.85%46.78%46.75%47.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.882.052.052.1453.19%48.76%48.78%46.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -7.44%E -4.28%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV +0.164%E +0.077%K +0.144%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-28 00:30
Unibet (NL)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -7.44%E -4.28%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV +0.164%E +0.077%K +0.144%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-28 00:30
ATG (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -7.44%E -4.28%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV +0.164%E +0.077%K +0.144%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-28 00:30
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -7.44%E -4.28%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV +0.164%E +0.077%K +0.144%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-28 00:30
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.97%E -4.61%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -0.772%E -0.364%K -0.689%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-28 00:30
LiveScore Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.97%E -4.61%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -0.772%E -0.364%K -0.689%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-28 00:30
Virgin Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.97%E -4.61%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -0.772%E -0.364%K -0.689%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-28 00:30
TABtouch1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.97%E -4.61%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -0.772%E -0.364%K -0.689%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-28 00:30
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.97%E -4.61%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -0.772%E -0.364%K -0.689%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-28 00:30
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.97%E -4.61%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -0.772%E -0.364%K -0.689%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-28 00:30
Bally Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.97%E -4.61%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -0.772%E -0.364%K -0.689%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-28 00:30
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -2.65%E -1.45%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -1.24%E -0.588%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.0%2026-03-28 03:05
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.97%E -4.61%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.71%E -0.813%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 23:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.97%E -4.61%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.71%E -0.813%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-28 02:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -8.51%E -4.95%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -1.71%E -0.813%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-28 00:30
SportsBet1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -5.31%E -2.99%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -2.18%E -1.04%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-28 01:40
FanDuel1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.78%E -2.67%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -2.64%E -1.27%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-28 03:00
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -2.65%E -1.45%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -3.11%E -1.50%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-28 01:05
LowVig.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 53.35%EV -3.72%E -2.05%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.65%EV -3.11%E -1.50%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-28 03:00
Marathon Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.78%E -2.67%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.58%E -1.74%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-28 03:00
Dabble (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97%EV -3.19%E -1.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03%EV -4.05%E -1.97%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-28 01:00
Coolbet1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.72%E -2.05%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -4.05%E -1.97%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-28 02:55
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.05%E -1.97%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 02:10
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.05%E -1.97%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 02:09
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.05%E -1.97%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 02:10
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.05%E -1.97%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 03:05
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.05%E -1.97%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 02:10
GTbets1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.05%E -1.97%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 02:10
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.05%E -1.97%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 01:00
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.05%E -1.97%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 01:15
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.05%E -1.97%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 01:25
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.05%E -1.97%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 01:35
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.05%E -1.97%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 03:00
BetAnything1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.05%E -1.97%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 02:50
BetOnline.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.05%E -1.97%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 03:05
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.05%E -1.97%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 03:04
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.31%E -2.99%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.05%E -1.97%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-28 03:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.31%E -2.99%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.05%E -1.97%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-28 03:05
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.91%E -3.95%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.05%E -1.97%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-28 01:25
Unibet (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -2.65%E -1.45%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -4.52%E -2.21%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-28 02:50
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.31%E -2.99%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.52%E -2.21%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 23:55
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.31%E -2.99%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.52%E -2.21%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 23:55
ReBet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.72%E -2.05%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.45%E -2.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-28 02:50
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.45%E -2.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 02:10
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.45%E -2.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 00:45
MyBookie.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.45%E -2.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 03:05
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 55.04%EV -12.23%E -7.41%K -18.81%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.96%EV -5.45%E -2.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-28 00:30
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.19%E -1.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.39%E -3.19%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-28 02:50
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.39%E -3.19%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-28 02:50
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.39%E -3.19%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-28 00:30
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.39%E -3.19%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 23:25
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.85%E -3.30%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.39%E -3.19%K -6.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-28 02:00
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.91%E -3.95%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.39%E -3.19%K -6.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-28 03:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.91%E -3.95%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.39%E -3.19%K -6.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-28 03:05
Parions Sport (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -5.85%E -3.30%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -7.32%E -3.70%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-28 02:49
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -5.85%E -3.30%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -7.32%E -3.70%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-28 02:50
Betclic (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -7.44%E -4.28%K -10.06%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -7.32%E -3.70%K -7.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-28 03:02
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.91%E -3.95%K -9.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-28 02:51
Codere (IT)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.60%EV -7.97%E -4.61%K -10.92%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.40%EV -10.13%E -5.28%K -11.01%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-28 02:55
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.81%EV -10.63%E -6.33%K -15.64%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.19%EV -12.01%E -6.39%K -13.64%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-28 02:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-03-28 00:45
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.2%2026-03-28 03:05
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.2%2026-03-28 02:55
ProphetX1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%1.7%2026-03-28 02:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%1.7%2026-03-28 03:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%1.7%2026-03-28 03:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%1.7%2026-03-28 03:00
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-03-28 03:00
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 52.82%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.18%2.9%2026-03-28 03:00