La escuela de los momios

Milwaukee Bucks v Cleveland Cavaliers

Inicio: 2026-03-18 00:11 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Milwaukee Bucks (Local)

Predicción 17.40%5.75momio equitativo
EV +0.896%
Ventaja +0.154%
Kelly +0.187%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.55%17.63%17.42%21.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.425.505.8022.22%18.46%18.18%17.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cleveland Cavaliers (Visitante)

Predicción 82.60%1.21momio equitativo
EV -0.875%
Ventaja -0.729%
Kelly -4.37%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
78.95%82.37%82.58%83.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.121.161.151.2089.29%86.45%86.96%83.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Unibet (NL)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV +0.896%E +0.154%K +0.187%G +0.002%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -5.01%E -4.35%K -33.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-18 00:10
Unibet (SE)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV +0.896%E +0.154%K +0.187%G +0.002%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -5.01%E -4.35%K -33.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-18 00:09
ATG (SE)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV +0.896%E +0.154%K +0.187%G +0.002%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -5.01%E -4.35%K -33.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-18 00:10
Svenska Spel5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV +0.896%E +0.154%K +0.187%G +0.002%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -5.01%E -4.35%K -33.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-18 00:10
Dabble (AU)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +0.026%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.83%E -5.12%K -41.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 00:10
Winamax (DE)5.70I 17.54%NM 16.91%EV -0.844%E -0.148%K -0.180%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.09%EV -4.18%E -3.60%K -26.12%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-18 00:10
Marathon Bet5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV -0.844%E -0.148%K -0.180%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -5.01%E -4.35%K -33.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-17 23:59
SportsBet5.65I 17.70%NM 17.03%EV -1.71%E -0.303%K -0.369%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.97%EV -4.18%E -3.60%K -26.12%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-18 00:10
Fliff5.65I 17.70%NM 16.91%EV -1.71%E -0.303%K -0.369%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.09%EV -5.01%E -4.35%K -33.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-18 00:09
FanDuel5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -2.58%E -0.461%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.18%E -3.60%K -26.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-18 00:10
Unibet (UK)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -2.58%E -0.461%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.18%E -3.60%K -26.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-17 23:59
Bet Victor5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -2.58%E -0.461%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.18%E -3.60%K -26.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-18 00:10
Caesars5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -2.58%E -0.461%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.01%E -4.35%K -33.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-18 00:10
Virgin Bet5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -2.58%E -0.461%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.01%E -4.35%K -33.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-18 00:10
TABtouch5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -2.58%E -0.461%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.01%E -4.35%K -33.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-18 00:10
LiveScore Bet5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -2.58%E -0.461%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.01%E -4.35%K -33.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-18 00:10
Unibet5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -2.58%E -0.461%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.01%E -4.35%K -33.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-18 00:10
BetRivers5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -2.58%E -0.461%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.01%E -4.35%K -33.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-18 00:10
Bally Bet5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -2.58%E -0.461%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.01%E -4.35%K -33.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-18 00:10
betPARX5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -2.58%E -0.461%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.01%E -4.35%K -33.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-18 00:10
LowVig.ag5.56I 17.99%NM 17.38%EV -3.28%E -0.590%K -0.719%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.62%EV -3.35%E -2.87%K -19.72%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-18 00:10
DraftKings5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV -3.45%E -0.622%K -0.759%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.71%EV -4.18%E -3.60%K -26.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-18 00:10
Pinnacle5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV -3.45%E -0.622%K -0.759%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.71%EV -4.18%E -3.60%K -26.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-18 00:09
GTbets5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -4.32%E -0.786%K -0.961%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.35%E -2.87%K -19.72%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-18 00:09
BetUS5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -4.32%E -0.786%K -0.961%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.35%E -2.87%K -19.72%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-18 00:09
PointsBet (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -4.32%E -0.786%K -0.961%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.18%E -3.60%K -26.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-18 00:10
TAB5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -4.32%E -0.786%K -0.961%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.18%E -3.60%K -26.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-18 00:10
Betr (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -4.32%E -0.786%K -0.961%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.18%E -3.60%K -26.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-18 00:10
Fanatics5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -4.32%E -0.786%K -0.961%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.18%E -3.60%K -26.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-18 00:10
BetMGM5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -4.32%E -0.786%K -0.961%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.18%E -3.60%K -26.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-18 00:10
