La escuela de los momios

Milwaukee Bucks v Dallas Mavericks

Inicio: 2026-04-01 00:11 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Milwaukee Bucks (Local)

Predicción 44.13%2.27momio equitativo
EV +2.39%
Ventaja +1.03%
Kelly +1.81%
Crecimiento +0.043%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.32

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.00%44.12%44.07%47.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.152.152.3250.00%46.45%46.51%43.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Dallas Mavericks (Visitante)

Predicción 55.87%1.79momio equitativo
EV +0.557%
Ventaja +0.309%
Kelly +0.696%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.63%55.88%55.93%58.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.641.711.711.8060.98%58.47%58.48%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV +2.39%E +1.03%K +1.81%G +0.043%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -6.15%E -3.66%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-01 00:09
Marathon Bet2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -0.255%E -0.113%K -0.202%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -7.26%E -4.38%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-31 23:59
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -0.696%E -0.309%K -0.557%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.59%E -3.31%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-01 00:09
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -0.696%E -0.309%K -0.557%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.59%E -3.31%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-01 00:07
LowVig.ag2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -1.58%E -0.708%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -4.47%E -2.61%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-01 00:10
BetOnline.ag2.21I 45.25%NM 43.62%EV -2.46%E -1.11%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.38%EV -4.47%E -2.61%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-01 00:09
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -2.90%E -1.32%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -3.91%E -2.27%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-31 23:59
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.90%E -1.32%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.47%E -2.61%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-01 00:09
GTbets2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.90%E -1.32%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.47%E -2.61%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-01 00:09
BetAnything2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.90%E -1.32%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.47%E -2.61%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-01 00:10
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.90%E -1.32%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.47%E -2.61%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-01 00:09
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.90%E -1.32%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.47%E -2.61%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-01 00:10
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.90%E -1.32%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.03%E -2.96%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 00:09
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.90%E -1.32%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.03%E -2.96%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 00:10
Dabble (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.90%E -1.32%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.03%E -2.96%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 00:09
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.90%E -1.32%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.59%E -3.31%K -8.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 00:10
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.90%E -1.32%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.15%E -3.66%K -9.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 00:10
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.90%E -1.32%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.71%E -4.02%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 00:10
FanDuel2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.79%E -1.74%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.91%E -2.27%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-01 00:10
Coolbet2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.79%E -1.74%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.91%E -2.27%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-01 00:09
SportsBet2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -4.23%E -1.95%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -3.35%E -1.94%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-01 00:09
ReBet2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -4.23%E -1.95%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -3.35%E -1.94%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-31 23:59
Codere (IT)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.67%E -2.16%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.03%E -2.96%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 00:01
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.11%E -2.38%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.24%E -1.28%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-01 00:10
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.11%E -2.38%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.24%E -1.28%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-01 00:08
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.11%E -2.38%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.79%E -1.61%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-01 00:09
Unibet (NL)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.11%E -2.38%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.79%E -1.61%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-01 00:10
Unibet (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.11%E -2.38%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.79%E -1.61%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-01 00:10
ATG (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.11%E -2.38%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.79%E -1.61%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-01 00:09
Svenska Spel2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.11%E -2.38%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.79%E -1.61%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-01 00:10
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.11%E -2.38%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.35%E -1.94%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 00:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.11%E -2.38%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.03%E -2.96%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 00:09
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.11%E -2.38%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.71%E -4.02%K -10.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 00:09
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.11%E -2.38%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.71%E -4.02%K -10.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 00:01
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.11%E -2.38%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.71%E -4.02%K -10.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 00:10
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.11%E -2.38%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.71%E -4.02%K -10.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 00:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.11%E -2.38%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.71%E -4.02%K -10.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 00:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.11%E -2.38%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.71%E -4.02%K -10.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 00:09
Bet Right2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.55%E -2.59%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.47%E -2.61%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 00:10
MyBookie.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.55%E -2.59%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.47%E -2.61%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 00:04
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -6.43%E -3.03%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.24%E -1.28%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 00:09
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.43%E -3.03%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.35%E -1.94%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 00:10
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.43%E -3.03%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.35%E -1.94%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 00:09
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.43%E -3.03%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.35%E -1.94%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 00:10
Bally Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.43%E -3.03%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.35%E -1.94%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 00:10
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.43%E -3.03%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.91%E -2.27%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 00:10
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.43%E -3.03%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.91%E -2.27%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 00:10
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.43%E -3.03%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.91%E -2.27%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 00:09
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -7.32%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.12%E -0.632%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-01 00:09
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.32%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.35%E -1.94%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 00:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.32%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.47%E -2.61%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 00:09
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.32%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.47%E -2.61%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 00:09
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.32%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.47%E -2.61%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 00:09
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.32%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.03%E -2.96%K -7.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 00:09
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.32%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.03%E -2.96%K -7.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 00:09
NetBet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.32%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.82%E -4.74%K -12.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-31 23:59
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -8.20%E -3.94%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.24%E -1.28%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 00:10
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -8.20%E -3.94%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.24%E -1.28%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 00:09
Betclic (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.20%EV -8.64%E -4.17%K -8.08%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.80%EV -8.38%E -5.11%K -13.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-01 00:06
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 44.96%EV -10.85%E -5.37%K -10.63%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.04%EV -7.82%E -4.74%K -12.03%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-01 00:10
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -11.73%E -5.87%K -11.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +0.557%E +0.309%K +0.696%G +0.004%5.6%2026-04-01 00:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-04-01 00:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-04-01 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-04-01 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-04-01 00:10
Novig2.29I 43.67%NM 43.32%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.68%0.8%2026-04-01 00:08
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-04-01 00:10
Polymarket2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-04-01 00:09
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%2.1%2026-04-01 00:10
ProphetX2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%3.0%2026-04-01 00:10
BetOpenly2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%4.6%2026-03-31 23:59