La escuela de los momios

Milwaukee Bucks v Memphis Grizzlies

Inicio: 2026-04-05 19:40 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

66 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Milwaukee Bucks (Local)

Predicción 70.55%1.42momio equitativo
EV -2.64%
Ventaja -1.92%
Kelly -6.96%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.81%70.45%70.50%71.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.291.351.361.3877.52%73.99%73.53%72.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Memphis Grizzlies (Visitante)

Predicción 29.45%3.40momio equitativo
EV +0.728%
Ventaja +0.213%
Kelly +0.301%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.42

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.12%29.55%29.50%31.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.233.253.4234.48%30.95%30.77%29.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.36I 73.53%NM 71.55%EV -4.06%E -2.98%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.45%EV +0.728%E +0.213%K +0.301%G +0.002%2.8%2026-04-05 19:35
BetAnything1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -5.47%E -4.08%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV +0.139%E +0.041%K +0.058%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 19:35
Dabble (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.17%E -4.64%K -18.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +0.139%E +0.041%K +0.058%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 19:34
1xBet1.38I 72.46%NM 71.01%EV -2.64%E -1.92%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.99%EV -0.450%E -0.133%K -0.189%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-05 19:20
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -4.06%E -2.98%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -1.33%E -0.398%K -0.568%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 18:04
Bovada1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.76%E -3.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -1.33%E -0.398%K -0.568%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-05 19:33
Bet Victor1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -3.35%E -2.45%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -2.81%E -0.850%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-05 19:19
Coolbet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.06%E -2.98%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.81%E -0.850%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-05 19:19
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.06%E -2.98%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.81%E -0.850%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-05 19:24
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.06%E -2.98%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.81%E -0.850%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-05 19:24
ATG (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.06%E -2.98%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.81%E -0.850%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-05 19:25
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.06%E -2.98%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.81%E -0.850%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-05 19:24
theScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.06%E -2.98%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.81%E -0.850%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-05 19:20
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.06%E -2.98%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.81%E -0.850%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-05 18:04
BetUS1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.06%E -2.98%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.81%E -0.850%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-05 18:04
Marathon Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.76%E -3.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -2.81%E -0.850%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-05 19:14
Fanatics1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.76%E -3.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -2.81%E -0.850%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-05 19:30
Fliff1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.47%E -4.08%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -2.81%E -0.850%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 19:09
Tipico (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.88%E -5.21%K -21.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -2.81%E -0.850%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 19:30
LowVig.ag1.37I 72.99%NM 70.60%EV -3.35%E -2.45%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.40%EV -3.10%E -0.943%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 18:04
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.75%EV -4.06%E -2.98%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.25%EV -3.10%E -0.943%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-05 19:29
ReBet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.06%E -2.98%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -3.98%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-05 19:29
BetOnline.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.06%E -2.98%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -3.98%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-05 18:04
Winamax (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.35%E -2.45%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -4.28%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-05 18:55
FanDuel1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.06%E -2.98%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.28%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 19:20
Unibet (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.06%E -2.98%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.28%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 19:29
Betr (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.06%E -2.98%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.28%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 19:20
PlayUp1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.06%E -2.98%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.28%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 19:35
DraftKings1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.06%E -2.98%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.28%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 18:04
GTbets1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.06%E -2.98%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.28%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 18:04
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.06%E -2.98%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.28%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 19:29
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.06%E -2.98%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.28%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 19:30
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.76%E -3.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.28%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 18:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.76%E -3.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.28%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 18:44
TABtouch1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.76%E -3.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.28%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 19:25
Unibet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.76%E -3.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.28%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 19:25
Bally Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.76%E -3.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.28%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 19:15
betPARX1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.76%E -3.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.28%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 19:25
BetRivers1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.47%E -4.08%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.28%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 19:14
Virgin Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.47%E -4.08%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.28%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 19:14
LiveScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.47%E -4.08%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.28%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 19:15
Bet Right1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.17%E -4.64%K -18.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.28%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 19:20
Caesars1.36I 73.53%NM 70.31%EV -4.06%E -2.98%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.69%EV -5.16%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 18:03
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.35%E -2.45%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -5.75%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-05 19:29
TAB1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.35%E -2.45%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -5.75%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-05 18:04
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.06%E -2.98%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.75%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 18:55
Codere (IT)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.76%E -3.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.75%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 19:29
Betsson1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.76%E -3.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.75%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 19:35
NordicBet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.76%E -3.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.75%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 19:34
Coral1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.76%E -3.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.75%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 19:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.76%E -3.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.75%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 19:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.47%E -4.08%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.75%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 19:24
NetBet (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 70.95%EV -7.58%E -5.79%K -24.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -5.75%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 19:29
MyBookie.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 69.98%EV -4.06%E -2.98%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.02%EV -6.64%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 19:29
PMU (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.88%E -5.21%K -21.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -7.22%E -2.29%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 19:24
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.06%E -2.98%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 18:55
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.06%E -2.98%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 18:04
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.06%E -2.98%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 18:04
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.06%E -2.98%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 18:04
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.06%E -2.98%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 18:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.06%E -2.98%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 18:54
LeoVegas1.29I 77.52%NM 70.62%EV -8.99%E -6.97%K -31.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 19:24
Betclic (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.11%EV -8.29%E -6.38%K -27.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -10.17%E -3.33%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-05 19:34
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.06%E -2.98%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.64%E -3.88%K -5.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 18:54
Betway1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.06%E -2.98%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.64%E -3.88%K -5.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 19:29
Winamax (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 68.88%EV -7.58%E -5.79%K -24.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -14.59%E -5.03%K -7.68%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-05 18:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.39I 71.94%NM 72.03%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.97%-0.1%2026-04-05 19:30
Matchbook1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71%0.2%2026-04-05 19:35
Novig1.38I 72.46%NM 72.18%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.82%0.4%2026-04-05 19:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-04-05 19:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-04-05 19:35
ProphetX1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-04-05 19:35
Polymarket1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-04-05 18:14
Kalshi1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-04-05 19:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-04-05 19:35
Smarkets1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55%2.2%2026-04-05 19:35