Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Milwaukee Bucks v Memphis Grizzlies

Kickoff: 2026-04-05 19:40 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

66 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Milwaukee Bucks (Local)

Prediction 70.55%1.42fair odd
EV -2.64%
Edge -1.92%
Kelly -6.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.81%70.45%70.50%71.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.351.361.3877.52%73.99%73.53%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Memphis Grizzlies (Visit)

Prediction 29.45%3.40fair odd
EV +0.728%
Edge +0.213%
Kelly +0.301%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 3.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.12%29.55%29.50%31.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.233.253.4234.48%30.95%30.77%29.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Milwaukee Bucks (Local): 70.55%; Memphis Grizzlies (Visit): 29.45%. For Memphis Grizzlies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.40. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.42, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.728%.

Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.55%EV -4.06%E -2.98%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.45%EV +0.728%E +0.213%K +0.301%G +0.002%2.8%2026-04-05 19:35
BetAnything🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -5.47%E -4.08%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV +0.139%E +0.041%K +0.058%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 19:35
Dabble (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.17%E -4.64%K -18.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +0.139%E +0.041%K +0.058%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 19:34
1xBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 71.01%EV -2.64%E -1.92%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.99%EV -0.450%E -0.133%K -0.189%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-05 19:20
Everygame🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -4.06%E -2.98%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -1.33%E -0.398%K -0.568%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 18:04
Bovada🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.76%E -3.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -1.33%E -0.398%K -0.568%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-05 19:33
Bet Victor🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -3.35%E -2.45%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -2.81%E -0.850%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-05 19:19
Coolbet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.06%E -2.98%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.81%E -0.850%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-05 19:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.06%E -2.98%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.81%E -0.850%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-05 19:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.06%E -2.98%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.81%E -0.850%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-05 19:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.06%E -2.98%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.81%E -0.850%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-05 19:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.06%E -2.98%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.81%E -0.850%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-05 19:24
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.06%E -2.98%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.81%E -0.850%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-05 19:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.06%E -2.98%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.81%E -0.850%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-05 18:04
BetUS🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.06%E -2.98%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.81%E -0.850%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-05 18:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.76%E -3.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -2.81%E -0.850%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-05 19:14
Fanatics🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.76%E -3.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -2.81%E -0.850%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-05 19:30
Fliff🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.47%E -4.08%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -2.81%E -0.850%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 19:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.88%E -5.21%K -21.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -2.81%E -0.850%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 19:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.60%EV -3.35%E -2.45%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.40%EV -3.10%E -0.943%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 18:04
SportsBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.75%EV -4.06%E -2.98%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.25%EV -3.10%E -0.943%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-05 19:29
ReBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.06%E -2.98%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -3.98%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-05 19:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.06%E -2.98%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -3.98%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-05 18:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.35%E -2.45%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -4.28%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-05 18:55
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.06%E -2.98%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.28%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 19:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.06%E -2.98%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.28%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 19:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.06%E -2.98%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.28%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 19:20
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.06%E -2.98%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.28%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 19:35
DraftKings🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.06%E -2.98%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.28%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 18:04
GTbets🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.06%E -2.98%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.28%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 18:04
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.06%E -2.98%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.28%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 19:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.06%E -2.98%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.28%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 19:30
Neds🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.76%E -3.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.28%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 18:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.76%E -3.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.28%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 18:44
TABtouch🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.76%E -3.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.28%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 19:25
Unibet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.76%E -3.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.28%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 19:25
Bally Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.76%E -3.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.28%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 19:15
betPARX🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.76%E -3.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.28%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 19:25
BetRivers🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.47%E -4.08%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.28%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 19:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.47%E -4.08%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.28%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 19:14
LiveScore Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.47%E -4.08%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.28%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 19:15
Bet Right🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.17%E -4.64%K -18.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.28%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 19:20
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.31%EV -4.06%E -2.98%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.69%EV -5.16%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 18:03
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.35%E -2.45%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -5.75%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-05 19:29
TAB🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.35%E -2.45%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -5.75%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-05 18:04
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.06%E -2.98%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.75%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 18:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.76%E -3.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.75%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 19:29
Betsson🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.76%E -3.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.75%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 19:35
NordicBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.76%E -3.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.75%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 19:34
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.76%E -3.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.75%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 19:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.76%E -3.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.75%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 19:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.47%E -4.08%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.75%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 19:24
NetBet (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.95%EV -7.58%E -5.79%K -24.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -5.75%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 19:29
MyBookie.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.98%EV -4.06%E -2.98%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.02%EV -6.64%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 19:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.88%E -5.21%K -21.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -7.22%E -2.29%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 19:24
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.06%E -2.98%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 18:55
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.06%E -2.98%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 18:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.06%E -2.98%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 18:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.06%E -2.98%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 18:04
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.06%E -2.98%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 18:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.06%E -2.98%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 18:54
LeoVegas🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.62%EV -8.99%E -6.97%K -31.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 19:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.11%EV -8.29%E -6.38%K -27.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -10.17%E -3.33%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-05 19:34
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.06%E -2.98%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.64%E -3.88%K -5.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 18:54
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.06%E -2.98%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.64%E -3.88%K -5.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 19:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 68.88%EV -7.58%E -5.79%K -24.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -14.59%E -5.03%K -7.68%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-05 18:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.39I 71.94%NM 72.03%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.97%-0.1%2026-04-05 19:30
Matchbook1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71%0.2%2026-04-05 19:35
Novig1.38I 72.46%NM 72.18%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.82%0.4%2026-04-05 19:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-04-05 19:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-04-05 19:35
ProphetX1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-04-05 19:35
Polymarket1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-04-05 18:14
Kalshi1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-04-05 19:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-04-05 19:35
Smarkets1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55%2.2%2026-04-05 19:35