Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Milwaukee Bucks v Boston Celtics

Kickoff: 2026-03-03 00:42 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Milwaukee Bucks (Local)

Prediction 44.94%2.23fair odd
EV +1.56%
Edge +0.692%
Kelly +1.24%
Growth +0.019%

assuming max odds 2.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.86%44.92%44.80%46.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.132.152.2650.00%46.89%46.51%44.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Boston Celtics (Visit)

Prediction 55.06%1.82fair odd
EV -0.891%
Edge -0.495%
Kelly -1.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.46%55.08%55.20%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.731.731.8060.61%57.96%57.80%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Milwaukee Bucks (Local): 44.94%; Boston Celtics (Visit): 55.06%. For Milwaukee Bucks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.23. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.26, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.56%.

Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV +1.56%E +0.692%K +1.24%G +0.019%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -4.75%E -2.74%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-02 21:50
Pinnacle🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -1.13%E -0.515%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -3.09%E -1.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-03 00:35
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.13%E -0.515%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.85%E -3.42%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-03 00:33
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.13%E -0.515%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -9.15%E -5.55%K -14.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-03 00:29
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.03%E -0.932%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -5.30%E -3.08%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-03 00:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.03%E -0.932%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -5.30%E -3.08%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-03 00:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.03%E -0.932%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -5.30%E -3.08%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-03 00:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.03%E -0.932%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -5.30%E -3.08%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-03 00:35
Everygame🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.03%E -0.932%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -5.30%E -3.08%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-02 22:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.03%E -0.932%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.85%E -3.42%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-03 00:29
MyBookie.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -2.03%E -0.932%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -6.95%E -4.11%K -10.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-02 21:08
LowVig.ag🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64%EV -2.48%E -1.14%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.36%EV -3.64%E -2.08%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-03 00:05
TABtouch🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -2.93%E -1.36%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.85%E -3.42%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-03 00:35
Unibet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -2.93%E -1.36%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.85%E -3.42%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-03 00:35
Bally Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -2.93%E -1.36%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.85%E -3.42%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-03 00:35
betPARX🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -2.93%E -1.36%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.85%E -3.42%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-03 00:35
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -3.38%E -1.57%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -0.891%E -0.495%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-03 00:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.38%E -1.57%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.19%E -2.41%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-02 22:05
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.38%E -1.57%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.19%E -2.41%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-02 20:23
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.38%E -1.57%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.19%E -2.41%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-03 00:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.38%E -1.57%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.19%E -2.41%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-03 00:05
GTbets🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.38%E -1.57%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.19%E -2.41%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-02 22:35
BetUS🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.38%E -1.57%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.19%E -2.41%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-02 23:10
BetAnything🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.38%E -1.57%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.19%E -2.41%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-03 00:10
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.38%E -1.57%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.75%E -2.74%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-02 19:49
Dabble (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.38%E -1.57%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.30%E -3.08%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-03 00:34
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.38%E -1.57%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.85%E -3.42%K -8.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-03 00:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.38%E -1.57%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.85%E -3.42%K -8.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-03 00:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.38%E -1.57%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.85%E -3.42%K -8.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-03 00:20
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.38%E -1.57%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.85%E -3.42%K -8.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-02 22:35
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.38%E -1.57%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.40%E -3.76%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 00:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.38%E -1.57%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.40%E -3.76%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 00:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.38%E -1.57%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.40%E -3.76%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 00:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.38%E -1.57%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.40%E -3.76%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 00:35
BetRivers🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.38%E -1.57%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.40%E -3.76%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 00:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.38%E -1.57%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.40%E -3.76%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 00:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.38%E -1.57%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.40%E -3.76%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 00:40
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -3.38%E -1.57%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -7.50%E -4.46%K -11.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-02 19:44
FanDuel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.83%E -1.79%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.64%E -2.08%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-03 00:25
SportsBet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.83%E -1.79%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.19%E -2.41%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-03 00:25
DraftKings🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.83%E -1.79%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.19%E -2.41%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-02 19:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.27%EV -3.83%E -1.79%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.73%EV -6.40%E -3.76%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-03 00:35
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.73%E -2.23%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.64%E -2.08%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-02 19:34
Codere (IT)🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -5.18%E -2.45%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -4.19%E -2.41%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-02 19:44
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -5.63%E -2.68%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -1.99%E -1.12%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-03 00:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -5.63%E -2.68%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -1.99%E -1.12%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-03 00:30
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.63%E -2.68%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.54%E -1.44%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-03 00:39
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.63%E -2.68%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.75%E -2.74%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-02 22:50
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.63%E -2.68%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.75%E -2.74%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-02 19:04
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.63%E -2.68%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.75%E -2.74%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-03 00:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.63%E -2.68%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.75%E -2.74%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-02 22:55
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.63%E -2.68%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.75%E -2.74%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-02 20:00
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.63%E -2.68%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.40%E -3.76%K -9.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-02 23:00
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.63%E -2.68%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.95%E -4.11%K -10.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-03 00:40
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.63%E -2.68%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.05%E -4.82%K -12.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-03 00:35
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.53%E -3.14%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.64%E -2.08%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-02 19:34
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.53%E -3.14%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.64%E -2.08%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-02 19:34
NetBet (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -6.98%E -3.37%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -7.50%E -4.46%K -11.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-02 20:18
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.87%E -3.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.54%E -1.44%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 00:30
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.87%E -3.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.54%E -1.44%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 00:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.87%E -3.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.19%E -2.41%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-03 00:30
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.87%E -3.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.19%E -2.41%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-03 00:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.87%E -3.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.19%E -2.41%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-03 00:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.54%EV -9.67%E -4.81%K -9.58%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -3.64%E -2.08%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-03 00:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -10.12%E -5.06%K -10.12%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.40%E -3.76%K -9.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 00:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%0.0%2026-03-03 00:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%0.4%2026-03-03 00:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%0.4%2026-03-03 00:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-03-03 00:35
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-03-03 00:40
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-03-03 00:25
Polymarket2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-03-03 00:25
ProphetX2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72%1.3%2026-03-03 00:40
Novig2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72%1.3%2026-03-03 00:40
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%2.1%2026-03-03 00:40