La escuela de los momios

Milwaukee Bucks v Boston Celtics

Inicio: 2026-03-03 00:42 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

65 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Milwaukee Bucks (Local)

Predicción 44.94%2.23momio equitativo
EV +1.56%
Ventaja +0.692%
Kelly +1.24%
Crecimiento +0.019%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.26

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.86%44.92%44.80%46.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.132.152.2650.00%46.89%46.51%44.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Boston Celtics (Visitante)

Predicción 55.06%1.82momio equitativo
EV -0.891%
Ventaja -0.495%
Kelly -1.11%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.46%55.08%55.20%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.731.731.8060.61%57.96%57.80%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV +1.56%E +0.692%K +1.24%G +0.019%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -4.75%E -2.74%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-02 21:50
Pinnacle2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -1.13%E -0.515%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -3.09%E -1.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-03 00:35
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.13%E -0.515%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.85%E -3.42%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-03 00:33
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.13%E -0.515%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -9.15%E -5.55%K -14.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-03 00:29
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.03%E -0.932%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -5.30%E -3.08%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-03 00:35
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.03%E -0.932%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -5.30%E -3.08%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-03 00:35
ATG (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.03%E -0.932%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -5.30%E -3.08%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-03 00:35
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.03%E -0.932%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -5.30%E -3.08%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-03 00:35
Everygame2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.03%E -0.932%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -5.30%E -3.08%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-02 22:40
Marathon Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.03%E -0.932%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.85%E -3.42%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-03 00:29
MyBookie.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -2.03%E -0.932%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -6.95%E -4.11%K -10.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-02 21:08
LowVig.ag2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64%EV -2.48%E -1.14%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.36%EV -3.64%E -2.08%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-03 00:05
TABtouch2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -2.93%E -1.36%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.85%E -3.42%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-03 00:35
Unibet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -2.93%E -1.36%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.85%E -3.42%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-03 00:35
Bally Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -2.93%E -1.36%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.85%E -3.42%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-03 00:35
betPARX2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -2.93%E -1.36%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.85%E -3.42%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-03 00:35
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -3.38%E -1.57%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -0.891%E -0.495%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-03 00:20
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.38%E -1.57%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.19%E -2.41%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-02 22:05
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.38%E -1.57%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.19%E -2.41%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-02 20:23
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.38%E -1.57%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.19%E -2.41%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-03 00:40
BetOnline.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.38%E -1.57%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.19%E -2.41%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-03 00:05
GTbets2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.38%E -1.57%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.19%E -2.41%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-02 22:35
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.38%E -1.57%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.19%E -2.41%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-02 23:10
BetAnything2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.38%E -1.57%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.19%E -2.41%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-03 00:10
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.38%E -1.57%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.75%E -2.74%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-02 19:49
Dabble (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.38%E -1.57%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.30%E -3.08%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-03 00:34
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.38%E -1.57%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.85%E -3.42%K -8.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-03 00:20
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.38%E -1.57%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.85%E -3.42%K -8.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-03 00:20
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.38%E -1.57%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.85%E -3.42%K -8.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-03 00:20
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.38%E -1.57%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.85%E -3.42%K -8.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-02 22:35
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.38%E -1.57%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.40%E -3.76%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 00:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.38%E -1.57%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.40%E -3.76%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 00:40
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.38%E -1.57%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.40%E -3.76%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 00:20
LiveScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.38%E -1.57%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.40%E -3.76%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 00:35
BetRivers2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.38%E -1.57%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.40%E -3.76%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 00:35
Virgin Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.38%E -1.57%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.40%E -3.76%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 00:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.38%E -1.57%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.40%E -3.76%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 00:40
Parions Sport (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -3.38%E -1.57%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -7.50%E -4.46%K -11.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-02 19:44
FanDuel2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.83%E -1.79%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.64%E -2.08%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-03 00:25
SportsBet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.83%E -1.79%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.19%E -2.41%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-03 00:25
DraftKings2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.83%E -1.79%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.19%E -2.41%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-02 19:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.27%EV -3.83%E -1.79%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.73%EV -6.40%E -3.76%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-03 00:35
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.73%E -2.23%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.64%E -2.08%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-02 19:34
Codere (IT)2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -5.18%E -2.45%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -4.19%E -2.41%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-02 19:44
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -5.63%E -2.68%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -1.99%E -1.12%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-03 00:29
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -5.63%E -2.68%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -1.99%E -1.12%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-03 00:30
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.63%E -2.68%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.54%E -1.44%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-03 00:39
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.63%E -2.68%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.75%E -2.74%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-02 22:50
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.63%E -2.68%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.75%E -2.74%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-02 19:04
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.63%E -2.68%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.75%E -2.74%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-03 00:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.63%E -2.68%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.75%E -2.74%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-02 22:55
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.63%E -2.68%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.75%E -2.74%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-02 20:00
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.63%E -2.68%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.40%E -3.76%K -9.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-02 23:00
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.63%E -2.68%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.95%E -4.11%K -10.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-03 00:40
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.63%E -2.68%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.05%E -4.82%K -12.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-03 00:35
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.53%E -3.14%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.64%E -2.08%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-02 19:34
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.53%E -3.14%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.64%E -2.08%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-02 19:34
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -6.98%E -3.37%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -7.50%E -4.46%K -11.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-02 20:18
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.87%E -3.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.54%E -1.44%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 00:30
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.87%E -3.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.54%E -1.44%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 00:30
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.87%E -3.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.19%E -2.41%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-03 00:30
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.87%E -3.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.19%E -2.41%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-03 00:30
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.87%E -3.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.19%E -2.41%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-03 00:30
Unibet (FR)2.01I 49.75%NM 46.54%EV -9.67%E -4.81%K -9.58%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -3.64%E -2.08%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-03 00:20
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -10.12%E -5.06%K -10.12%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.40%E -3.76%K -9.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 00:34
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%0.0%2026-03-03 00:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%0.4%2026-03-03 00:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%0.4%2026-03-03 00:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-03-03 00:35
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-03-03 00:40
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-03-03 00:25
Polymarket2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-03-03 00:25
ProphetX2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72%1.3%2026-03-03 00:40
Novig2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72%1.3%2026-03-03 00:40
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%2.1%2026-03-03 00:40