La escuela de los momios

Milwaukee Bucks v Boston Celtics

Inicio: 2026-04-04 00:10 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Milwaukee Bucks (Local)

Predicción 8.66%11.55momio equitativo
EV +12.81%
Ventaja +0.983%
Kelly +1.07%
Crecimiento +0.136%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 13.03

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
7.34%8.90%8.12%11.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
8.0010.7410.5013.0312.50%9.31%9.52%7.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Boston Celtics (Visitante)

Predicción 91.34%1.09momio equitativo
EV -1.35%
Ventaja -1.25%
Kelly -16.88%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.08

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
88.30%91.10%91.88%92.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.011.051.051.0899.01%95.36%95.24%92.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag13.03I 7.67%NM 7.39%EV +12.81%E +0.983%K +1.07%G +0.136%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.61%EV -5.00%E -4.81%K -125.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-03 23:10
SportsBet13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +12.55%E +0.966%K +1.05%G +0.131%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -5.00%E -4.81%K -125.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-04 00:03
DraftKings13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +12.55%E +0.966%K +1.05%G +0.131%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -5.00%E -4.81%K -125.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-03 23:09
Caesars13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +12.55%E +0.966%K +1.05%G +0.131%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -5.00%E -4.81%K -125.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-03 22:55
PointsBet (AU)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +12.55%E +0.966%K +1.05%G +0.131%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -5.00%E -4.81%K -125.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-03 23:10
Fliff13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +12.55%E +0.966%K +1.05%G +0.131%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.92%E -5.75%K -197.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 23:54
1xBet12.90I 7.75%NM 7.59%EV +11.69%E +0.906%K +0.982%G +0.115%1.06I 94.34%NM 92.41%EV -3.18%E -3.00%K -52.96%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-03 23:35
BetUS12.75I 7.84%NM 7.54%EV +10.39%E +0.815%K +0.884%G +0.092%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.46%EV -5.00%E -4.81%K -125.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-03 23:10
BetOnline.ag12.56I 7.96%NM 7.65%EV +8.74%E +0.696%K +0.756%G +0.066%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.35%EV -5.00%E -4.81%K -125.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 23:10
BetMGM12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +8.22%E +0.658%K +0.715%G +0.059%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -5.00%E -4.81%K -125.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-03 23:54
Neds12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +8.22%E +0.658%K +0.715%G +0.059%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.92%E -5.75%K -197.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 00:05
Ladbrokes (AU)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +8.22%E +0.658%K +0.715%G +0.059%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.92%E -5.75%K -197.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 00:05
GTbets12.25I 8.16%NM 7.89%EV +6.06%E +0.495%K +0.539%G +0.033%1.05I 95.24%NM 92.11%EV -4.09%E -3.90%K -81.82%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-03 23:24
Pinnacle12.00I 8.33%NM 8.12%EV +3.90%E +0.325%K +0.354%G +0.014%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.88%EV -3.18%E -3.00%K -52.96%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-04 00:05
FanDuel12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +3.90%E +0.325%K +0.354%G +0.014%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.09%E -3.90%K -81.82%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-04 00:05
Fanatics12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +3.90%E +0.325%K +0.354%G +0.014%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.09%E -3.90%K -81.82%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-03 22:40
Betr (AU)12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +3.90%E +0.325%K +0.354%G +0.014%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.00%E -4.81%K -125.11%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-03 22:45
theScore Bet12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +3.90%E +0.325%K +0.354%G +0.014%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.00%E -4.81%K -125.11%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-03 23:54
BetAnything12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +3.90%E +0.325%K +0.354%G +0.014%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.00%E -4.81%K -125.11%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-03 23:44
Tipico (DE)12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +3.90%E +0.325%K +0.354%G +0.014%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.83%E -6.70%K -341.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 00:04
Coolbet11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV -0.433%E -0.038%K -0.041%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -4.09%E -3.90%K -81.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 00:00
NetBet (FR)11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -0.433%E -0.038%K -0.041%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 91.93%EV -7.74%E -7.67%K -774.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-03 23:58
Unibet (FR)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -4.76%E -0.433%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.09%E -3.90%K -81.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-03 23:49
TAB11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -4.76%E -0.433%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.09%E -3.90%K -81.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-03 22:50
Everygame11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -4.76%E -0.433%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.00%E -4.81%K -125.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 23:59
Ladbrokes (UK)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -4.76%E -0.433%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.92%E -5.75%K -197.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 23:54
Coral11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -4.76%E -0.433%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.92%E -5.75%K -197.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 23:59
Dabble (AU)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -4.76%E -0.433%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.92%E -5.75%K -197.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 14:50
ReBet10.90I 9.17%NM 8.86%EV -5.63%E -0.516%K -0.568%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.14%EV -3.18%E -3.00%K -52.96%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-03 23:10
Unibet (NL)10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -9.09%E -0.866%K -0.957%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -3.18%E -3.00%K -52.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-03 23:54
