Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.45
assuming max odds 1.73
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Milwaukee Bucks (Local): 42.40%; Cleveland Cavaliers (Visit): 57.60%. For Milwaukee Bucks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.36. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.89%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV +3.89%E +1.59%K +2.68%G +0.104% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.31%EV -18.21%E -12.83%K -43.37%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-02-26 00:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -0.351%E -0.149%K -0.260%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.69%E -4.13%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-26 01:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -0.775%E -0.331%K -0.579%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -3.81%E -2.28%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-02-26 01:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -0.775%E -0.331%K -0.579%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -4.97%E -3.01%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-02-26 01:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -0.775%E -0.331%K -0.579%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -6.12%E -3.75%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-26 01:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -0.775%E -0.331%K -0.579%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -6.69%E -4.13%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-26 00:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -1.20%E -0.515%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -4.39%E -2.64%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-02-26 01:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -1.20%E -0.515%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -6.12%E -3.75%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-26 01:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -1.62%E -0.700%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -4.39%E -2.64%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-02-26 01:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -2.47%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -2.09%E -1.23%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-02-26 01:08 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.47%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.81%E -2.28%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-26 01:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.47%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.81%E -2.28%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-26 01:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.47%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.81%E -2.28%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-26 01:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.47%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.81%E -2.28%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-26 01:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.47%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.54%E -3.38%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-26 01:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.47%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.69%E -4.13%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-26 01:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.47%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.85%E -4.90%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 01:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.47%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.85%E -4.90%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 01:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.47%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.85%E -4.90%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 01:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -4.59%E -2.04%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.09%E -1.23%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-02-26 01:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.59%E -2.04%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.66%E -1.58%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-26 01:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.59%E -2.04%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.66%E -1.58%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-26 01:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.59%E -2.04%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.24%E -1.93%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-26 01:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.59%E -2.04%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.81%E -2.28%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-26 01:10 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.59%E -2.04%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.39%E -2.64%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 00:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.59%E -2.04%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.97%E -3.01%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 01:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.59%E -2.04%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.97%E -3.01%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 01:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.59%E -2.04%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.97%E -3.01%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 01:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.59%E -2.04%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.69%E -4.13%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-26 01:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -5.44%E -2.44%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -2.66%E -1.58%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-26 01:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -6.71%E -3.05%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -1.51%E -0.883%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-26 01:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -6.71%E -3.05%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -1.51%E -0.883%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-26 01:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -6.71%E -3.05%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -1.51%E -0.883%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-26 01:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -6.71%E -3.05%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -1.51%E -0.883%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-26 01:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.71%E -3.05%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.09%E -1.23%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-26 01:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.71%E -3.05%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.09%E -1.23%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-26 01:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.71%E -3.05%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.24%E -1.93%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-26 01:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.71%E -3.05%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.24%E -1.93%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-26 01:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.71%E -3.05%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.24%E -1.93%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-26 01:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.71%E -3.05%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.81%E -2.28%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 01:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.71%E -3.05%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.81%E -2.28%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 01:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.71%E -3.05%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.97%E -3.01%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-26 01:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.71%E -3.05%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.97%E -3.01%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-26 01:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -7.56%E -3.47%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -2.09%E -1.23%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 01:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -7.56%E -3.47%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -2.09%E -1.23%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 01:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -7.56%E -3.47%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -2.09%E -1.23%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 01:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -7.56%E -3.47%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -2.09%E -1.23%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 01:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.56%E -3.47%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.24%E -1.93%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-26 01:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.56%E -3.47%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.24%E -1.93%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-26 01:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -7.98%E -3.68%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -2.09%E -1.23%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-26 01:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -7.98%E -3.68%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -2.09%E -1.23%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-26 01:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -7.98%E -3.68%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -2.09%E -1.23%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-26 01:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.82%EV -7.98%E -3.68%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.18%EV -10.15%E -6.51%K -18.12%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-26 01:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -8.41%E -3.89%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -2.09%E -1.23%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 01:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -8.41%E -3.89%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -3.24%E -1.93%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-26 01:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.60%EV -8.41%E -3.89%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.40%EV -3.81%E -2.28%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-26 01:07 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -8.83%E -4.11%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -1.51%E -0.883%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-26 01:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.83%E -4.11%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.81%E -2.28%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-26 01:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -8.83%E -4.11%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -5.54%E -3.38%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-26 01:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -10.10%E -4.77%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -4.39%E -2.64%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-26 01:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.95%E -5.22%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.358%E -0.207%K -0.491%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-26 01:10 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-02-26 01:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-02-26 01:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-02-26 01:10 |
| Novig◎ | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.88% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.12% | 0.7% | 2026-02-26 01:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 0.8% | 2026-02-26 01:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 0.8% | 2026-02-26 01:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-02-26 01:09 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 1.2% | 2026-02-26 01:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11% | 1.9% | 2026-02-26 01:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 35.64% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 64.36% | 15.9% | 2026-02-26 00:59 |