Language:English
Miami Heat v Memphis Grizzlies
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Miami Heat (Local)
Prediction 81.31%1.23fair odd
EV -2.43%
Edge -2.02%
Kelly -12.14%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.95%81.27%81.34%82.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.171.171.2087.72%85.16%85.47%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Memphis Grizzlies (Visit)
Prediction 18.69%5.35fair odd
EV -0.571%
Edge -0.107%
Kelly -0.132%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.97%18.73%18.66%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.035.005.3222.22%19.87%20.00%18.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Miami Heat (Local): 81.31%; Memphis Grizzlies (Visit): 18.69%. For Memphis Grizzlies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.35. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 5.32, with an expected value of -0.571%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TAB🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -2.43%E -2.02%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -10.29%E -2.14%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-22 01:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -2.43%E -2.02%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -11.22%E -2.36%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-22 01:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.43%E -2.02%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -15.90%E -3.53%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-22 01:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.72%EV -3.24%E -2.72%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 5.32I 18.80%NM 18.28%EV -0.571%E -0.107%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-02-22 01:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.08%EV -3.24%E -2.72%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.92%EV -4.68%E -0.918%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-22 01:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.08%EV -3.24%E -2.72%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.92%EV -4.68%E -0.918%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-22 01:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.08%EV -3.24%E -2.72%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.92%EV -4.68%E -0.918%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-22 01:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.08%EV -3.24%E -2.72%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.92%EV -4.68%E -0.918%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-22 01:10 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.24%E -2.72%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -14.03%E -3.05%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-22 01:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -4.05%E -3.44%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV -0.945%E -0.178%K -0.220%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-22 01:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.65%EV -4.05%E -3.44%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV -1.88%E -0.358%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-22 01:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.65%EV -4.05%E -3.44%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV -1.88%E -0.358%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-22 01:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.59%EV -4.05%E -3.44%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 5.23I 19.12%NM 18.41%EV -2.25%E -0.431%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-22 01:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -4.05%E -3.44%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -2.81%E -0.541%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-22 01:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -4.05%E -3.44%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV -3.75%E -0.728%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-22 01:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.05%E -3.44%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -4.68%E -0.918%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-22 01:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.05%E -3.44%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -4.68%E -0.918%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-22 01:08 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.05%E -3.44%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.55%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-22 01:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.05%E -3.44%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.55%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-22 01:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.05%E -3.44%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.55%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-22 01:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.05%E -3.44%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -8.42%E -1.72%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-22 01:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.05%E -3.44%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -8.42%E -1.72%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-22 01:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.05%E -3.44%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -8.42%E -1.72%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-22 01:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.05%E -3.44%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -8.42%E -1.72%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-22 01:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.05%E -3.44%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -8.42%E -1.72%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-22 01:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.05%E -3.44%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -8.42%E -1.72%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-22 01:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.05%E -3.44%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -8.42%E -1.72%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-22 01:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.05%E -3.44%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -8.42%E -1.72%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-22 01:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.05%E -3.44%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -8.42%E -1.72%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-22 01:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.87%E -4.16%K -28.63%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -0.945%E -0.178%K -0.220%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-22 01:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.87%E -4.16%K -28.63%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -0.945%E -0.178%K -0.220%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-22 01:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.87%E -4.16%K -28.63%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -0.945%E -0.178%K -0.220%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-22 01:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.87%E -4.16%K -28.63%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -0.945%E -0.178%K -0.220%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-22 01:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.87%E -4.16%K -28.63%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.88%E -0.358%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-22 01:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.87%E -4.16%K -28.63%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.88%E -0.358%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-22 01:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.87%E -4.16%K -28.63%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.88%E -0.358%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-22 01:07 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.87%E -4.16%K -28.63%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.88%E -0.358%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-22 01:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.87%E -4.16%K -28.63%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -2.81%E -0.541%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-22 00:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.87%E -4.16%K -28.63%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -4.68%E -0.918%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-22 00:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.87%E -4.16%K -28.63%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -4.68%E -0.918%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-22 00:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.87%E -4.16%K -28.63%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -4.68%E -0.918%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-22 00:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.87%E -4.16%K -28.63%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.55%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-22 01:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.87%E -4.16%K -28.63%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.55%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-22 01:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.87%E -4.16%K -28.63%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.55%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-22 01:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.87%E -4.16%K -28.63%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.55%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-22 01:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.87%E -4.16%K -28.63%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.55%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-22 00:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.87%E -4.16%K -28.63%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.55%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-22 01:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.87%E -4.16%K -28.63%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.55%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-22 01:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.87%E -4.16%K -28.63%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.55%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-22 01:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.87%E -4.16%K -28.63%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.55%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-22 01:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.87%E -4.16%K -28.63%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.55%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-22 01:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -4.87%E -4.16%K -28.63%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -8.42%E -1.72%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-22 01:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -4.87%E -4.16%K -28.63%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -8.42%E -1.72%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-22 01:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.87%E -4.16%K -28.63%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -10.29%E -2.14%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-22 01:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.87%E -4.16%K -28.63%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -10.29%E -2.14%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-22 01:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.93%EV -5.68%E -4.90%K -35.50%G +0.000% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.07%EV -1.69%E -0.322%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-22 01:01 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.68%E -4.90%K -35.50%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.55%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-22 01:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.68%E -4.90%K -35.50%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.55%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-22 01:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -5.68%E -4.90%K -35.50%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -8.42%E -1.72%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-22 01:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -5.68%E -4.90%K -35.50%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -11.22%E -2.36%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-22 01:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.49%E -5.65%K -43.29%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -1.88%E -0.358%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-22 01:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.49%E -5.65%K -43.29%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -1.88%E -0.358%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-22 01:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -6.49%E -5.65%K -43.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -15.90%E -3.53%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-22 01:08 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.31%E -6.41%K -52.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -6.55%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-22 00:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 83.45% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 16.55% | -1.0% | 2026-02-22 00:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 0.5% | 2026-02-22 01:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 0.5% | 2026-02-22 01:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 0.8% | 2026-02-22 01:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 0.8% | 2026-02-22 01:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 0.9% | 2026-02-22 01:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75% | 1.3% | 2026-02-22 01:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75% | 1.3% | 2026-02-22 01:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.47% | 5.32I 18.80%NM 18.53% | 1.4% | 2026-02-22 01:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.12% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.88% | 1.9% | 2026-02-22 01:10 |