Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Milwaukee Bucks v Cleveland Cavaliers

Kickoff: 2026-03-18 00:11 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Milwaukee Bucks (Local)

Prediction 17.40%5.75fair odd
EV +0.896%
Edge +0.154%
Kelly +0.187%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 5.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.55%17.63%17.42%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.425.505.8022.22%18.46%18.18%17.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cleveland Cavaliers (Visit)

Prediction 82.60%1.21fair odd
EV -0.875%
Edge -0.729%
Kelly -4.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.95%82.37%82.58%83.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.161.151.2089.29%86.45%86.96%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Milwaukee Bucks (Local): 17.40%; Cleveland Cavaliers (Visit): 82.60%. For Milwaukee Bucks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.75. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.896%.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet (NL)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV +0.896%E +0.154%K +0.187%G +0.002%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -5.01%E -4.35%K -33.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-18 00:10
Unibet (SE)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV +0.896%E +0.154%K +0.187%G +0.002%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -5.01%E -4.35%K -33.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-18 00:09
ATG (SE)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV +0.896%E +0.154%K +0.187%G +0.002%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -5.01%E -4.35%K -33.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-18 00:10
Svenska Spel🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV +0.896%E +0.154%K +0.187%G +0.002%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -5.01%E -4.35%K -33.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-18 00:10
Dabble (AU)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +0.026%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.83%E -5.12%K -41.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 00:10
Winamax (DE)🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.91%EV -0.844%E -0.148%K -0.180%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.09%EV -4.18%E -3.60%K -26.12%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-18 00:10
Marathon Bet🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV -0.844%E -0.148%K -0.180%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -5.01%E -4.35%K -33.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-17 23:59
SportsBet🎯5.65I 17.70%NM 17.03%EV -1.71%E -0.303%K -0.369%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.97%EV -4.18%E -3.60%K -26.12%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-18 00:10
Fliff🎯5.65I 17.70%NM 16.91%EV -1.71%E -0.303%K -0.369%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.09%EV -5.01%E -4.35%K -33.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-18 00:09
FanDuel🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -2.58%E -0.461%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.18%E -3.60%K -26.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-18 00:10
Unibet (UK)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -2.58%E -0.461%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.18%E -3.60%K -26.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-17 23:59
Bet Victor🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -2.58%E -0.461%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.18%E -3.60%K -26.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-18 00:10
Caesars🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -2.58%E -0.461%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.01%E -4.35%K -33.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-18 00:10
Virgin Bet🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -2.58%E -0.461%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.01%E -4.35%K -33.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-18 00:10
TABtouch🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -2.58%E -0.461%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.01%E -4.35%K -33.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-18 00:10
LiveScore Bet🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -2.58%E -0.461%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.01%E -4.35%K -33.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-18 00:10
Unibet🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -2.58%E -0.461%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.01%E -4.35%K -33.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-18 00:10
BetRivers🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -2.58%E -0.461%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.01%E -4.35%K -33.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-18 00:10
Bally Bet🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -2.58%E -0.461%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.01%E -4.35%K -33.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-18 00:10
betPARX🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -2.58%E -0.461%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.01%E -4.35%K -33.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-18 00:10
LowVig.ag🎯5.56I 17.99%NM 17.38%EV -3.28%E -0.590%K -0.719%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.62%EV -3.35%E -2.87%K -19.72%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-18 00:10
DraftKings🎯5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV -3.45%E -0.622%K -0.759%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.71%EV -4.18%E -3.60%K -26.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-18 00:10
Pinnacle🎯5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV -3.45%E -0.622%K -0.759%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.71%EV -4.18%E -3.60%K -26.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-18 00:09
GTbets🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -4.32%E -0.786%K -0.961%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.35%E -2.87%K -19.72%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-18 00:09
BetUS🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -4.32%E -0.786%K -0.961%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.35%E -2.87%K -19.72%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-18 00:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -4.32%E -0.786%K -0.961%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.18%E -3.60%K -26.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-18 00:10
TAB🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -4.32%E -0.786%K -0.961%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.18%E -3.60%K -26.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-18 00:10
Betr (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -4.32%E -0.786%K -0.961%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.18%E -3.60%K -26.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-18 00:10
Fanatics🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -4.32%E -0.786%K -0.961%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.18%E -3.60%K -26.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-18 00:10