Ladbrokes (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.32%E -0.786%K -0.961%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.01%E -4.35%K -33.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 00:10
Neds5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.32%E -0.786%K -0.961%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.01%E -4.35%K -33.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 00:10
BetAnything5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.32%E -0.786%K -0.961%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.01%E -4.35%K -33.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 00:10
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.32%E -0.786%K -0.961%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.83%E -5.12%K -41.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-18 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.32%E -0.786%K -0.961%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.83%E -5.12%K -41.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-18 00:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.32%E -0.786%K -0.961%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.83%E -5.12%K -41.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-18 00:10
Betway5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.32%E -0.786%K -0.961%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.83%E -5.12%K -41.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-18 00:10
theScore Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.32%E -0.786%K -0.961%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.83%E -5.12%K -41.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-18 00:10
BetOnline.ag5.46I 18.32%NM 17.65%EV -5.02%E -0.919%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -3.35%E -2.87%K -19.72%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-18 00:10
Coolbet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -6.06%E -1.12%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -3.35%E -2.87%K -19.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-18 00:08
Everygame5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -6.06%E -1.12%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -3.35%E -2.87%K -19.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-18 00:09
LeoVegas5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -6.06%E -1.12%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -7.48%E -6.68%K -62.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-18 00:10
Bovada5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -7.80%E -1.47%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.18%E -3.60%K -26.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 00:06
NetBet (FR)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -7.80%E -1.47%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -6.66%E -5.89%K -51.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-18 00:01
Bet Right5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -8.67%E -1.65%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.18%E -3.60%K -26.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 00:10
Ladbrokes (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.67%E -1.65%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.01%E -4.35%K -33.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-18 00:10
Coral5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.67%E -1.65%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.01%E -4.35%K -33.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-18 00:10
Hard Rock Bet5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.67%E -1.65%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.01%E -4.35%K -33.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-18 00:10
Parions Sport (FR)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -9.54%E -1.83%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -2.53%E -2.14%K -14.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-17 23:59
ReBet5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -9.54%E -1.83%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -2.53%E -2.14%K -14.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-17 23:59
Winamax (FR)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -9.54%E -1.83%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -5.01%E -4.35%K -33.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-18 00:09
Tipico (DE)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -9.54%E -1.83%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -5.01%E -4.35%K -33.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-18 00:10
PlayUp5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -13.02%E -2.60%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -2.53%E -2.14%K -14.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-18 00:10
Sky Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.02%E -2.60%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.35%E -2.87%K -19.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-18 00:09
Codere (IT)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.02%E -2.60%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.35%E -2.87%K -19.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-18 00:01
MyBookie.ag4.94I 20.24%NM 19.28%EV -14.06%E -2.85%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.72%EV -2.53%E -2.14%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-18 00:03
NordicBet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -14.76%E -3.01%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.53%E -2.14%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 00:10
Betsson4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -14.76%E -3.01%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.53%E -2.14%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 00:10
Unibet (FR)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -14.76%E -3.01%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -5.01%E -4.35%K -33.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-18 00:10
Betclic (FR)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -16.50%E -3.44%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -5.83%E -5.12%K -41.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-18 00:08
William Hill4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -21.72%E -4.83%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -0.875%E -0.729%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-18 00:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly6.34I 15.77%NM 15.80%1.19I 84.03%NM 84.20%-0.2%2026-03-17 23:59
ProphetX6.00I 16.67%NM 16.67%1.20I 83.33%NM 83.33%0.0%2026-03-18 00:10
Matchbook5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%0.6%2026-03-18 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%0.6%2026-03-18 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%0.6%2026-03-18 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%0.6%2026-03-18 00:10
Novig5.65I 17.70%NM 17.52%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.48%1.0%2026-03-18 00:10
Polymarket5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%1.0%2026-03-18 00:10
Kalshi5.88I 17.01%NM 16.71%1.18I 84.75%NM 83.29%1.8%2026-03-18 00:10
Smarkets5.70I 17.54%NM 17.15%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.85%2.3%2026-03-18 00:10