L’École des cotes

Milwaukee Bucks v Miami Heat

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-25 01:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

65 opérateurs (23 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Milwaukee Bucks (Local)

Prévision 32.99%3.03cote équitable
EV +1.62%
Avantage +0.525%
Kelly +0.777%
Croissance +0.013%

avec la cote maximale 3.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.10%32.96%32.87%34.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.902.903.0837.04%34.51%34.48%32.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Miami Heat (Visiteur)

Prévision 67.01%1.49cote équitable
EV -2.17%
Avantage -1.49%
Kelly -4.71%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.46

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.48%67.04%67.13%68.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.361.421.421.4673.53%70.45%70.42%68.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Marathon Bet3.08I 32.47%NM 31.10%EV +1.62%E +0.525%K +0.777%G +0.013%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.90%EV -6.86%E -4.93%K -17.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-25 00:59
Pinnacle3.07I 32.57%NM 31.63%EV +1.29%E +0.419%K +0.621%G +0.008%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.37%EV -4.85%E -3.41%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-25 01:05
1xBet3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%EV +0.626%E +0.205%K +0.305%G +0.002%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.2%2026-02-25 00:14
Unibet (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV +0.626%E +0.205%K +0.305%G +0.002%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -5.52%E -3.91%K -13.46%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-25 00:55
Unibet (NL)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV +0.626%E +0.205%K +0.305%G +0.002%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -5.52%E -3.91%K -13.46%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-25 00:54
ATG (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV +0.626%E +0.205%K +0.305%G +0.002%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -5.52%E -3.91%K -13.46%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-25 00:55
Svenska Spel3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV +0.626%E +0.205%K +0.305%G +0.002%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -5.52%E -3.91%K -13.46%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-25 00:55
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%EV -1.02%E -0.341%K -0.512%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%EV -2.84%E -1.96%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.3%2026-02-25 01:03
Bovada3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.02%E -0.341%K -0.512%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.85%E -3.41%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-25 01:04
BetRivers3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.02%E -0.341%K -0.512%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 00:59
Virgin Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.02%E -0.341%K -0.512%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 00:59
TABtouch3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.02%E -0.341%K -0.512%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 00:54
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.02%E -0.341%K -0.512%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 00:55
LiveScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.02%E -0.341%K -0.512%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 01:00
Bally Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.02%E -0.341%K -0.512%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 00:55
betPARX3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.02%E -0.341%K -0.512%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 00:54
Dabble (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.02%E -0.341%K -0.512%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 01:04
Winamax (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -2.67%E -0.906%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-25 01:00
LowVig.ag2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -2.67%E -0.906%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-25 01:05
theScore Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.67%E -0.906%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.18%E -2.92%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-24 23:44
BetUS2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.67%E -0.906%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.18%E -2.92%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-25 01:05
Unibet (UK)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.67%E -0.906%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.85%E -3.41%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-25 01:05
Fliff2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -2.67%E -0.906%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.52%E -3.91%K -13.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 00:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.67%E -0.906%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.53%E -5.46%K -19.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-25 00:59
FanDuel2.94I 34.01%NM 32.72%EV -3.00%E -1.02%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.28%EV -4.18%E -2.92%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-25 00:59
SportsBet2.94I 34.01%NM 32.72%EV -3.00%E -1.02%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.28%EV -4.18%E -2.92%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-25 01:04
BetOnline.ag2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -3.66%E -1.25%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -4.18%E -2.92%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-25 01:05
Coolbet2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.32%E -1.49%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-24 23:00
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.32%E -1.49%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.85%E -3.41%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-24 19:25
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.32%E -1.49%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.85%E -3.41%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 00:54
Tipico (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.32%E -1.49%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-24 13:14
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.32%E -1.49%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-24 05:44
NetBet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -4.32%E -1.49%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -8.20%E -5.98%K -22.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-25 00:59
LeoVegas2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -4.32%E -1.49%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.87%E -6.52%K -24.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-25 00:55
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.98%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-24 10:53
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.98%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-24 13:14
MyBookie.ag2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -5.64%E -1.97%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -4.18%E -2.92%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-24 22:33
PlayUp2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -5.97%E -2.10%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -2.84%E -1.96%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-25 01:04
GTbets2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.97%E -2.10%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-24 23:10
BetAnything2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.97%E -2.10%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-25 00:44
Codere (IT)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.97%E -2.10%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.18%E -2.92%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 22:34
Parions Sport (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.97%E -2.10%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.18%E -2.92%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 00:49
Betway2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.97%E -2.10%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.18%E -2.92%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 01:00
Unibet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -5.97%E -2.10%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.52%E -3.91%K -13.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-25 00:49
888sport2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.97%E -2.10%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-24 22:59
Mr Green (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.97%E -2.10%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-24 22:59
888sport (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.97%E -2.10%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-24 22:59
DraftKings2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -7.62%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -2.17%E -1.49%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-24 23:50
TAB2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -7.62%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -2.17%E -1.49%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-24 23:09
Caesars2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -7.62%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.84%E -1.96%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-24 23:53
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -7.62%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.84%E -1.96%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-25 00:15
Everygame2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -7.62%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.84%E -1.96%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-24 23:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.62%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-25 01:05
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.62%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-25 01:05
NordicBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.62%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-25 00:55
Betsson2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.62%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-25 00:54
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.62%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.85%E -3.41%K -11.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-24 23:15
Winamax (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -7.62%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -5.52%E -3.91%K -13.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-24 22:29
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.62%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-24 22:34
Hard Rock Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.62%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-25 01:04
Bet Right2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -9.27%E -3.37%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.84%E -1.96%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-24 23:50
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.27%E -3.37%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-25 01:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.27%E -3.37%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-25 00:20
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.27%E -3.37%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-25 00:20
Betclic (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.66%EV -10.92%E -4.04%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 66.34%EV -8.20%E -5.98%K -22.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-25 01:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly3.22I 31.06%NM 31.05%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.95%0.0%2026-02-25 00:55
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67%1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33%0.2%2026-02-25 01:05
ProphetX3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-02-25 00:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%0.8%2026-02-25 00:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%0.8%2026-02-25 00:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%0.8%2026-02-25 01:00
Polymarket3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%1.0%2026-02-25 00:55
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%1.0%2026-02-25 01:05
Novig3.07I 32.57%NM 32.08%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.92%1.5%2026-02-25 01:05
Smarkets3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28%1.7%2026-02-25 01:05