BetMGM🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -4.32%E -0.786%K -0.961%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.18%E -3.60%K -26.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-18 00:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.32%E -0.786%K -0.961%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.01%E -4.35%K -33.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 00:10
Neds🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.32%E -0.786%K -0.961%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.01%E -4.35%K -33.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 00:10
BetAnything🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.32%E -0.786%K -0.961%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.01%E -4.35%K -33.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 00:10
Paddy Power🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.32%E -0.786%K -0.961%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.83%E -5.12%K -41.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-18 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.32%E -0.786%K -0.961%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.83%E -5.12%K -41.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-18 00:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.32%E -0.786%K -0.961%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.83%E -5.12%K -41.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-18 00:10
Betway🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.32%E -0.786%K -0.961%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.83%E -5.12%K -41.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-18 00:10
theScore Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.32%E -0.786%K -0.961%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.83%E -5.12%K -41.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-18 00:10
BetOnline.ag🎯5.46I 18.32%NM 17.65%EV -5.02%E -0.919%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -3.35%E -2.87%K -19.72%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-18 00:10
Coolbet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -6.06%E -1.12%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -3.35%E -2.87%K -19.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-18 00:08
Everygame🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -6.06%E -1.12%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -3.35%E -2.87%K -19.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-18 00:09
LeoVegas🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -6.06%E -1.12%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -7.48%E -6.68%K -62.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-18 00:10
Bovada🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -7.80%E -1.47%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.18%E -3.60%K -26.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 00:06
NetBet (FR)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -7.80%E -1.47%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -6.66%E -5.89%K -51.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-18 00:01
Bet Right🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -8.67%E -1.65%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.18%E -3.60%K -26.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 00:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.67%E -1.65%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.01%E -4.35%K -33.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-18 00:10
Coral🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.67%E -1.65%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.01%E -4.35%K -33.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-18 00:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.67%E -1.65%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.01%E -4.35%K -33.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-18 00:10
Parions Sport (FR)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -9.54%E -1.83%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -2.53%E -2.14%K -14.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-17 23:59
ReBet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -9.54%E -1.83%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -2.53%E -2.14%K -14.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-17 23:59
Winamax (FR)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -9.54%E -1.83%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -5.01%E -4.35%K -33.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-18 00:09
Tipico (DE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -9.54%E -1.83%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -5.01%E -4.35%K -33.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-18 00:10
PlayUp🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -13.02%E -2.60%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -2.53%E -2.14%K -14.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-18 00:10
Sky Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.02%E -2.60%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.35%E -2.87%K -19.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-18 00:09
Codere (IT)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.02%E -2.60%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.35%E -2.87%K -19.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-18 00:01
MyBookie.ag🎯4.94I 20.24%NM 19.28%EV -14.06%E -2.85%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.72%EV -2.53%E -2.14%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-18 00:03
NordicBet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -14.76%E -3.01%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.53%E -2.14%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 00:10
Betsson🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -14.76%E -3.01%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.53%E -2.14%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 00:10
Unibet (FR)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -14.76%E -3.01%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -5.01%E -4.35%K -33.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-18 00:10
Betclic (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -16.50%E -3.44%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -5.83%E -5.12%K -41.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-18 00:08
William Hill🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -21.72%E -4.83%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -0.875%E -0.729%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-18 00:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly6.34I 15.77%NM 15.80%1.19I 84.03%NM 84.20%-0.2%2026-03-17 23:59
ProphetX6.00I 16.67%NM 16.67%1.20I 83.33%NM 83.33%0.0%2026-03-18 00:10
Matchbook5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%0.6%2026-03-18 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%0.6%2026-03-18 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%0.6%2026-03-18 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%0.6%2026-03-18 00:10
Novig5.65I 17.70%NM 17.52%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.48%1.0%2026-03-18 00:10
Polymarket5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%1.0%2026-03-18 00:10
Kalshi5.88I 17.01%NM 16.71%1.18I 84.75%NM 83.29%1.8%2026-03-18 00:10
Smarkets5.70I 17.54%NM 17.15%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.85%2.3%2026-03-18 00:10