La escuela de los momios

Milwaukee Bucks v Cleveland Cavaliers

Inicio: 2026-02-26 01:12 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Milwaukee Bucks (Local)

Predicción 42.40%2.36momio equitativo
EV +3.89%
Ventaja +1.59%
Kelly +2.68%
Crecimiento +0.104%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.69%42.19%42.40%45.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.242.202.4547.62%44.73%45.45%40.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cleveland Cavaliers (Visitante)

Predicción 57.60%1.74momio equitativo
EV -0.358%
Ventaja -0.207%
Kelly -0.491%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.73

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.83%57.81%57.60%63.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.421.661.671.7370.42%60.07%59.88%57.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
NetBet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV +3.89%E +1.59%K +2.68%G +0.104%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.31%EV -18.21%E -12.83%K -43.37%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-26 00:59
Caesars2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -0.351%E -0.149%K -0.260%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.69%E -4.13%K -10.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-26 01:09
Pinnacle2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -0.775%E -0.331%K -0.579%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -3.81%E -2.28%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.6%2026-02-26 01:09
BetUS2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -0.775%E -0.331%K -0.579%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -4.97%E -3.01%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-26 01:10
FanDuel2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -0.775%E -0.331%K -0.579%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -6.12%E -3.75%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 01:10
Marathon Bet2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -0.775%E -0.331%K -0.579%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -6.69%E -4.13%K -10.80%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-26 00:59
LowVig.ag2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -1.20%E -0.515%K -0.902%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -4.39%E -2.64%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-26 01:10
SportsBet2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -1.20%E -0.515%K -0.902%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -6.12%E -3.75%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-26 01:10
BetOnline.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -1.62%E -0.700%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -4.39%E -2.64%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-26 01:10
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -2.47%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -2.09%E -1.23%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.3%2026-02-26 01:08
GTbets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.47%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.81%E -2.28%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-26 01:09
BetAnything2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.47%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.81%E -2.28%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-26 01:09
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.47%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.81%E -2.28%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-26 01:09
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.47%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.81%E -2.28%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-26 01:10
Dabble (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.47%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.54%E -3.38%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-26 01:09
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.47%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.69%E -4.13%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 01:10
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.47%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.85%E -4.90%K -13.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 01:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.47%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.85%E -4.90%K -13.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 01:10
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.47%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.85%E -4.90%K -13.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 01:10
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -4.59%E -2.04%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.09%E -1.23%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-26 01:09
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.59%E -2.04%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.66%E -1.58%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-26 01:09
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.59%E -2.04%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.66%E -1.58%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-26 01:09
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.59%E -2.04%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.24%E -1.93%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-26 01:10
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.59%E -2.04%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.81%E -2.28%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-26 01:10
Parions Sport (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.59%E -2.04%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.39%E -2.64%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 00:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.59%E -2.04%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.97%E -3.01%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 01:09
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.59%E -2.04%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.97%E -3.01%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 01:10
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.59%E -2.04%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.97%E -3.01%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 01:10
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.59%E -2.04%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.69%E -4.13%K -10.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-26 01:10
Coolbet2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -5.44%E -2.44%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -2.66%E -1.58%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-26 01:09
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -6.71%E -3.05%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -1.51%E -0.883%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-26 01:10
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -6.71%E -3.05%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -1.51%E -0.883%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-26 01:09
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -6.71%E -3.05%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -1.51%E -0.883%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-26 01:10
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -6.71%E -3.05%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -1.51%E -0.883%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-26 01:10
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.71%E -3.05%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.09%E -1.23%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-26 01:09
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.71%E -3.05%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.09%E -1.23%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-26 01:10
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.71%E -3.05%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.24%E -1.93%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-26 01:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.71%E -3.05%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.24%E -1.93%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-26 01:10
MyBookie.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.71%E -3.05%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.24%E -1.93%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-26 01:00
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.71%E -3.05%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.81%E -2.28%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 01:10
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.71%E -3.05%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.81%E -2.28%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 01:10
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.71%E -3.05%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.97%E -3.01%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 01:10
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.71%E -3.05%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.97%E -3.01%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 01:10
TABtouch2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -7.56%E -3.47%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -2.09%E -1.23%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 01:10
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -7.56%E -3.47%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -2.09%E -1.23%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 01:09
betPARX2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -7.56%E -3.47%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -2.09%E -1.23%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 01:10
Bally Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -7.56%E -3.47%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -2.09%E -1.23%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 01:10
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.56%E -3.47%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.24%E -1.93%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-26 01:10
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.56%E -3.47%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.24%E -1.93%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-26 01:09
BetRivers2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -7.98%E -3.68%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -2.09%E -1.23%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-26 01:10
Virgin Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -7.98%E -3.68%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -2.09%E -1.23%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-26 01:09
LiveScore Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -7.98%E -3.68%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -2.09%E -1.23%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-26 01:10
Betclic (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 41.82%EV -7.98%E -3.68%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.18%EV -10.15%E -6.51%K -18.12%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-26 01:09
Codere (IT)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -8.41%E -3.89%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -2.09%E -1.23%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 01:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -8.41%E -3.89%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -3.24%E -1.93%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 01:10
Unibet (FR)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.60%EV -8.41%E -3.89%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.40%EV -3.81%E -2.28%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-26 01:07
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -8.83%E -4.11%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -1.51%E -0.883%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-26 01:10
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.83%E -4.11%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.81%E -2.28%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 01:00
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -8.83%E -4.11%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -5.54%E -3.38%K -8.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-26 01:10
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -10.10%E -4.77%K -9.02%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -4.39%E -2.64%K -6.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 01:10
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.95%E -5.22%K -9.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.358%E -0.207%K -0.491%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-26 01:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-02-26 01:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-02-26 01:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-02-26 01:10
Novig2.43I 41.15%NM 40.88%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.12%0.7%2026-02-26 01:10
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-02-26 01:10
ProphetX2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-02-26 01:10
Polymarket2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-02-26 01:09
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-02-26 01:10
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%1.9%2026-02-26 01:10
BetOpenly2.42I 41.32%NM 35.64%1.34I 74.63%NM 64.36%15.9%2026-02-26 00:59