Language:English
Milwaukee Bucks v Miami Heat
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Milwaukee Bucks (Local)
Prediction 32.99%3.03fair odd
EV +1.62%
Edge +0.525%
Kelly +0.777%
Growth +0.013%
assuming max odds 3.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.10%32.96%32.87%34.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.902.903.0837.04%34.51%34.48%32.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Miami Heat (Visit)
Prediction 67.01%1.49fair odd
EV -2.17%
Edge -1.49%
Kelly -4.71%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.46
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.48%67.04%67.13%68.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.421.421.4673.53%70.45%70.42%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Milwaukee Bucks (Local): 32.99%; Miami Heat (Visit): 67.01%. For Milwaukee Bucks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.03. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.08, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.62%.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.10%EV +1.62%E +0.525%K +0.777%G +0.013% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.90%EV -6.86%E -4.93%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-25 00:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.63%EV +1.29%E +0.419%K +0.621%G +0.008% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.37%EV -4.85%E -3.41%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-02-25 01:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%EV +0.626%E +0.205%K +0.305%G +0.002% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-02-25 00:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV +0.626%E +0.205%K +0.305%G +0.002% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -5.52%E -3.91%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-25 00:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV +0.626%E +0.205%K +0.305%G +0.002% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -5.52%E -3.91%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-25 00:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV +0.626%E +0.205%K +0.305%G +0.002% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -5.52%E -3.91%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-25 00:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV +0.626%E +0.205%K +0.305%G +0.002% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -5.52%E -3.91%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-25 00:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%EV -1.02%E -0.341%K -0.512%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%EV -2.84%E -1.96%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-02-25 01:03 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.02%E -0.341%K -0.512%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.85%E -3.41%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-25 01:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.02%E -0.341%K -0.512%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-25 00:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.02%E -0.341%K -0.512%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-25 00:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.02%E -0.341%K -0.512%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-25 00:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.02%E -0.341%K -0.512%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-25 00:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.02%E -0.341%K -0.512%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-25 01:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.02%E -0.341%K -0.512%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-25 00:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.02%E -0.341%K -0.512%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-25 00:54 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.02%E -0.341%K -0.512%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-25 01:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -2.67%E -0.906%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-02-25 01:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -2.67%E -0.906%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-02-25 01:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.67%E -0.906%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.18%E -2.92%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-24 23:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.67%E -0.906%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.18%E -2.92%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-25 01:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.67%E -0.906%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.85%E -3.41%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-25 01:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -2.67%E -0.906%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.52%E -3.91%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-25 00:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.67%E -0.906%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.53%E -5.46%K -19.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-25 00:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.72%EV -3.00%E -1.02%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.28%EV -4.18%E -2.92%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-25 00:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.72%EV -3.00%E -1.02%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.28%EV -4.18%E -2.92%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-25 01:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -3.66%E -1.25%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -4.18%E -2.92%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-25 01:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.32%E -1.49%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-24 23:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.32%E -1.49%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.85%E -3.41%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-24 19:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.32%E -1.49%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.85%E -3.41%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 00:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.32%E -1.49%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-24 13:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.32%E -1.49%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-24 05:44 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -4.32%E -1.49%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -8.20%E -5.98%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-25 00:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -4.32%E -1.49%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.87%E -6.52%K -24.64%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-25 00:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.98%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-24 10:53 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.98%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-24 13:14 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -5.64%E -1.97%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -4.18%E -2.92%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-24 22:33 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -5.97%E -2.10%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -2.84%E -1.96%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-25 01:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.97%E -2.10%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-24 23:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.97%E -2.10%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-25 00:44 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.97%E -2.10%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.18%E -2.92%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-24 22:34 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.97%E -2.10%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.18%E -2.92%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-25 00:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.97%E -2.10%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.18%E -2.92%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-25 01:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -5.97%E -2.10%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.52%E -3.91%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-25 00:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.97%E -2.10%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-24 22:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.97%E -2.10%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-24 22:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.97%E -2.10%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-24 22:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -7.62%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -2.17%E -1.49%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-24 23:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -7.62%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -2.17%E -1.49%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-24 23:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -7.62%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.84%E -1.96%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-24 23:53 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -7.62%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.84%E -1.96%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-25 00:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -7.62%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.84%E -1.96%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-24 23:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.62%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-25 01:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.62%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-25 01:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.62%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-25 00:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.62%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-25 00:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.62%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.85%E -3.41%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-24 23:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -7.62%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -5.52%E -3.91%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-24 22:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.62%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-24 22:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.62%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-25 01:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -9.27%E -3.37%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.84%E -1.96%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-24 23:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.27%E -3.37%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-25 01:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.27%E -3.37%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-25 00:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.27%E -3.37%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-25 00:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.66%EV -10.92%E -4.04%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.34%EV -8.20%E -5.98%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-25 01:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 3.22I 31.06%NM 31.05% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.95% | 0.0% | 2026-02-25 00:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33% | 0.2% | 2026-02-25 01:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 0.7% | 2026-02-25 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 0.8% | 2026-02-25 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 0.8% | 2026-02-25 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 0.8% | 2026-02-25 01:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 1.0% | 2026-02-25 00:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 1.0% | 2026-02-25 01:05 |
| Novig◎ | 3.07I 32.57%NM 32.08% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.92% | 1.5% | 2026-02-25 01:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28% | 1.7% | 2026-02-25 01:05 |