Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Milwaukee Bucks v Boston Celtics

Kickoff: 2026-04-04 00:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Milwaukee Bucks (Local)

Prediction 8.66%11.55fair odd
EV +12.81%
Edge +0.983%
Kelly +1.07%
Growth +0.136%

assuming max odds 13.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.34%8.90%8.12%11.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.0010.7410.5013.0312.50%9.31%9.52%7.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Boston Celtics (Visit)

Prediction 91.34%1.09fair odd
EV -1.35%
Edge -1.25%
Kelly -16.88%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
88.30%91.10%91.88%92.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.051.051.0899.01%95.36%95.24%92.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Milwaukee Bucks (Local): 8.66%; Boston Celtics (Visit): 91.34%. For Milwaukee Bucks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 11.55. 20 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 13.03, corresponding to a positive expected value of +12.81%.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯13.03I 7.67%NM 7.39%EV +12.81%E +0.983%K +1.07%G +0.136%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.61%EV -5.00%E -4.81%K -125.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-03 23:10
SportsBet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +12.55%E +0.966%K +1.05%G +0.131%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -5.00%E -4.81%K -125.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-04 00:03
DraftKings🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +12.55%E +0.966%K +1.05%G +0.131%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -5.00%E -4.81%K -125.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-03 23:09
Caesars🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +12.55%E +0.966%K +1.05%G +0.131%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -5.00%E -4.81%K -125.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-03 22:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +12.55%E +0.966%K +1.05%G +0.131%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -5.00%E -4.81%K -125.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-03 23:10
Fliff🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +12.55%E +0.966%K +1.05%G +0.131%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.92%E -5.75%K -197.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 23:54
1xBet🎯12.90I 7.75%NM 7.59%EV +11.69%E +0.906%K +0.982%G +0.115%1.06I 94.34%NM 92.41%EV -3.18%E -3.00%K -52.96%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-03 23:35
BetUS🎯12.75I 7.84%NM 7.54%EV +10.39%E +0.815%K +0.884%G +0.092%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.46%EV -5.00%E -4.81%K -125.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-03 23:10
BetOnline.ag🎯12.56I 7.96%NM 7.65%EV +8.74%E +0.696%K +0.756%G +0.066%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.35%EV -5.00%E -4.81%K -125.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 23:10
BetMGM🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +8.22%E +0.658%K +0.715%G +0.059%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -5.00%E -4.81%K -125.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-03 23:54
Neds🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +8.22%E +0.658%K +0.715%G +0.059%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.92%E -5.75%K -197.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 00:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +8.22%E +0.658%K +0.715%G +0.059%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.92%E -5.75%K -197.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 00:05
GTbets🎯12.25I 8.16%NM 7.89%EV +6.06%E +0.495%K +0.539%G +0.033%1.05I 95.24%NM 92.11%EV -4.09%E -3.90%K -81.82%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-03 23:24
Pinnacle🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 8.12%EV +3.90%E +0.325%K +0.354%G +0.014%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.88%EV -3.18%E -3.00%K -52.96%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-04 00:05
FanDuel🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +3.90%E +0.325%K +0.354%G +0.014%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.09%E -3.90%K -81.82%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-04 00:05
Fanatics🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +3.90%E +0.325%K +0.354%G +0.014%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.09%E -3.90%K -81.82%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-03 22:40
Betr (AU)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +3.90%E +0.325%K +0.354%G +0.014%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.00%E -4.81%K -125.11%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-03 22:45
theScore Bet🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +3.90%E +0.325%K +0.354%G +0.014%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.00%E -4.81%K -125.11%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-03 23:54
BetAnything🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +3.90%E +0.325%K +0.354%G +0.014%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.00%E -4.81%K -125.11%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-03 23:44
Tipico (DE)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +3.90%E +0.325%K +0.354%G +0.014%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.83%E -6.70%K -341.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 00:04
Coolbet🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV -0.433%E -0.038%K -0.041%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -4.09%E -3.90%K -81.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 00:00
NetBet (FR)🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -0.433%E -0.038%K -0.041%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 91.93%EV -7.74%E -7.67%K -774.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-03 23:58
Unibet (FR)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -4.76%E -0.433%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.09%E -3.90%K -81.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-03 23:49
TAB🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -4.76%E -0.433%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.09%E -3.90%K -81.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-03 22:50
Everygame🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -4.76%E -0.433%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.00%E -4.81%K -125.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 23:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -4.76%E -0.433%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.92%E -5.75%K -197.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 23:54
Coral🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -4.76%E -0.433%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.92%E -5.75%K -197.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 23:59
Dabble (AU)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -4.76%E -0.433%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.92%E -5.75%K -197.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 14:50
ReBet🎯10.90I 9.17%NM 8.86%EV -5.63%E -0.516%K -0.568%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.14%EV -3.18%E -3.00%K -52.96%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-03 23:10