Unibet (SE)10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -9.09%E -0.866%K -0.957%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -3.18%E -3.00%K -52.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-03 23:54
ATG (SE)10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -9.09%E -0.866%K -0.957%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -3.18%E -3.00%K -52.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-03 23:54
Svenska Spel10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -9.09%E -0.866%K -0.957%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -3.18%E -3.00%K -52.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-03 23:54
Marathon Bet10.25I 9.76%NM 9.37%EV -11.26%E -1.10%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.63%EV -3.18%E -3.00%K -52.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 23:59
MyBookie.ag10.13I 9.87%NM 9.39%EV -12.29%E -1.21%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.61%EV -4.09%E -3.90%K -81.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 22:55
Paddy Power10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -13.42%E -1.34%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.09%E -3.90%K -81.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 00:04
Bet Right10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -13.42%E -1.34%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.09%E -3.90%K -81.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 23:54
Codere (IT)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -13.42%E -1.34%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.09%E -3.90%K -81.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 23:10
William Hill10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -13.42%E -1.34%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.09%E -3.90%K -81.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 00:20
Bovada10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -13.42%E -1.34%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.09%E -3.90%K -81.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 23:58
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -13.42%E -1.34%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.09%E -3.90%K -81.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 00:05
Bet Victor9.75I 10.26%NM 9.97%EV -15.58%E -1.60%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 90.03%EV -1.35%E -1.25%K -16.88%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-03 23:49
Unibet (UK)9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -17.75%E -1.87%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -2.26%E -2.12%K -32.34%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-03 23:59
Winamax (DE)9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -17.75%E -1.87%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -2.26%E -2.12%K -32.34%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 00:00
TABtouch9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -17.75%E -1.87%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.18%E -3.00%K -52.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-04 00:05
Unibet9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -17.75%E -1.87%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.18%E -3.00%K -52.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-04 00:05
Bally Bet9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -17.75%E -1.87%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.18%E -3.00%K -52.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-04 00:04
betPARX9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -17.75%E -1.87%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.18%E -3.00%K -52.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-04 00:04
BoyleSports9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -17.75%E -1.87%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.09%E -3.90%K -81.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 00:01
LiveScore Bet9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -17.75%E -1.87%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.09%E -3.90%K -81.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 23:54
BetRivers9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -17.75%E -1.87%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.09%E -3.90%K -81.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 23:54
Virgin Bet9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -17.75%E -1.87%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.09%E -3.90%K -81.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 23:54
LeoVegas (SE)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -17.75%E -1.87%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.09%E -3.90%K -81.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 23:54
Sky Bet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -22.08%E -2.45%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.09%E -3.90%K -81.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 23:54
PMU (FR)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -22.08%E -2.45%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -5.92%E -5.75%K -197.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-03 23:54
PlayUp8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -26.41%E -3.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -1.35%E -1.25%K -16.88%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-03 23:58
NordicBet8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -26.41%E -3.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -2.26%E -2.12%K -32.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 00:00
Betsson8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -26.41%E -3.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -2.26%E -2.12%K -32.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 00:00
Betway8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -26.41%E -3.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -3.18%E -3.00%K -52.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-03 23:59
LeoVegas8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -26.41%E -3.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 89.29%EV -6.83%E -6.70%K -341.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 00:04
Winamax (FR)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -30.74%E -3.84%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -3.18%E -3.00%K -52.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 00:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly15.01I 6.66%NM 6.65%1.07I 93.46%NM 93.35%0.1%2026-04-03 23:59
ProphetX15.00I 6.67%NM 6.66%1.07I 93.46%NM 93.34%0.1%2026-04-04 00:05
Novig14.93I 6.70%NM 6.69%1.07I 93.46%NM 93.31%0.2%2026-04-04 00:04
Matchbook15.50I 6.45%NM 6.40%1.06I 94.34%NM 93.60%0.8%2026-04-04 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60%1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40%1.0%2026-04-04 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60%1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40%1.0%2026-04-04 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60%1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40%1.0%2026-04-03 23:59
Kalshi14.29I 7.00%NM 6.91%1.06I 94.34%NM 93.09%1.3%2026-04-03 21:15
Polymarket14.29I 7.00%NM 6.91%1.06I 94.34%NM 93.09%1.3%2026-04-03 21:39
Smarkets14.49I 6.90%NM 6.70%1.04I 96.15%NM 93.30%3.1%2026-04-04 00:00