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Milwaukee Bucks v Dallas Mavericks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Milwaukee Bucks (Local)
Prediction 44.13%2.27fair odd
EV +2.39%
Edge +1.03%
Kelly +1.81%
Growth +0.043%
assuming max odds 2.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.00%44.12%44.07%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.152.152.3250.00%46.45%46.51%43.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Dallas Mavericks (Visit)
Prediction 55.87%1.79fair odd
EV +0.557%
Edge +0.309%
Kelly +0.696%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%55.88%55.93%58.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.711.711.8060.98%58.47%58.48%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Milwaukee Bucks (Local): 44.13%; Dallas Mavericks (Visit): 55.87%. For Milwaukee Bucks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.27. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.32, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.39%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV +2.39%E +1.03%K +1.81%G +0.043% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -6.15%E -3.66%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-01 00:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -0.255%E -0.113%K -0.202%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -7.26%E -4.38%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-31 23:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -0.696%E -0.309%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.59%E -3.31%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-01 00:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -0.696%E -0.309%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.59%E -3.31%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-01 00:07 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -1.58%E -0.708%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -4.47%E -2.61%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-01 00:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.62%EV -2.46%E -1.11%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.38%EV -4.47%E -2.61%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-01 00:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -2.90%E -1.32%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -3.91%E -2.27%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-31 23:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.90%E -1.32%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.47%E -2.61%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-01 00:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.90%E -1.32%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.47%E -2.61%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-01 00:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.90%E -1.32%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.47%E -2.61%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-01 00:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.90%E -1.32%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.47%E -2.61%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-01 00:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.90%E -1.32%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.47%E -2.61%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-01 00:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.90%E -1.32%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.03%E -2.96%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-01 00:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.90%E -1.32%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.03%E -2.96%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-01 00:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.90%E -1.32%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.03%E -2.96%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-01 00:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.90%E -1.32%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.59%E -3.31%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-01 00:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.90%E -1.32%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.15%E -3.66%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-01 00:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.90%E -1.32%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.71%E -4.02%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 00:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.79%E -1.74%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.91%E -2.27%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-01 00:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.79%E -1.74%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.91%E -2.27%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-01 00:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -4.23%E -1.95%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -3.35%E -1.94%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-01 00:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -4.23%E -1.95%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -3.35%E -1.94%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-31 23:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.67%E -2.16%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.03%E -2.96%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-01 00:01 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.11%E -2.38%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.24%E -1.28%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-01 00:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.11%E -2.38%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.24%E -1.28%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-01 00:08 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.11%E -2.38%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.79%E -1.61%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-01 00:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.11%E -2.38%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.79%E -1.61%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-01 00:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.11%E -2.38%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.79%E -1.61%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-01 00:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.11%E -2.38%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.79%E -1.61%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-01 00:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.11%E -2.38%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.79%E -1.61%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-01 00:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.11%E -2.38%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.35%E -1.94%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-01 00:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.11%E -2.38%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.03%E -2.96%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 00:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.11%E -2.38%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.71%E -4.02%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-01 00:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.11%E -2.38%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.71%E -4.02%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-01 00:01 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.11%E -2.38%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.71%E -4.02%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-01 00:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.11%E -2.38%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.71%E -4.02%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-01 00:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.11%E -2.38%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.71%E -4.02%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-01 00:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.11%E -2.38%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.71%E -4.02%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-01 00:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.55%E -2.59%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.47%E -2.61%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-01 00:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.55%E -2.59%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.47%E -2.61%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -6.43%E -3.03%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.24%E -1.28%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-01 00:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.43%E -3.03%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.35%E -1.94%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-01 00:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.43%E -3.03%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.35%E -1.94%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-01 00:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.43%E -3.03%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.35%E -1.94%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-01 00:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.43%E -3.03%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.35%E -1.94%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-01 00:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.43%E -3.03%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.91%E -2.27%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 00:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.43%E -3.03%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.91%E -2.27%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 00:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.43%E -3.03%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.91%E -2.27%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 00:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -7.32%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.12%E -0.632%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-01 00:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.32%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.35%E -1.94%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-01 00:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.32%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.47%E -2.61%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-01 00:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.32%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.47%E -2.61%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-01 00:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.32%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.47%E -2.61%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-01 00:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.32%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.03%E -2.96%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-01 00:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.32%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.03%E -2.96%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-01 00:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.32%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.82%E -4.74%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-31 23:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -8.20%E -3.94%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.24%E -1.28%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-01 00:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -8.20%E -3.94%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.24%E -1.28%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-01 00:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.20%EV -8.64%E -4.17%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.80%EV -8.38%E -5.11%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-01 00:06 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.96%EV -10.85%E -5.37%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.04%EV -7.82%E -4.74%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-01 00:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -11.73%E -5.87%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +0.557%E +0.309%K +0.696%G +0.004% | 5.6% | 2026-04-01 00:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 0.7% | 2026-04-01 00:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 0.7% | 2026-04-01 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 0.7% | 2026-04-01 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 0.7% | 2026-04-01 00:10 |
| Novig◎ | 2.29I 43.67%NM 43.32% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.68% | 0.8% | 2026-04-01 00:08 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-04-01 00:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-04-01 00:09 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64% | 2.1% | 2026-04-01 00:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79% | 3.0% | 2026-04-01 00:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22% | 4.6% | 2026-03-31 23:59 |