Unibet (NL)🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -9.09%E -0.866%K -0.957%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -3.18%E -3.00%K -52.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-03 23:54
Unibet (SE)🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -9.09%E -0.866%K -0.957%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -3.18%E -3.00%K -52.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-03 23:54
ATG (SE)🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -9.09%E -0.866%K -0.957%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -3.18%E -3.00%K -52.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-03 23:54
Svenska Spel🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -9.09%E -0.866%K -0.957%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -3.18%E -3.00%K -52.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-03 23:54
Marathon Bet🎯10.25I 9.76%NM 9.37%EV -11.26%E -1.10%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.63%EV -3.18%E -3.00%K -52.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 23:59
MyBookie.ag🎯10.13I 9.87%NM 9.39%EV -12.29%E -1.21%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.61%EV -4.09%E -3.90%K -81.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 22:55
Paddy Power🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -13.42%E -1.34%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.09%E -3.90%K -81.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 00:04
Bet Right🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -13.42%E -1.34%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.09%E -3.90%K -81.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 23:54
Codere (IT)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -13.42%E -1.34%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.09%E -3.90%K -81.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 23:10
William Hill🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -13.42%E -1.34%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.09%E -3.90%K -81.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 00:20
Bovada🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -13.42%E -1.34%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.09%E -3.90%K -81.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 23:58
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -13.42%E -1.34%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.09%E -3.90%K -81.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 00:05
Bet Victor🎯9.75I 10.26%NM 9.97%EV -15.58%E -1.60%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 90.03%EV -1.35%E -1.25%K -16.88%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-03 23:49
Unibet (UK)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -17.75%E -1.87%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -2.26%E -2.12%K -32.34%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-03 23:59
Winamax (DE)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -17.75%E -1.87%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -2.26%E -2.12%K -32.34%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 00:00
TABtouch🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -17.75%E -1.87%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.18%E -3.00%K -52.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-04 00:05
Unibet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -17.75%E -1.87%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.18%E -3.00%K -52.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-04 00:05
Bally Bet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -17.75%E -1.87%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.18%E -3.00%K -52.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-04 00:04
betPARX🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -17.75%E -1.87%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.18%E -3.00%K -52.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-04 00:04
BoyleSports🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -17.75%E -1.87%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.09%E -3.90%K -81.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 00:01
LiveScore Bet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -17.75%E -1.87%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.09%E -3.90%K -81.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 23:54
BetRivers🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -17.75%E -1.87%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.09%E -3.90%K -81.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 23:54
Virgin Bet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -17.75%E -1.87%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.09%E -3.90%K -81.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 23:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -17.75%E -1.87%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.09%E -3.90%K -81.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 23:54
Sky Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -22.08%E -2.45%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.09%E -3.90%K -81.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 23:54
PMU (FR)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -22.08%E -2.45%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -5.92%E -5.75%K -197.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-03 23:54
PlayUp🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -26.41%E -3.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -1.35%E -1.25%K -16.88%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-03 23:58
NordicBet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -26.41%E -3.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -2.26%E -2.12%K -32.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 00:00
Betsson🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -26.41%E -3.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -2.26%E -2.12%K -32.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 00:00
Betway🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -26.41%E -3.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -3.18%E -3.00%K -52.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-03 23:59
LeoVegas🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -26.41%E -3.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 89.29%EV -6.83%E -6.70%K -341.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 00:04
Winamax (FR)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -30.74%E -3.84%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -3.18%E -3.00%K -52.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 00:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly15.01I 6.66%NM 6.65%1.07I 93.46%NM 93.35%0.1%2026-04-03 23:59
ProphetX15.00I 6.67%NM 6.66%1.07I 93.46%NM 93.34%0.1%2026-04-04 00:05
Novig14.93I 6.70%NM 6.69%1.07I 93.46%NM 93.31%0.2%2026-04-04 00:04
Matchbook15.50I 6.45%NM 6.40%1.06I 94.34%NM 93.60%0.8%2026-04-04 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60%1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40%1.0%2026-04-04 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60%1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40%1.0%2026-04-04 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60%1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40%1.0%2026-04-03 23:59
Kalshi14.29I 7.00%NM 6.91%1.06I 94.34%NM 93.09%1.3%2026-04-03 21:15
Polymarket14.29I 7.00%NM 6.91%1.06I 94.34%NM 93.09%1.3%2026-04-03 21:39
Smarkets14.49I 6.90%NM 6.70%1.04I 96.15%NM 93.30%3.1%2026-04-04 00:00